1. Early child development: what we have learned from monitoring Clyde Hertzman HELP, UBC

2. Why??? Because early human development influences the life course

3. Sensitive Periods in Early Brain Development Vision 0 1237654 High Low Years Habitual ways of responding Emotional control Symbol Peer social skills Numbers Hearing Graph developed by Council for Early Child Development (ref: Nash, 1997; Early Years Study, 1999; Shonkoff, 2000.) Pre-school yearsSchool years Language

4. Life Course Problems Related to Early Life 2 nd Decade 3 rd /4 th Decade 5 th /6 th Decade Old Age School Failure Teen Pregnancy Criminality Obesity Elevated Blood Pressure Depression Coronary Heart Disease Diabetes Premature Aging Memory Loss

5. Why??? Because human development is an emergent property of experience at all levels

8. Why??? Because human development does not care about institutional boundaries

11. Linkage of EDI to Success in Grade 4 Percent not meeting expectations Number of EDI vulnerabilities Reading Numeracy Zero OneTwo Three Four Five 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0

13. A Population Based Measure

14. What Does the EDI Measure?

16. What the maps reveal… Large local area differences in the proportion of developmentally vulnerable children The high proportion of avoidable vulnerability The degree to which socioeconomic context explains and does not explain variations in early development Which communities are doing better or worse than predicted…….to set up the study of ‘why’

17. EDI  SES Relationship

19. What the maps reveal… Large local area differences in the proportion of developmentally vulnerable children The high proportion of avoidable vulnerability The degree to which socioeconomic context explains and does not explain variations in early development Which communities are doing better or worse than predicted…….to set up the study of ‘why’ Proportionate universality in programs and policies

20. On average, disadvantaged communities have poorer outcomes, However, most vulnerable children live elsewhere Socioeconomic Disadvantage Socioeconomic Advantage

21. What does it take to reduce inequality? DisadvantagedAdvantaged High vulnerability Low vulnerability SES EDI

22. Vulnerable children are distributed across communities and the SES spectrum High Low HELP SES Index

23. DisadvantagedAdvantaged SES EDI High vulnerability Low vulnerability Vulnerability may be reduced for targeted groups Majority of vulnerable children receive no benefit Targeted programs?

24. High Low HELP SES Index Targeting programs towards low SES leave many vulnerable children without access

25. DisadvantagedAdvantaged High vulnerability Universal programs? Potential to steepen the gradient Low vulnerability SES EDI Barriers to access may prevent all from benefiting

26. DisadvantagedAdvantaged High vulnerability Low vulnerability SES EDI Proportionate Universality Universal access at a scale and intensity that addresses barriers at every level Gradient flattened at both ends of the SES spectrum, but proportionate to level of risk Barriers to access 10 -15%

27. What the maps reveal… Large local area differences in the proportion of developmentally vulnerable children The high proportion of avoidable vulnerability The degree to which socioeconomic context explains and does not explain variations in early development Which communities are doing better or worse than predicted…….to set up the study of ‘why’ Proportionate universality in programs and policies Trace change over time

28. Business as usual does not lead to progress Lessons Learned

29. BC30.9% 2.2 % From Wave 3 School Districts

30. Local action has not led to sustained progress in ECD, but wherever sustained progress has occurred, local action has been essential. Lessons Learned

31. Local ecologies for children really do function as complex adaptive systems. Lessons Learned

32. Proportionate universality best implemented locally

33. Lessons Learned Cross-sectional comparisons of test scores conceal more than they reveal.

34. Starting ready for school? Registered every year? Progressing through grade levels? Participating in school assessments? Passing school assessments? 34,913 children

35. Studying Children’s Development Over Time Source: J.E.V. Lloyd & C. Hertzman (2012) Manuscript under review Study Population at K 34,913 Column 1 EDI Score at K 10,572 Vulnerable 143 Missing 24,198 Not vulnerable Column 2 Registered Every Year 9,330 Yes 1,242 No 22,190 Yes 2,008 No Column 3 Grade Transition 21,742 Ideal 448 Not ideal 8,666 Ideal 664 Not ideal Column 4 FSA Participation at Grade 7 19,307 Wrote 2,435 Did not write 264 Wrote 184 Did not write 6,921 Wrote 1,745 Did not write 183 Wrote 481 Did not write Reading Scale Column 5 FSA Outcome at Grade 7 15,832 Passed 3,475 Failed 112 Passed 71 Failed 4,546 Passed 2,375 Failed 223 Passed 41 Failed Reading Scale Column 6 FSA Participation at Grade 7 19,191 Wrote 2,551 Did not write 262 Wrote 186 Did not write 6,823 Wrote 1,843 Did not write 171 Wrote 493 Did not write Numeracy Scale Column 7 FSA Outcome at Grade 7 15,214 Passed 3,977 Failed 89 Passed 82 Failed 4,391 Passed 2,432 Failed 204 Passed 58 Failed Numeracy Scale Column 8 92% 98% 89% 82% 88% 79% 88% 93% 79% 66% 79% 65% Vulnerable on 1 or More Scales

36. www.earlylearning.ubc.ca Thank You