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FIXatdl and the 2010 Flash Crash Robert Golan – DBmind Technologies Rick Labs - CL&B Capital Management, LLC (& FIXatdl Co-Chair) Please Note: This is our personal views which may not pertain to our Client’s Views or Opinions.
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Outline Introductions Flash Crash – May 6 th, 2010. FIXatdl – What is it? A proposed solution Future Directions Summary Q & A
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Flash Crash References Nov 5th meeting Webcast http://www.capitolconnection.net/capcon/cftc/110510/CFT Cwebcast-live.htm# Preliminary report: http://www.cftc.gov/ucm/groups/public/@otherif/documen ts/ifdocs/opa-jointreport-sec-051810.pdf Follow up report http://www.cftc.gov/ucm/groups/public/@otherif/documen ts/ifdocs/staff-findings050610.pdf SEC http://www.sec.gov/spotlight/sec-cftcjointcommittee.shtml CFTC http://www.cftc.gov/About/CFTCCommittees/CFTC- SECJointAdvisoryCommittee/index.htm http://www.capitolconnection.net/capcon/cftc/110510/CFT Cwebcast-live.htm# http://www.cftc.gov/ucm/groups/public/@otherif/documen ts/ifdocs/opa-jointreport-sec-051810.pdf http://www.cftc.gov/ucm/groups/public/@otherif/documen ts/ifdocs/staff-findings050610.pdf http://www.sec.gov/spotlight/sec-cftcjointcommittee.shtml http://www.cftc.gov/About/CFTCCommittees/CFTC- SECJointAdvisoryCommittee/index.htm
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Preliminary Report on May 18th Table of Contents I. INTRODUCTION.............................................................................................................1 II. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY..............................................................................................2 III. GENERAL MARKET CONTEXT............................................................................ 11 IV. PRELIMINARY FINDINGS....................................................................................... 17 A. Securities Markets..............................................................................................17 1. Broader Market Drop and Recovery................................................................. 17 2. Securities that Suffered Declines Disproportionate to the Broader Market..... 29 B. Futures Markets..................................................................................................59 1. Background....................................................................................................... 59 2. Role of Liquidity in Markets............................................................................. 63 3. Analysis of Large Traders................................................................................. 66 4. Preliminary Findings......................................................................................... 69 C. Clearance and Settlement................................................................................... 69 1. Securities Markets............................................................................................. 69 2. Futures Markets................................................................................................ 70 V. NEXT STEPS................................................................................................................... 72 A. Areas for Further Analysis................................................................................ 72 1. Securities Markets............................................................................................. 72 2. Futures Markets................................................................................................ 74 3. Coordinated Analysis........................................................................................ 74 B. Potential Regulatory Responses......................................................................... 75 1. Securities Markets............................................................................................. 75 2. Futures Markets................................................................................................ 79 APPENDIX A OVERVIEW OF THE SECURITIES MARKET STRUCTURE...A1 APPENDIX B OVERVIEW OF THE FUTURES MARKET STRUCTURE.........B1 APPENDIX C CROSS-MARKET CIRCUIT BREAKERS.........................................C-1 APPENDIX D FUTURES MARKET INFORMATION...............................................D-1
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The Findings: September 30 th, 2010 Turbulent Day in the Market EU Debt Crisis @1pm: Liquidity Replenishment Points (LRP’s) activated more then usual. @2:30 - VIX (up 22.5% and Dow down by 2.5%). Buy Side Liquidity for the E-mini declined 55% ($6B to 2.65B) & SPY by 20%. @2:32 – An Algo was used to sell 75,000 E-mini contracts worth $4.1B using only the Trading Volume parameter and disregarded the price or time parameter’s. This was executed in 20mins. Other notable events happened but we want to focus on the Algo setup and execution.
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FIXatdl Algo Trading Definition Language
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Algo Parameter Settings … Note: Example Only – not a real – validating set of parameters.
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If it’s this simple – what’s the catch Central Governance Compliance and Certification Monitoring and Control Implementation Guides & Education Budget and $$$ Transparencies to the right levels without compromising the Algo’s Special Sauce. Multi-Asset and Multi-Industry Standards Cooperation. Versioning and Maintenance
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Some of the Algo Players Citadel Investment Group Bloomberg Credit Suisse Deutsche Bank Goldman Sachs Barclays Morgan Stanley Susquehanna Investment Group UBS Etc.
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Prime Service Providers Hedge Fund Mutual Fund Hedge Fund Exchange t Algorithmic Trading System Prime Service Provider Custom VWAP TWAP Sniper
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Finally, Something New! Systemic Risk Risks imposed by interlinkages and interdependencies in a system or market, where the failure of a single entity or cluster of entities can cause a cascading failure, which could potentially bankrupt or bring down the entire system or market. (Schwarcz, Steven 2008) CAPM gone?
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Bricks for the Tower of Babel "They are one people and have one language…” Legal or Universal Entity Identifier Product or Instrument Identifiers
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LEIs are not that simple! up to date for name, address, electronic address, legal entity type changes. link parent, subsidiary and affiliate relationships (one LEI to all other links) Link all persons who own or effectively control that entity LEIs that own various interests in other entities in various cascades including interlocking Every security ever issued by that particular LEI Entities that are freestanding legally, but economically are virtually 100% just combinations and permutations of other legal entities, such as exchange traded funds Derivative products (futures, options, etc.) built off large baskets of underlying securities Mortgage pools Mortgage pool tranche
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CFTC/SEC searching for a Fun, New Toy Algos that describe OTC derivatives That are simple like tinkertoys
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The Holy Grail Calculation of Net Exposures Real time, across entities?
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The train has left the station! JOINT STUDY ON THE FEASIBILITY OF MANDATING ALGORITHMIC DESCRIPTIONS FOR DERIVATIVES April 7 th !
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Who will set the standard? FIXatdl SM FIXml
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Who will set the standard (2) OWL Web Ontology Language
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Who will set the standard (3) Composing contracts: an adventure in financial engineering Simon Peyton Jones, Jean-Marc Eber, Julian Seward. ICFP 2000. Following three slides are from that presentation
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Combinator library Denotational semantics Operational semantics
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But what does it all mean? We need an absolutely precise specification of what the combinators mean: their semantics And we would like to do something useful with our (now precisely described) contracts One very useful thing is to compute a contract’s value
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Summary A small set of built-in combinators: named and tamed A user-extensible library defines the zoo of contracts Compositional denotational semantics, leads directly to modular valuation algorithms Risk Magazine Software Product of the Year Prize Jean-Marc has started a company, LexiFi, to commercialise the ideas Beats higher order logic hands down for party conversation Routine for us, radical stuff for financial engineers
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What about FIXatdl? Algorithmic descriptions of derivatives are really algo trades for EVERYONE: Equities FI Options Futures FX Cross Asset
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Some other possible Solutions Consolidated Order Book with Pre- Analytic FIXatdl enhancements. CEP/FIXatdl Integration points for surveillance and monitoring. Centralized Algo Compliance and Certification Etc.
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Wrap-up Flash Crash – May 6 th, 2010. FIXatdl – What is it? A proposed solution Future Directions Summary Q & A
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