1. Growth Management & Draft Land Budget June 24 th, 2013 Planning Services Department

2. Overview Growing planning challenges Provincial Growth Plan policies aim to: curb urban sprawl, revitalize downtowns, create complete communities, protect natural resources and agriculture and increase housing and transportation choices. Through compact oriented development

3. Land Budget Analysis - Policy Basis

4. Population Forecasts Hierarchy, 2031 Durham Region Share: 960,000 people GROWTH PLAN Clarington Share: 140,340 people DURHAM REGION OFFICIAL PLAN CLARINGTON OFFICIAL PLAN forecasts Courtice 36,600 Newcastle 19,300 Orono/Rural: 20,300 Bowmanville 64,200

5. Durham Region Official Plan Forecasts Clarington

6. Built-Up Area Designated Greenfield Area Built Boundary Urban Boundary Built-Up Area Vis Built-Up Area Designated Greenfield Area Built Boundary Urban Boundary Built-Up Area Visualization of Built Boundary ualization of Built Boundary Built-Up Area Designated Greenfield Area Built Boundary Urban Boundary Built-Up Area Designated Greenfield and Built-Up Areas Greenfield density 50 people/jobs per ha Greenfield density 50 people/jobs per ha A minimum of 40 % of residential building permits within the Built-Up Area Greenfield Development 13, 462 units 68% Greenfield Development 13, 462 units 68% Intensification within Built-up Area 6,181 Units 32% Intensification within Built-up Area 6,181 Units 32%

7. IntensificationGreenfield Forecasted Units to 2031

8. Number of years current committed and proposed (9,247) units will last 6 years 5 years 15 years 11 years 3 years 19 years 13 years 3years 13 years 10 years

9. There are no easy ways to Land Budget "This is that critical point in the planning process where the planning staff hashes out the issues so that they are all on the same page."

10. Current Supply of Gross Developable Land (ha), as of January 2013 Hectares (ha) Total remaining units: 10,337 Total land available: 665 ha 78 ha 67 ha 5 ha 47 ha 274 ha 194 ha

11. Land Supply vs. Demand to 2031 Built-Up Area Hectares (ha)

12. Land Supply vs. Demand to 2031 Greenfield Area Hectares (ha)

13. Courtice URBAN STRUCTURE Growth Forecasts 2031 Population11,700 Intensification units 2,055 Greenfield units 2,643 Total units4, 698

14. Bowmanville URBAN STRUCTURE Growth Forecasts 2031 Population28,100 Intensification units 3,602 Greenfield units 7,763 Total units11, 365

15. Newcastle URBAN STRUCTURE Growth Forecasts 2031 Population11,000 Intensification units 524 Greenfield units 3,056 Total units3, 580

16. Managing Growth: Secondary Plan Policies and Phasing Development of Greenfield Areas that are greater than approximately 20 hectares shall only proceed in accordance with an approved Secondary Plan. Clarington will also have to develop more detailed phasing policies to guide the Secondary Planning process including: the consideration of the amount of available land infrastructure and public facilities costs fiscal capacity of the municipality

17. Challenges Accommodating intensification will be a challenge for Clarington Municipality will need to more than double its Intensification rate to meet the Region’s targets community acceptance and support for compact development Large portion of the committed Greenfield (draft approved and proposed) development does not have sufficient services Overall.... Clarington has sufficient land to accommodate the Regional Official Plan population forecasts and intensification targets for the Community. Adoption of sustainable land development principles and building practices is vital to reducing the potential environmental pressures of growth. There will be a need for strong urban design polices to ensure community character is protected and enhanced.

18. Growth Management & Draft Land Budget June 24 th, 2013 Planning Services Department