1. The Department of Psychology
Introduction to
Measurement Theory
Liu Xiaoling
The Department of Psychology
ECNU

2. Chapter 5 Reliability §1 Theory of Reliability
Interpretation of Reliability
Reliability refers to the degree of consistency or reproducibility of measurements (or test scores).

3. Qualified Reliability Coefficient for Types of Tests
Ability or aptitude test, achievement test
.90 and above
Personality, interests, value, attitude test
.80 and above

4. EXAMPLES
Stanford-Binet Fifth Edition: full-scale IQ (23 age ranges), ; test-retest reliability coefficients for verbal and nonverbal subtests, from the high .7’s to the low .9’s.
WISC-IV: split-half reliabilities for full scale IQ, .97
WAIS-III: average split-half reliability for full scale IQ is .98; .97 for verbal IQ; .94 for performance IQ
Thurstone’s Attitude Scale:
Rosenberg’s Self-Esteem Scale(1965): α( ); test –retest, .85

5. Errors— Inconsistent and inaccurate Effect
Refers to the inconsistent and in accurate effects caused by the variable factors which are unrelated to the objective.
Three Types:
Random Systematic Sampling

6. Random errors reduce both the
Random Error An error due to chance alone, randomly distributed around the objective .
Random errors reduce both the
consistency and the accuracy of the
test scores.

7. Systematic errors do not result in
Systematic Error An error in data that is regular and repeatable due to improper collection or statistical treatment of the data.
Systematic errors do not result in
inconsistent measurement, but cause
inaccuracy.

8. Sampling Error Deviations of the summary values yielded by samples, form the values yielded by entire population.

9. Classical True Score Theory
Assumptions:
One Formula
X=T+E
X, an individual’s observed score
E, random error score (error of measurement)
T, the individual’s true score
Founders:
Charles Spearman
(1904,1907,1913)
J. P. Guilford (1936)

10. CONCEPTION
True score
CTT assumes that each person has a true score that would be obtained if there were no errors in measurement.
INTERPRETATION:
The average of all the observed scores obtained over an infinite number of repeated things with the same test.

11. 150 Observed Score True Score Error TABLE 5.1 One Measure Data 12 1927 41 51 10 20 30 40 50 2 -1 13 1
150
203.2
200
3.2
1.8

12. Three Principles
1. The mean of the error scores for a population of examinees is zero.
2. The correlation between true and error scores for a population of examinees is zero.
3. The correlation between error scores from two independent testing is zero.

13. Reliability Coefficient
Reliability coefficient can be defined as the correlation between scores on parallel test forms.
(5.1)
Mathematical Definition:
Reliability coefficient is the ratio of
true score variance to observed score variance.

14. As se increases, rtt decrease if St won’t vary .
and
(5.2)
As se increases, rtt decrease if St won’t vary .

15. §2 Sources of Random Errors
Sources from Tests
Sources from Tests Administration and Scoring
Sources from Examinees

16. Sources from Tests Item sampling is lack of representativeness.
Item format is improper.
Item difficulty is too high or too low.
Meaning of sentence is not clear.
Limit of test time is too short.

17. Sources from Tests Administration and Scoring
Test Conditions is negtive.
Examiner affects examinees’ performance.
Unexpected disturbances occur.
Scoring isn’t objective; counting is inaccurate.

18. Sources from examinees Motive for Test
Negative Emotions ( e.g., anxiety)
Health
Learning, Development and Education
Experience in Test

19. §3 Estimates Reliability Coefficient
Test-retest Reliability (Coefficient of
Stability)
Alternate-Forms Reliability (Coefficient of
Equivalence)
Coefficients of Internal Consistency
Scorer reliability (Inter-rater Consistency)

20. Test-retest Reliability
Also called Coefficient of Stability, which refers to the correlation between test scores obtained by administering the same form of a test on two separate occasions to the same examinee group.
TEST RETEST
INTERVAL
THE SAME examinee

21. REVIEW CORRELATION
Figure 5.1 Scatter Plots for Two Variates

22. Formula for estimating reliability
(5.3)
, test score
Pearson product moment
correlation coefficient
, retest score
, sample size

23. An subjective wellbeing scale administered to 10 high
Application Example
An subjective wellbeing scale administered to 10 high
school students and half a year later they were tested the same scale again. Estimate the reliability of the scale.
Table 5.2
Test
score
examinees

24. Computing
statistics
Answer:

25. , standard deviation of first test scores
Transform of formula 5.3
(5.4) ,
mean of first test scores
, mean of retest scores
, standard deviation of first test scores
, SD of retest scores

26. Quality of test-retest reliability:
Estimates the consistence of tests across time interval.
Sources of errors:
Stability of the trait measured
Individual differences on development, education, learning, training, memory, etc..
Unexpected disturbances during test administration.

27. Alternate-Forms Reliability
also called equivalent/ parallel forms reliability, which refers to the correlation between the test scores obtained by separately administering the alternate or equivalent forms of the test to the same examinees on one occasions.
IMMEDIATE
FORMⅠ
FORMⅡ
THE SAME examinee

28. Application
Example
Two alternate forms of a creative ability test administered ten students in seventh grade one morning. Table 5.3 shows the test result. Estimate the reliability of this test.
Table 5.3
Form of test
examinees

29. ANSWER:
If use formula 5.4, then

30. Exercise1
Use formula 5.3 and 5.4 independently to estimate the reliability coefficient for the data in the following table.
Test
Examinees A B

31. How to eliminate the effect of order of forms administered?
Method:
First, divide one group of examinees into two parallel groups;
Second, group one receives formⅠ of the test, and group two receives formⅡ;
Third, after a short interval, group one receives formⅠ, and group two receives formⅡ;
Compute the correlation between all the examinees’ scores on two forms of the test.

32. Sources of Error
Whether the two forms of test are parallel or equivalent, such as the consistence on content sampling, item format, item quantity, item difficulty, SD and means of the two forms.
Fluctuations in the individual examinee’s mind, in-cluding emotions, test motivation, health, etc..
Other unexpected disturbance.

33. Coefficient of Stability and Equivalence
the correlation between the two group observed scores, when the two alternate test forms are administered on two separate occasions to the same examinees.
FORM Ⅰ FORMⅡ
INTERVAL
SAME EXAMINEES

34. Coefficients of Internal Consistency
When examinees perform consistently across items within a test, the test is said to have item homogeneity.
Internal consistency coefficient is an index of both item content homogeneity and item quality.

35. Content sampling Quality: One administration of a single form of test
Error sources:
Content sampling
Fluctuations in the individual examinee’s state, including emotions, test motivation, health, etc..

36. Split-Half Reliability
To get the split –half reliability, the test developer administers the test to a group of examinees;
then divides the items in to two subtest, each half the length of the original test;
computes the correlation of the two halves of the test.
Procedures

37. Methods to divide the test into two parallel halves:
1. Assign all odd-number items to half 1 and all even-number items to half 2.
2. Rank order the items in terms of their difficulty levels based on the responses of the examinees; then apply the method 1.
3. Randomly assign items to the two halves.
4. Assign items to half-test forms as that the forms are “matched ” in content.

38. Table 5.4 Illustrative Data for Split-half Reliability Estimation
Examinee
Item Half Half 2
Xo Xe
Total score Xt 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 pi
pi qi
St2=6.0

39. Employing formula 5.3 to compute rhh
Attention: This rhh actually give the reliability of only a
half-test. That is, it underestimates the reliability
coefficient for the full-length test.

40. Employ the Spearman-Brown formula to correct rhh
(5.5)

42. Spearman-Brown general formula
(5.6)
is the estimated coefficient
is the obtained coefficient
is the number of times the test is lengthened or shortened

43. Kuder-Richardson Reliability (Kuder &
Kuder-Richardson formula 20 (KR20)
( 5.7)
, the number of items, the total test variance,
, the proportion of the examinees who pass each
item
, the proportion of the examinees who do not pass
each item
Dichotomously
Scored Items

44. Employ the data in table 5.3,

45. Coefficient-Alpha ( ) (Cronbach,1951)
(5.8 )
, the total test variance
, the variance of item i

46. Exercise 2
Suppose that examinees have been tested on four essay items in which possible scores range form 0 to 10 points, and , ,
, If total score variance is 100, then estimate the reliability of the test.

47. Scorer reliability (Inter-rater Consistency)
When a sample of test items are independently scored by two or more scorers or raters, each examinee should have several test scores. So there is a need to measure consistency of the scores over different scorers.

48. Methods
1 The correlation between the two set of scores over two scorers (Pearson correlation; Spearman rank correlation )
2 Kendall coefficient of concordance

49. Kendall coefficient of concordance
(5.9)
K, the number of scorers,
N，the number of examinees
Ri, the sum of ranks for each examinee over all
scorers

50. Table 5.5 Scores of 6 Essays for 6 Examinees
rater
Employ formula 5.9, compute the scorer correlation.
Key: .95

51. Summing up Table 5.6 Sources of Error Variance in Relation to
Reliability Coefficients
Type of Reliability Coefficient
Error Variance
Test -retest
Alternate- Form
Stability and Equivalence Coefficient
Split -Half
KR20 and αCoefficient
Scorer
Time sampling
Content sampling
Time and content sampling
Content sampling and content heterogeneity
Inter-scorer differences

52. §4 Factors That Affect Reliability Coefficients
Group Homogeneity
Test Length
Test difficulty

53. Group Homogeneity
The magnitude of reliability coefficient depends on variation among individuals on both their ture scores and error scores.
The score range is restricted, consequently, the true score variance is restricted, then the reliability coefficient is low.

54. is an important consideration in test development and test selection.
Figure 5.2
Scatter Plots for
Two Variates
Thus, the homogeneity of the examinee group
is an important consideration in test development
and test selection.

55. Predicting how reliability is altered when sample variance is altered
(5.10)
, the predicted reliability estimate for new sample
, the variance of the new sample
, the variance of the original sample
, the reliability estimate for the original sample

56. Exercise 3
Suppose one memory test have been administered to the all middle school students in one city, and the standard deviations of test score is 20, reliability coefficient is If we also obtain 10, the standard deviation of test score for the students in grade two, please to predict the reliability coefficient for the students in grade two .

57. Test Length Which test seems more reliable? Test A 1+1=
Test B 1+1= = = =
3+2= = = =
2+8= = =
Conclusion: reliability is higher for the test with more items (all based on the same content) .

58. Using the Transform of Spearman-Brown General Formula to Determine the Length of the Test
(5.11)

59. Exercise 4
One language test has 10 items, and reliability coefficient is To make it’s reliability higher to .80, how many items the test developer should add into the test?

60. Test Difficulty
When a test is too hard or too easy for a group of examinees, restriction of score range , and the reliability coefficient is likely to be the result.

61. §5 Standard Error of Measurement
Interpretation
Theoretically, each examinee ‘s personal distribution of possible observed scores around the examinee’s true score has a standard deviation. When these individual error standard deviation are averaged for the group, the result is the standard error of measurement, and is denoted as

62. Figure 5.3 Approximately Normal Distribution of Observed
Scores for Repeated Testing of One Examinee
(Form Introduction to Measurement Theory, M. J. Allen, & W. M. Yen, p89, 2002)

63. Figure 5.4 Hypothetical Illustration of different Examinees’
Distributions of Observed Scores Around Their True Score

64. Computation Formula
(5.12)

65. Use to Estimate one Examinee’s True Score
Create a confidence interval around the examinee’s observed score.

66. Example
Known that the standard deviation of an intelligence scale is 15, rtt is If one examinee’s IQ is 120, then create confidence interval for his/her true score.
Answer:
Then,