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Why study ship NO x emissions? Vinken et al., in prep., 2012 15-30% of global NO x emissions 70% of emissions within 400 km of densely populated coast.

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Presentation on theme: "Why study ship NO x emissions? Vinken et al., in prep., 2012 15-30% of global NO x emissions 70% of emissions within 400 km of densely populated coast."— Presentation transcript:

1 Why study ship NO x emissions? Vinken et al., in prep., 2012 15-30% of global NO x emissions 70% of emissions within 400 km of densely populated coast lines Seaborne trade +5% per year Emission inventories Lots of estimations -> High uncertainty Often miss recent increases of emissions Improve inventories using combination of satellite observations and chemistry transport models

2 Detecting emission patterns with OMI OMI shows that EMEP emissions are misplaced (2.5 Tg NO 2 ) (3.7 Tg NO 2 )

3 Use GEOS-Chem a priori NO 2 profiles in OMI NO 2 retrieval OMI (DOMINO v2) retrieval uses TM4 a priori (3°x2°) NO 2 vertical profiles Replace these 3°x2° profiles with high resolution GEOS-Chem NO 2 profiles (0.667°x0.5°) to do consistent comparison Satellite observations never fully independent of model information, now we made sure the model information is consistent S st S AMF

4 Comparison OMI & GEOS-Chem over Europe for 2005-2006 Tropospheric NO 2 column (10 15 molec / cm 2 ) DOMINO_GC columns are 10-15% lower than DOMINO v2 (mainly due to changed emissions in model) R 2 = 0.95 for DOMINO_GC and GEOS-Chem Closer agreement between model and observations

5 Vinken et al., in prep., 2013 Comparing OMI and GEOS-Chem to get constraint on ship emissions Satellite Model 3 4 0.5°x0.667° resolution nested-grid GEOS-Chem using plume-in-grid approach for ship emissions 1 2 3 4 1 2 Reduce influence of outflow by filtering, making it possible to observe ship tracks in 4 seas!

6 Track 4 (Med. Sea) for 2005 Vinken et al., in prep., 2013 Tropospheric NO 2 column (10 15 molec / cm 2 )

7 Track 4 (Med. Sea) for 2005 Vinken et al., in prep., 2013 Tropospheric NO 2 column (10 15 molec / cm 2 ) Emissions decreased by 57% before

8 New constrained inventory for 2005 AMVER-ICOADS (2.5 Tg NO 2 )EMEP (3.7 Tg NO 2 ) Constrained ship tracks OMI top down inventory (3.3 Tg NO 2 )

9 Conclusions OMI shows that EMEP emissions are misplaced in Mediterranean Sea First-ever constraints on highly localized pollution of ships in Baltic Sea, North-Sea, and Bay of Biscay OMI constrained emissions are  -35% for North Sea  +140% for Baltic Sea  +130% Bay of Biscay  -57% in Mediterranean Sea than EMEP OMI total is 3.3 Tg NO 2 (10% lower than EMEP)

10 Backup slides

11 Selection of best OMI observations Screen out measurements affected by outflow 2005 filtered mean OMI trop. NO 2 27-10-2005 OMI trop. NO 2 9-7-2005

12 Sensitivities when constraining emissions Account for sensitivity GEOS-Chem NO 2 columns (Ω GC ) to NO x emissions (E) β = ΔE / E e ΔΩ GC / Ω GC Account for sensitivity OMI NO 2 columns (Ω OMI ) to changing GEOS-Chem a priori profiles (higher emissions -> GC columns -> lower AMFs -> higher OMI columns) γ = ΔΩ OMI / Ω OMI e ΔΩ GC / Ω GC Vinken et al., in prep., 2013 [Lamsal et al., GRL, 2011]


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