1. Presented to Arizona City/County Management Association Office of Employment & Population Statistics Arizona Department of Administration February 7, 2013 1

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3. 3 Arizona, 2010

4. 4 Quartzsite, 2010 Total pop: 3,700; Median age: 68 Age 65 and over: 56% Age 17 and below: 7% Hispanic: 7%

5. 5 Somerton, 2010 Total pop: 14,000; Median age: 26 Age 65 and over: 7% Age 17 and below: 38% Hispanic: 96%

6. 6 Apache County, 2010 County total pop: 72,000

7. 7 La Paz County, 2010 County total pop: 20,000

8. 8 Paradise Valley, 2010 Place total pop: 13,000

9. 9 Surprise, 2010 Place total pop: 118,000

10. 10 Tempe, 2010 Place total pop: 162,000

11. 11 Florence, 2010 Place total pop: 26,000

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13. Background State and county population projections were prepared in accordance with Executive Order 2011-04. Extensive engagement of stakeholders and experts. Multiple revisions made based on feedback. 16 Geographies (State + 15 Counties) 40-year projection horizon (base year = 2010) Released in December 2012. Sub-county projections to be released in September 13

14. Highlights The state is expected to grow at a slower pace than in past decades, but still faster than the country Migration will account for ½ to ¾ of growth; share of immigration dips then rises More concentration in the Phoenix Metro area Significant increase in 65+ age group Share of school-age children stable Non-Hispanic White will no longer be the majority Share of Hispanic population increases in all counties 14

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19. Arizona Population, 2010 and 2035 AZ 2010US 2010AZ 2010 RankAZ 2035 Median age35.9 37.2 9 th youngest state38.4 Percent under 1825.5% 24.0% 6 th 24.9% Percent 65 and over13.8% 13.0% 20 th 20.9% Percent 85 and over1.6% 1.8% 35 th 3.1% % White non- Hispanic 57.8% 63.7% 43 rd 46.9% % Hispanic29.6% 16.3% 4 th 39.1% 19

20. 20 Jim Chang, State Demographer Office of Employment & Population Statistics Arizona Department of Administration Jim.Chang@azdoa.gov (602) 771-1236 www.azstats.gov