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Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information

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1 Combining DNA Evidence for Greater Match Information
American Academy of Forensic Sciences February, 2012 Atlanta, GA Mark W Perlin, PhD, MD, PhD Cybergenetics, Pittsburgh, PA Cybergenetics © Cybergenetics ©

2 Two DNA Mixture Samples
CSF locus in PowerPlex 16 kit Sample 1 Sample 2

3 DNA Mixture Separation
Determine mixture weights of each sample Sample 1 10% contributor Sample 2 50% contributor

4 Joint Likelihood Function
MW Perlin, MM Legler, CE Spencer, JL Smith, WP Allan, JL Belrose, BW Duceman. Validating TrueAllele® DNA mixture interpretation. Journal of Forensic Sciences, 2011. Joint Likelihood Function Jointly explain data of multiple experiments Sample 1 90%:10% Another contributor genotype 12, 12 One contributor genotype 10, 11 Sample 2 50%:50%

5 Probabilistic Genotype
Thoroughly examine all genotype explanations of the data, assessing the likelihood of each one Samples 1 & 2 Sample 1 Sample 2 objective

6 DNA Match Information 1 10 100 9.9 Sample 1 - 10 9.0 Sample 2 - 10
9.9 Sample 1 - 10 9.0 Sample 2 - 10 Samples 1 & 2 18.9 10

7 Massereene Barracks Attack
March 7, 2009 in Antrim, Northern Ireland Homicide victims Patrick Azimkar Mark Quinsey Real Irish Republican Army claimed responsibility

8 Abandoned Burned Car

9 Touch DNA Evidence match stick at side of road passenger side
safety belt buckle cell phone in center console

10 Data Ambiguity D3 vWA D18 D2 DNA mixture D8 D21 D18 allele drop out
TH01 FGA low DNA quantity no DNA visible

11 Much Data, Little Consensus No Match Statistic
Brian Shivers Much Data, Little Consensus No Match Statistic 2 1 a b c

12 Joint Likelihood Function
a TH01 locus 3 amplifications b c

13 Combining DNA Evidence
data singles pairs all three 1.40 2.75 a a a b 25 560 1.43 4.60 6.04 b b a c a b c 27 40,000 1.1 million 0.75 4.42 c c b c 6 26,000 STR tests 10 20 30

14 Computer's Match Statistics
5.91 trillion Colin Duffy 6.01 billion Brian Shivers 1.1 million

15 The Honorable Mr. Justice Hart
Admissibility Ruling December 1, 2011 The Honorable Mr. Justice Hart 18 page ruling on TrueAllele, concluding: I am satisfied that the stage has now been reached in the case of this system where it can be regarded as being reliable and accepted, and I am satisfied that Dr Perlin has given his evidence in a credible and reliable fashion. In the light of these conclusions I can see no basis on which I could properly exercise my discretion … to exclude this evidence, and I therefore admit it in evidence.

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17 E Pluribus Unum Out of many experiments, one informative solution


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