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presented by Trevor Ferguson on behalf of JHLS-III Investigators

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1 presented by Trevor Ferguson on behalf of JHLS-III Investigators
Jamaica Health and Lifestyle Survey : Prevalence of NCD Risk Factors and Cardiovascular Disease presented by Trevor Ferguson on behalf of JHLS-III Investigators

2 Introduction – NCDs and Public Health
Noncommunicable diseases (NCDs), including heart disease, stroke, cancer, diabetes, and chronic lung disease remain a global public health problem NCDs are responsible for 71% of deaths globally In Jamaica, NCDs accounted for approximately 62% of deaths among men and 74% of deaths among women in 2016

3 Introduction – NCDs and Public Health
Data from JHLS-II, completed in , showed high prevalence of behavioural and metabolic risk factors for NCDs JHLS-III, conducted between , provides updated estimates on the burden of NCDs and their risk factors

4 Content Covered Obesity Diabetes mellitus Hypertension
High Cholesterol Heart Attack Stroke

5 Study Design A community based interviewer-administered health examination survey of non-institutionalised Jamaicans, resident in Jamaica, aged 15 years and older Designed to be nationally representative Multi-stage sampling design Randomly selected rural and urban enumeration districts stratified by parish Systematic sampling of households within each ED One participant selected per household – using Kish method

6 Weighted Analyses Sampling weights – based on
Probability of selection of dwellings and enumeration districts Adjusted for unit non-response Calibrated using population distribution at parish-level sex-specific by 5-year age bands

7 Weighted Estimates More conservative estimates of the variability associated with the statistics Description that can be generalised to Jamaican population of 15 years and older

8 Recruitment

9 The Recruited Sample 1089 (38.8%) males, 1718 (61.2%) females Males
Total Kingston 74 189 263 St. Andrew 125 246 371 St Thomas 66 98 164 Portland 82 122 204 St. Mary 70 152 St Ann 57 59 116 Trelawny 76 135 211 Males Females Total St James 73 126 199 Hanover 60 75 135 Westmoreland 52 98 150 St Elizabeth 109 132 241 Manchester 94 118 212 Clarendon 70 110 180 St Catherine 81 128 209 1089 (38.8%) males, 1718 (61.2%) females

10 RESULTS

11 Distribution of Nutritional Status by Sex (BMI categories)
54% of persons ≥15 yrs were overweight (25% pre-obese; 29% obese) Pre-obese = BMI ; Obese = BMI≥30 kg/m2 p<0.001 for male: female difference

12 Pre-Obesity and Obesity by Age
High prevalence of overweight (pre- obesity and obesity) in all age groups Lowest in age group Highest among those & years Small decrease in the older age groups P<0.001 for difference in proportion for obesity by age (pp ) Pre-obese = BMI ; Obese = BMI≥30 kg/m2

13 Prevalence of obesity by sex (BMI ≥30 kg/m2)
Marked sex difference in prevalence of obesity – female >> male

14 Prevalence of Obesity (BMI ≥30) by Parish (Females)
Highest prevalence: Trelawny (58.0%) , St James (47.0%) , Kingston (46.1%) Lowest prevalence: Manchester (32.2%), St Mary (34.5%), St Ann (36.6%)

15 Prevalence of Obesity (BMI ≥30) by Parish (Males)
Highest prevalence: Hanover (22.9%) , St Catherine (22.0%), St Ann (19.5%) Lowest prevalence: Westmoreland (2.0%), Portland (4.2%), St Thomas (7.6%)

16 Prevalence Diabetes Mellitus (defined as FBS ≥ 7
Prevalence Diabetes Mellitus (defined as FBS ≥ 7.0 mmol/l or on medication for diabetes) Overall diabetes prevalence 11.9% (95%CI %) Significantly higher prevalence among women 15% vs. 9% (p<0.001) Prevalence among persons years 10.2% (95% CI %) Absolute increase of 2.3% compared to JHLS-II in 2008

17 Prevalence of Diabetes Mellitus by Age
pp P<0.001 for both males and females

18 Prevalence of Diabetes by Parish (Females)
Female (p=0.167) Highest prevalence: Manchester (22%) , Westmoreland (21%), Trelawny (19%) Lowest prevalence: St Mary (8%), St Ann (9%), Portland (12%)

19 Prevalence of Diabetes by Parish (Males)
Male (p=0.038) Highest prevalence: Hanover (19%) , Clarendon (19%), Kingston (17%) Lowest prevalence: St Thomas (2%), St Mary (4%), Trelawny (4%)

20 Prevalence of Diabetes Mellitus by Rural / Urban Residence
No significant differences between rural and urban residents 11.4% among rural vs % among urban residents

21 Overall 24% of persons 15 years or older have diabetes or prediabetes
Pre-diabetes by Sex Prediabetes defined as fasting glucose of mmol/l Sex Category Pre-diabetes (%) Male 10.7 Female 13.1 Both Sexes 12.0 p<0.001 Overall 24% of persons 15 years or older have diabetes or prediabetes

22 Definition & Classification of High BP
JNC 7 (2003) Normal SBP <120 mmHg & DBP <80 mmHg Prehypertension SBP mmHg or DBP mmHg Hypertension SBP ≥140 mmHg or DBP ≥90 mmHg ACC/AHA 2017 Normal SBP <120 mmHg & DBP <80 mmHg Elevated BP SBP mmHg or Hypertension SBP ≥130 mmHg or DBP ≥80 mmHg JNC7 = The Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure 

23 Prevalence of Hypertension by Sex using JNC-7 (2003) and ACC/AHA (2017) criteria
ACC/AHA 2017 (SBP ≥130 or DBP ≥80) JNC-7 (SBP ≥140 or DBP ≥90) p=0.039 p=0.506

24 Proportion of Population in Blood Pressure Categories (JNC-7 & ACC/AHA)
% Normal 32.2 Prehypertension 34.0 Hypertension 33.8 ACC/AHA 2017 % Normal 32.2 Elevated BP 10.2 Hypertension 57.6 Only 32% of Jamaican adults have normal blood pressure 2/3 of the population have elevated blood pressure

25 Hypertension by Age and Sex (JNC7)
P<0.001 for both males and females

26 Hypertension – Rural vs Urban (JNC7)
No significant rural urban differences in the prevalence of HTN 34.5% rural vs 33.1% urban

27 Hypertension by Parish (JNC7)

28 Prevalence of High Cholesterol (total cholesterol ≥5.2 mmol/l)
Estimated prevalence of high cholesterol = 18% Higher in women compared to men 20% vs. 16%, p=0.024 Urban vs. Rural Rural prevalence 20%; urban prevalence 16%; p=0.083 Rural urban difference significant among females: 23% (rural) vs. 17% (urban); p=0.036 Rural urban difference

29 Prevalence of High Cholesterol by Age
P<0.001 for both males and females

30 Hypertension and Diabetes by BMI Category
BMI categories: <18.5 = underweight; = normal weight; = pre-obese; ≥30 = obese (units = kg/m2)

31 Level of Awareness (%) for HTN & DM

32 Treatment and Control (%) among Persons Aware of HTN, DM
Male % Female Both Sexes Hypertension On Treatment 63.3 73.2 70.2 Controlled1 26.0 33.1 31.0 Diabetes 91.3 93.0 92.5 29.0 27.0 27.5 1 Controlled calculated as proportion of those on treatment

33 Prevalence of Heart Attack by Sex and Age
Overall prevalence of heart attack 0.4% (4.2 per 1000) Prevalence is lower than 0.6% seen in 2008 As expected no cases among persons <35; absence of cases in probably due to chance given the small numbers

34 Prevalence of Stroke by Sex and Age
Overall prevalence of stroke was 1.2% (10 per 1000) Prevalence is slightly lower than 1.4% seen in 2008 No cases among persons <25; high prevalence among persons ≥75 years

35 Secular Trends among persons 15-74 years for 2001, 2008, 2017
Condition 2001 % 2008 2017 % Change Pre-obese/Obese 45.7 51.8 53.9 17.9 Obesity 19.7 25.3 28.9 46.7 Hypertension 20.9 25.2 31.5 50.7 Diabetes mellitus 7.2 7.9 10.2 41.7 High Cholesterol 14.6 11.7 17.1

36 Summary / Key Findings Prevalence of NCD risk factors remain high and appear to be increasing More than half of the population is pre-obese/obese 2/3 have elevated blood pressure 1/8 have diabetes; ¼ had pre-diabetes or diabetes combined Just under 1/5 have high cholesterol 4/10 persons with HTN or DM unaware of their condition Only 30% of treated persons with HTN or DM are controlled

37 Implications Jamaica will to continue to face challenges with complications of diabetes & hypertension, particularly heart disease, stroke & chronic kidney disease Health care expenditure is likely to increase May negatively impact economy due to reduced productivity among persons who are ill Likely to see increase in dependency ratio due to more persons being unable to work

38 Recommendations Population wide intervention to reduce obesity, diabetes and hypertension Jamaica Moves  programme - physical activity, healthy eating; promotion of age-appropriate health checks for NCDs and NCD awareness. Improved socioeconomic circumstances and improved access to care Population wide screening for hypertension, diabetes and high cholesterol to increase awareness and ensure persons are treated Engagement of health care providers in both public and private sector to improve quality of care

39 JHLS-III Research Team
Rainford Wilks Karen Webster Marshall Tulloch-Reid Shelly McFarlane Andriene Grant Novie Younger-Coleman Nadia Bennett Trevor Ferguson Tamu Davidson Colette Cunningham-Myrie Damian Francis Ishtar Govia Suzanne Soares-Wynter William Aiken Shari Williams Jovan Wiggan Nicolas Elias Georgiana Gordon-Strachan Tiffany Palmer Natalie Guthrie Georgia Williamson Ardene Harris Sharmaine Edwards


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