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Wojciech Wawrzynski Head of Science Support

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Presentation on theme: "Wojciech Wawrzynski Head of Science Support"— Presentation transcript:

1 Recent advances in understanding the effects of climate change on the world’s oceans
Wojciech Wawrzynski Head of Science Support International Council for the Exploration of the Sea

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3 ECCWO symposium series
Gijon, Spain, 2009 Yeosu, South Korea, 2012 Santos, Brazil, 2015 Washington D.C., 2018 Norway 2023

4 Forum for scientists to build understanding, share info, advance responses to climate change impacts on oceans, people and business. 7 Key Messages

5 Climate change is already affecting the oceans and the socio-ecological systems that depend on them
Friedland et al., Pathways Between Primary Production and Fisheries Yields of Large Marine Ecosystems

6 2. Technical advances in existing and new observation networks are improving our understanding of key ocean processes, but our ability to project future ocean conditions at seasonal to multi-decadal time scales is still incomplete Guiding principles for forecasting teams; Predictions at decadal time scales not yet possible in all regions; Chinese Academy of Sciences Center for Mega Science.

7 3. Despite significant gaps, our understanding of socio-ecological systems has improved sufficiently to enable us to contrast the ecological and societal impacts of different future scenarios Karp et al., in press: ‘Accounting for shifting distributions and changing productivity’ key steps of a climate-informed science-to-management system

8 South African seabird species; blue crabs in the Bering Sea;
4. Some marine organisms exhibit a capacity to adapt to climate change, but there are energetic and physiological costs, as well as limits Examining variations in adaptive responses to a full suite of environmental stressors within the socio-ecological system; South African seabird species; blue crabs in the Bering Sea;

9 5. Options available for societal adaptation are more limited if current trends of greenhouse gas emissions continue Coupled socio-ecological models used to evaluate the trade-offs associated with different societal responses

10 6. Tactical and strategic opportunities for societal adaptation to climate change have also been revealed through engagement with institutions and dependent communities eager to plan their own future Guidance to governance: case studies where researchers engaged coastal communities in efforts to develop effective climate adaptation strategies

11 7. Adaptive management frameworks are urgently needed to address climate-driven policy issues
Suites of key research activities that can be adopted to improve the adaptation of management frameworks to develop climate-informed policies

12 Integrated multidisciplinary research programs are appearing across the globe in response to the societal need for information on the impacts of climate change on the world’s oceans.

13 The Quo Vadimus ‘graphic novel’ by Bas Kohler

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24 Jackie King (Canada – PICES)
Shin-ichi Ito (Japan – PICES) John Pinnegar (UK – ICES) Myron Peck (Germany – ICES) ICES - PICES Strategic Initiative on Climate Change effects on Marine Ecosystems

25 Marine aquaculture in a changing ocean;
Management objectives, trade-offs and strategies in a changing ocean; Harmful algal blooms and jellyfish: Impacts on ecosystems and ecosystem services​.

26 Dr. Wojciech Wawrzynski
Head of Science Support Department International Council for the Exploration of the Sea LME-LEARN WG on Ocean Governance Atlantic Ocean Research Alliance – Aquaculture


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