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Managing Supply-Use Benchmarking

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Presentation on theme: "Managing Supply-Use Benchmarking"— Presentation transcript:

1 Managing Supply-Use Benchmarking
Presentation to the 2004 OECD NA Experts Meeting

2 Background and purpose
Decision to adopt SU benchmarking in 1995 implemented in 1998 The following 6 years has highlighted the importance of systems and processes Need to review implementation and learn from others

3 Key points of ABS approach
In "normal" year estimate 3 SU years in current and constant prices Maintain time series of SU tables from 1995 need for historical revisions periodically 3 compilation sections (approx 45 staff) including a separate SU section (formerly I-O) Different systems used across the sections FAME, Excel, Mainframe, other spreadsheets

4 Challenges (I) Culture and structure
incorporating a supply-use mentality incorporating a time series mentality Data management multiple versions of individual series complexity of revisions policy internally and for source data areas Editing tools analysing structure and time series

5 Challenges (II) Time series of SU tables how long is reasonable?
dealing with large changes such as industry classification change Supply and use skills is there a shortage? how can skills be developed?

6 ABS systems re-development (I)
Problems in current systems lack of flexibility for time series compilation of SU tables no direct link between SU and I-O compilation no direct link between current and constant price estimation

7 ABS systems re-development (II)
Aims from the redevelopment concurrent current and constant price table balancing concurrent time series balancing metadata driven high quality data management flexible "front end" to allow for updating of methods and "data scavenging"

8 Background to QSU tables
The QSU system is part of a broad strategy to improve the consistency of the national accounts by identifying the source of discrepancies between the production, income and expenditure based estimates of GDP. The QSU model has been operational for about two years. Tables are available from September quarter 2001 to June quarter 2004. The operational efficiency of the QSU model has been greatly increased this year by linking it to the source data in the QNA.

9 What the QSU model does Applies the relationships in the latest annual SU tables to the data in the QNA Expands the data in the QNA to roughly the level of detail in the annual SU tables Identifies discrepancies between the supply and use of products

10 Supply Use Tables in the Quarterly
National Accounts

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12 Future developments in QSU tables
Further work will be done to investigate discrepancies between the supply and use of complex product groups. Work will also proceed on the development of experimental QSU tables in current prices . A more detailed information paper on the compilation and use of the quarterly supply and use tables will be released at a later date.

13 Conclusion SU benchmarking very positive development
Compilation is more complex and time consuming Need to consider alternative approaches

14 Issues for discussion To what extent do other countries face similar challenges in SU table compilation? Are there commonalities in method that can be built upon? Would an EDG allowing a forum for exchange of ideas on SU benchmarking, compilation systems and data management issues be a useful idea?


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