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and the Demographic Transition Model, DTM

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1 and the Demographic Transition Model, DTM
Population Geography and the Demographic Transition Model, DTM

2 If this class represented the world, how many students would . . .
Live to age 74? 2 from a class of 30 Die before the age of 50? 9 from a class of 30 Suffer from some nutritional deficiency? 10 from a class of 30

3 If this class represented the world, how may students would . . .
Go to college? 0 from a class of 30 Know how to read? 9 from a class of 30 Have access to clean drinking water? 15 from a class of 30

4 Population Vocab. Population – Population Density –
number of people in a given PLACE Population Density – number of people in a given AREA example: people per square mile Carrying Capacity – The infrastructure such as food, water, housing, jobs needed to support a population.

5 Some population statistics
(record these) population clock How Many is 7 Billion? The face of 7 billion people other really cool population stats

6 The five most populated countries in the world:
China 1,330,141,275 India 1,173,108,018 US Indonesia 242,968,342

7 Cartogram: 1) A small diagram, on the face of a map, showing quantitative information.
2) An abstracted and simplified map the base of which is not true to scale.

8 Projected Population Change, by Country
Percent Population Change, Women worldwide are having fewer children in their lifetimes, from an average of five children born per woman in the 1950s to below three in 2000. All of the most recent projections put forth by the UN assume that levels of childbearing will continue to decline in the next century. Source: Population Reference Bureau, 2005 World Population Data Sheet.

9 What about these countries’ population densities . . .
China 360 people per square mile (the same as Tonga) India 940 people per square mile United States 83 people per square mile Indonesia 134 people per square mile

10 More terms to know . . . birthrate – death rate – Fertility rate-
the number of live births each year per 1,000 people death rate – the number of deaths each year per 1,000 people Population replacement rate: Births minus deaths Fertility rate- The number of children a woman has. population growth – the rate in which a population is growing in a given year. Industrialization – the movement of a countries’ population from farm production to manufacturing production.

11 NPR Segment on Population Change

12 Demographic Transition Model
*Fill out worksheet with chart.

13 Stage One –no countries here
Interpret data: Political Influences: Governments are not focused on population growth as a problem. Economic Influences: Need large families to work in rural areas Social Influences: Large families are the norm. Religion Fertility is status symbol

14 Stage Two – Uganda, Nigeria, Angola
Interpret Data: Political Influences: Government spending on infrastructure: medical care, sanitation and water supply etc Economic Influences Not huge at this point Social Influences Babies are surviving so families start having fewer kids Still social pressure to have large families

15 Stage Three – Brazil, India, Bangladesh,
Interpret Data: Political Influences: Government sponsored family planning! Examples: Economic Influences: Urbanization – move to cities for jobs Industrialization Easier to support smaller families in cities Social Influences: Smaller families become socially acceptable equality for women – more power in family and society

16 Stage Four – Japan, Russia, Italy, China, United States
Interpret Data: Political Influence: These have been successful, so begin to phase out. Economic: Powerful influence to keep family size small Social: Norm to have smaller families.

17 Stage 5 - Germany, Stage 5 was not originally thought of as part of the DTM Total population is declining Birth rates have dropped below death rates.

18 Now let’s check . . . population statistics


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