1. International Seminar of Early Warning and Business Cycle Indicators
Moscow, November 2010
Strategic Indicators for Industrial Statistics Shyam Upadhyaya Chief Statistician, UNIDO

2. Data collected by UNIDO
From national sources
Annual industrial survey data
(for mining, manufacturing and utility sectors)
Number of establishments/enterprises
Number of persons engaged/employees
Share of female employees (developing countries)
Wages and salaries
Gross output
Value added
Gross fixed capital formation (manufacturing only)
Annual indices of industrial production
(manufacturing only)
From international sources
National accounts and international trade data
GDP, MVA at current and constant prices
Value added of M&U sectors
Population (UNPD)
Export and import of manufactured goods (Comtrade)
Quarterly indices of industrial production

3. Overview of output indicators compiled by UNIDO Statistics
Computation method
Valuation
Frequency
Time lag
Latest year estimation method
Manufacturing value added
National accounts
Constant prices
( US$ 2000)
Annual
None
Nowcasting model based on
Current US$
2 years
Not done
Manufacturing sector specific value added
Survey
Current prices (national currency)
3 years
IIP based estimation
Mining and quarrying value added
Mining and quarrying sector value added
Industrial demand supply balance
Survey estimates of output
Current prices

4. Monitoring growth trends by annual and quarterly indices (some results)
Source: UNIDO database

5. Major problems related to data reporting by NSOs
Infrequent and irregular surveys
Incomplete coverage of economic activities
Deviation from international standards; comparability problems
Lack of metadata
Lack of timely data on short-term indicators such as production and producer’s price indices
Currently recommended set of data items in IRIS comprise a full set of data for measuring level, structure and growth
For a regular monitoring of business tendency it would be necessary to define a minimum set of data items

6. Minimum set of industrial data
Variables
Key indicators
Classification
Frequency
What does it measure
Production
Gross domestic product
By ISIC sections
Annually
Level and growth
Gross output
Value added
ISIC 2-digit
Structure
Indices of industrial production
Quarterly
Short-term growth
Price
Indices of producer’s prices
Input
Material input
Energy input
Cost of services
Efficiency
Employment and remuneration
Number of employees
Wages and salaries paid to employees
Productivity
External trade
Export
Import
SITC 4- digit
Competitiveness

7. Estimation for recent years
Data from national sources are available with some time lag for objective reasons
Users demand more recent data
International data producing agencies could supply estimated (extrapolated ) data especially for output series
However;
Estimation requires IIP and PPI data, which are not readily available for many countries
There is no consensus whether an international agency can disseminate its estimates for member states.

8. Collective response to a collective challenge
A core set of indicators and division of labour based on existing UN Statistics Commission mandate
International aggregation of data
By development stage
Industrialized, newly industrialized, developing countries and LDCs
By regional groups
EU, ASEAN, Sub-Sahara, Latin America and Caribbean etc
Aggregation of IIP and PPI requires weights
Recommended dates of data release

9. Some UNIDO publications for reference
UNIDO data quality – A quality assurance framework for UNIDO statistical activities
Towards a new industrial and business statistics programme for developing countries and countries with economies in transition
Industrial Statistics: Guidelines and Methodology
World Statistics on Mining and Utilities
International Yearbook of Industrial Statistics

10. Thank you for your attention! Stat-Info services stat@unido.org