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Multivariate Statistical Methods

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Presentation on theme: "Multivariate Statistical Methods"— Presentation transcript:

1 Multivariate Statistical Methods
Tests of Hypotheses of Means by Jen-pei Liu, PhD Division of Biometry, Department of Agronomy, National Taiwan University and Division of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics National Health Research Institutes 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

2 Tests of Hypotheses of Means
Introduction Review of Univariate One-sample t Test Multivariate One-sample T2 Test Review of Univariate Two-sample t Test Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test Profile Analysis Summary 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

3 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Introduction Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale scores of 101 elderly men and women (60-64, years old, Morrison, 2005) Item Mean Variance Covariance verbal Performance 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

4 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Introduction The mean scores for the population between 18 and 59 are 60 and 50 for verbal and performance items Univariate question: Is the mean score of verbal item for elderly population different from that of the population between 18 and 59? Multivariate question: Is the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale scores for elderly population different from that of the population between 18 and 59? 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

5 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Introduction Survivors and non-survivors for Bumpus’s female sparrows Survivors Nonsurvivors Variables mean variance Mean Variance Total length Alar extent Length of bead and head Length of humerus Length of keel of sterum 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

6 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Introduction Univariate questions: Does difference exist in each of the five morphological measurements between the survivors and non-survivors? Multivariate questions: Is there any difference in morphology between the survivors and nonsurvivors? 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

7 Review of Univariate One-sample t test
Hypothesis of mean:H0: v = o vs. Ha: v  o 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

8 Review of Univariate One-sample t test
Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale (WAIS) verbal scores 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

9 Review of Univariate One-sample t test
Univaraite t2 follow a F distribution with 1 and n-1 d.f. t and t2 are unitless Example of verbal scores t2 = (-4.76)2/(210.54/101) = (-4.76)(210.54/101)-1(-4.76) = > F0.01,1,100 = 6.76 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

10 Review of Univariate One-sample test
Properties It is the uniformly most powerful unbiased test for mean H0: v = o vs. Ha: v  o under the normal assumption when the variance is unknown in sense the probability of rejecting H0 is less than or equal to  if v = o and is at least  if v  o 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

11 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
Multivariate Hypothesis of One-sample Means 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

12 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

13 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

14 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

15 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

16 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
Union-intersection principle a’X ~ N1(a’, a’a) Univariate hypothesis H0(a): a’ = a’0 vs. Ha(a): a’  a’0 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

17 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

18 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

19 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

20 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

21 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

22 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

23 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

24 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

25 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

26 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

27 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

28 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
Test Statistic Hotelling T2 Statistic: a generalization of univariate t statistic by union-intersection principle 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

29 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
Confidence Region and Simultaneous CIs 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

30 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale (WAIS) scores 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

31 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale verbal scores 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

32 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

33 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

34 Multivariate One-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

35 Review of Univariate Two-sample t Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

36 Review of Univariate Two-sample t Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

37 Review of Univariate Two-sample t Test
Example: The total length of female sparrows between survivors and nonsuvivors Statistics Survivors Nonsurvivors Sample size Mean Variance 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

38 Review of Univariate Two-sample t Test
Example: The total length of female sparrows between survivors and nonsuvivors 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

39 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
Multivariate Hypothesis of Two-sample Means 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

40 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

41 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

42 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

43 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

44 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

45 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

46 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

47 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

48 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

49 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
The Paired T2 Test 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

50 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
The Paired T2 Test Take the difference in the corresponding vectors of measurements within each object between the two conditions Obtain the sample mean difference vector and sample covariance matrix Apply one-sample T2 test 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

51 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
The Paired T2 Test – Example Dataset: Measurement of uraic acid (X1) and total cholesterol level (X2) before and after the treatment for six patients Before After Difference Pat. No X x X X d d2 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

52 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

53 Multivariate Two-sample T2 Test
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

54 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis Forty-nine elderly men were classified into “senile factor present” (SFP, n1=12) and “no senile factor” (NSF, n2=37). The Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale (WAIS) was administered to all subjects. The WAIS consists of four domains: information, similarity, arithmetic and picture completion. The sample means are given below (Morrison, 2005): Group NSF SFP Domain n1 = n2 = 12 information similarity arithmetic picture completion 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

55 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

56 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis The two-sample Hotelling T2 statistic is > F0.05, 4,44 = 5.18 The 95% simultaneous CI Domain CI Information ( 0.12, 7.52) Similarity ( 0.18, 8.30) Arithmetic (-0.77, 6.75) Picture Completion ( 0.56, 5.88) 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

57 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis Assumptions: The same battery of psychological tests Measurements of continuous random variables The responses are commensurable or in comparable units 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

58 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

59 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis Three questions (in terms of priority): Are the population mean profiles similar, in the sense that the line segments of adjacent tests are parallel? (Test for parallelism: response-by-group interaction) If the two population profiles are indeed parallel, are they also at the same level? (equal group effects) Again assuming parallelism, are the population means of the tests different? 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

60 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis Parallelism: (response-by-group interaction) The slopes of the population profile segments are the same under each condition 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

61 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

62 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

63 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis If the null hypothesis of parallelism is not rejected at the  significance level, we can test the hypothesis of the same level 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

64 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis If the null hypothesis of parallelism is not rejected at the  significance level, we can test the hypothesis of the equal response 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

65 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis Example: WAIS Dataset Hypothesis of parallelism 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

66 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

67 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis Example: WAIS Dataset Hypothesis of the same level 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

68 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis Example: WAIS Dataset Hypothesis of the equal mean responses 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

69 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Profile Analysis Example: WAIS Dataset Hypothesis of the equal mean responses 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

70 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Assumptions Multivariate normality Equal covariance matrices Independent samples 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

71 Homogeneity of Covariance Matrix
Hypothesis of Equal Covariance Matrices of m p-dimensional multivariate normal Distributions Ho: 1 = …= m 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

72 Homogeneity of Covariance Matrix
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

73 Homogeneity of Covariance Matrix
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

74 Homogeneity of Covariance Matrix
Reaction Times 32 male and 32 female normal subjects reacted to visual stimuli preceded by warning intervals of different lengths in 0.5 and 0.15 seconds 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

75 Homogeneity of Covariance Matrix
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

76 Multivariate Normality
Calculate squared Mahalanobis distance (MD2) of each observed vector of p variables from the sample mean vector Order the MD2 from the largest to the largest, MD2(1) < MD2(2) <…< MD2(n) For each ordered MD2, compute the (i-0.5)/n percentile where i is the ith order observed vector 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

77 Multivariate Normality
The 2 values for the percentiles are obtained from the 2 with p d.f., which can be computed by CINV function in SAS Plot MD2 vs. 2 (similar to Q-Q plot) The plot should be linear Deviation from linearity indicates non-normality 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

78 Multivariate Normality
Several tests available, see Seber (1984). However, methods are ad-hoc and are not implemented in most of statistical software Transformations Counts – square-root Proportions – logit Skewed and positive - logarithm 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

79 Multivariate Outliers
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

80 Multivariate Outliers
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

81 Multivariate Outliers
Hotelling T2 is invariant under any full- rank linear transformation. The joint distribution of {T2i,i=1,…,n} is independent of parameter  and  Liu and Weng (1991, SIM) proposed a test procedure to identify multiple multivariate outliers 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

82 Multivariate Outliers
Let T2(1) ,…, T2(n) be the ordered statistics of T21 ,…, T2n and H0(1) ,…, H0(n) be the corresponding sub-hypothesis based on T2(i). Let {W21 ,…, W2n} be a vector of n Hotelling T2 statistics computed from a sample of size n from a p-dimensional normal with mean 0 and covariance matrix Ip 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

83 Multivariate Outliers
2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD

84 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD
Summary Hotelling T2 statistics One sample Two independent samples (unpaired) Paired samples Confidence regions Simultaneous confidence interval Profile analysis 2019/2/27 Copyright by Jen-pei Liu, PhD


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