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An Experimental Investigation of the Good Life

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1 An Experimental Investigation of the Good Life
What we value An Experimental Investigation of the Good Life

2 The project What we value in life, the good life, and well-being
A Book with Peter Unger (NYU) Tests famous thought experiments from philosophy and studies from psychology that claim to demonstrate what we value in life Is this experimental philosophy? Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

3 The general approach Strong majority views about what is valuable are used as evidence in normative ethics Utilitarianism could endorse slavery No moral theory that could endorse slavery is a good moral theory (based on the widespread view that slavery is abhorrent) Therefore, utilitarianism is not a good moral theory Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

4 The general approach Thought experiments are often used to elicit views about the value of things Thought experiments can mislead us in ways we are not aware of 2 & 3 are dubious and can be challenged by x-phi 1 isn’t dubious, but x-phi might reveal that people don’t accept it An experience machine life has more happiness than a normal life If happiness is all that really matters in life, then the vast majority of people would choose an experience machine life over a normal life The vast majority of people would not choose an experience machine life over a normal life Therefore, happiness is not all that really matters in life Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

5 The general approach Test the original scenario
Ask why they chose that Assess the justifications and relevant biases literature to see what modifications are required Make 1 change at a time, test new scenarios on similar groups, compare results There is this amazing experience machine designed by super-duper neuropsychologists… Would you live the rest of your life in such a machine? Yes No Briefly justify your choice for 1. Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

6 Difficulties with x-phi
People are strange Time Sampling Cost Philosopher’s can’t do stats Trust (Marc Hauser) General problems with experimental psychology (repligate) Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

7 Experiments so far Experience machine
Trolley problem (not part of this project) Parfit’s surgery case Diener et al.’s length of life cases Diener, E., Wirtz, D., & Oishi, S. (2001). End effects of rated life quality: The James Dean effect. Psychological Science, 12(2), Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

8 length of a happy life The Common Sense Hypothesis
Happy lives are more desirable if longer The James Dean Hypothesis Short happy lives are more desirable than long lives The Duration Neglect Hypothesis The length of a life doesn’t affect its desirability Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

9 length of a happy life The Common Sense Hypothesis
Happy lives are more desirable if longer The James Dean Hypothesis Short happy lives are more desirable than long lives The Duration Neglect Hypothesis The length of a life doesn’t affect its desirability Doesn’t have a preference Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

10 Diener et al.’s study Jen [Jan] was a never-married woman without children. Her life was extremely happy, with enjoyable work, vacations, friends, and pleasant leisure. Jen died suddenly and painlessly in an automobile accident, when she was 30 [60] years old. Taking Jen’s life as a whole, how desirable was her life? How much total happiness would you say that Jen experienced in her life? Please briefly explain your answer to questions 1&2: Most un-desirable 1 2 3 4 Neutral 5 6 7 8 Most desirable 9 O Most un-happy 1 2 3 4 Neutral 5 6 7 8 Most happy 9 O Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

11 results Diener et al. took the average of the desirability and total happiness responses for each respondent, and then compared the average of respondents’ judgments about the 30 and 60 year life. We did the same Diener et al.: “The age variable failed to have a significant effect,... This finding confirms the phenomenon of duration neglect…” Our results are very similar Study Jen (30-year life) Jan (60-year life) Jan - Jen Diener et al. 6.13 6.48 0.35 Weijers & Unger 6.26 6.15 -0.11 Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

12 Implications for philosophy?
Prudential value: what is good for us Used in moral theory, political philosophy, applied ethics, and public policy Should governments focus on making our lives happy at the cost of them being long? No speed limit Decriminalize drugs Subsidize alcohol and drugs Scrap cancer research in favor of subsidizing vacations Quantitative hedonism: lives are valued by summing the net happiness of each moment Prudential theories that value lives in a way different to the vast majority of people are bad theories The vast majority of people do not value lives by summing the net happiness of each moment Therefore, quantitative hedonism is a bad theory Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

13 Or we can take a closer look
Potential methodological problems Evaluating a life without a comparator is difficult Many respondents de-valued the lives because the women were “never-married… without children” “Total happiness” data might not be relevant to desirability for all The scale and labels might cause problems (“most desirable” and “most undesirable” are ambiguous) Potential solutions Compare Jen’s (30) and Jan’s (60) lives directly against each other Rewrite the scenario so it doesn’t mention whether they were married with children or not Do not combine the “desirability” and “total happiness” responses Run the study with a simpler response mechanism (whose life is more desirable, or are they equal?) Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

14 Directly comparing the lives
Respondents were presented with both lives at the same time (with the same question wording as before) It made a decent difference, BUT: “never-married… without children” still a problem Results for “desirability” are different from those for “total happiness” The scale and labels might cause problems Study Jen (30-year life) Jan (60-year life) Jan - Jen Diener et al. Rate 1 6.13 6.48 0.35 Weijers & Unger 6.26 6.15 -0.11 Rate both 5.81 6.60 0.79 Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

15 Clean “never married” etc.
Clean: “Imagine someone was extremely happy for every year of their life, until they died suddenly and painlessly in an automobile accident at age 30 [60].” General increase, BUT: Results for “desirability” are different from those for “total happiness” The scale and labels might cause problems Study Jen (30-year life) Jan (60-year life) Jan - Jen Diener et al. Rate 1 6.13 6.48 0.35 Weijers & Unger 6.26 6.15 -0.10 Rate both 5.81 6.60 0.79 Rate 1-clean 6.73 7.32 0.58 Rate both-clean 7.22 8.23 1.02 Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

16 Desirability results only
Instead of combining “desirability” with “total happiness”, we just took the desirability measure Increase for “rate both”, BUT: The scale and labels might cause problems Study 30 combined 60 combined Combined 60-30 30 desire only 60 desire only Desire only 60-30 Diener et al. Rate 1 6.13 6.48 0.35 ? Weijers & Unger 6.26 6.15 -0.10 5.74 5.35 -0.40 Rate both 5.81 6.60 0.79 4.72 6.21 1.49 Rate 1-clean 6.73 7.32 0.58 6.12 6.66 0.54 Rate both-clean 7.22 8.23 1.02 6.40 7.83 1.43 Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

17 Dropping the scale (Clean)
Imagine two people who didn’t know each other. The first was happy for every year of their life, until they died suddenly and painlessly in an automobile accident at age 30. The second was happy for every year of their life, until they died suddenly and painlessly in an automobile accident at age 60. Which life was more desirable? O The first (30-year) life was a more desirable life than the second (60-year) life. O The second (60-year) life was a more desirable life than the first (30-year) life. O The two lives are equally desirable. Please briefly explain your answer to question 1: Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

18 Dropping the scale Simple test
Can’t use the “rate 1” versions for this Unclean version had many family- related justifications Duration neglect is looking strong! Study Desire30-y more Desire 60-y more Desire both equal Theory James Dean Common Sense Duration Neglect Weijers & Unger 10% 46% 44% Weijers & Unger clean 4% 40% 56% Weijers & Unger clean (happy instead of extremely happy) 3% 39% 58% Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

19 Un-scaling the scale We could also convert the scales into answers that would fit three options: O The first (30-year) life was a more desirable life than the second (60-year) life. If they rated the 30-year life as more desirable than the 60-year one on the scale O The second (60-year) life was a more desirable life than the first (30-year) life. If they rated the 60-year life as more desirable than the 30-year one on the scale O The two lives are equally desirable. If they rated the two lives as equally desirable on the scale That way, we can see whether the different measures get the same result Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

20 Combining the results Just uses desirability
Can’t use the “rate 1” versions for this Unclean versions seem less reliable The race is close! Study Desire 30-year more Desire 60-year more Desire both equal Theory James Dean Common Sense Duration Neglect Weijers & Unger 10% 46% 44% Weijers & Unger clean 4% 40% 56% Weijers & Unger clean (happy instead of extremely happy) 3% 39% 58% Weijers & Unger scale 21% 54% 26% Weijers & Unger scale + clean 7% 52% 42% Weijers & Unger scale + clean (55 vs 65) 2% 62% 36% Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

21 Another way to look at it
This analysis combines the results of the 30 vs 60 year and 55 vs 65 year clean scale studies Thinking about the wording of the scenario and scale labels, this seems similar to what common sense would predict But, this shows the power of non-scientific/statistical methods! Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

22 What now? Summary of quantitative analyses
The Duration Neglect hypothesis has support from one set of studies and the Common Sense hypothesis has support from another set Which is the better (more reliable, accurate) method? Qualitative analysis Every survey (of ours) asked respondents to justify their position Some answers show imaginative resistance or overactive imagination Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

23 Qualitative analysis Shouldn’t be done by the lead researchers… But…
Most justifications for responses in line with the Common Sense hypothesis claim something like: “more happy years is more desirable” Most justifications for responses in line with the Duration Neglect hypothesis are split between two kinds: “length of life doesn’t matter” “all human lives are equally valuable/I won’t judge” This last justification seems a little strange – it endorses Everything Neglect when evaluating lives on desirability (which surely can’t be true for them!) Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

24 Or run more studies We are going to ask people about how many more happy years they want in their lives (this should(??) destroy the Duration Neglect hypothesis!) What is your age? How many more happy years would you like to live? If they were guaranteed happy years, how many more would you like to live before a painless death: 1 or 31? If they were guaranteed happy years, how many more would you like to live before a painless death: 30 or 60? We are also going to test more than 2 lives at once: Imagine three people. The first was happy for every year of their life, until they died suddenly and painlessly in an automobile accident at age 25. The second [the same, but died] at age 50. The third [the same, but died] at age 75. Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

25 One more finding Most respondents in the scale studies thought the two lives (30 & 60 or 55 & 65) had equal total happiness, even when we bolded the word total!! Unclean study = strange results Most respondents think the total happiness in a life is not a simple sum of the happy parts, but the simple average! Will follow up with peak-end rule Study Total happy 30-year more Total happy 60-year more Both equal total happy Weijers & Unger scale 21% 23% 56% Weijers & Unger scale + clean 0% 25% 75% Weijers & Unger scale + clean (55 vs 65) 2% 38% 61% Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016

26 conclusion General Experimental philosophy is hard
It takes a long time Multiple methods should be combined for more robust results It’s no wonder many experiments’ results aren’t highly replicable Always ask the qualitative question Some people believe very unusual things Specific Some students think they think that length of life doesn’t matter Most students (probably) think that length of life is important, but far from the only intrinsically important thing in life i.e., there is probably a partial duration neglect effect when we evaluate lives in ideal conditions Dan Weijers: Keynote for the Davis Undergraduate Philosophy Conference April 23, 2016


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