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GTAC Workshop Block 1 12 July 2018.

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Presentation on theme: "GTAC Workshop Block 1 12 July 2018."— Presentation transcript:

1 GTAC Workshop Block 1 12 July 2018

2 Agenda Agenda Items Indicative Timing
Workstream 3 – Nominations and Governance 3.1 Nominations 9-11am 3.2 PRs 11am-12pm Lunch 3.3 Wash-up Principles and Approach 1-3pm

3 3.1 Nominations Discussion Objective GTAC Reference FAP Findings
Ensure that nominations processes are appropriate for all customer classes to use the system and manage risk s. 4 FAP Findings Supporting Material Burden largely on shared delivery points. UK system operator makes nominations on behalf of mass market load (46) IPs approval of nominations Nominations cycles and ability to manage exposure to overrun/underrun charges Description of UK mass market nomination system Suggestions for design of mass market nomination system for GTAC

4 Interconnected Party Approval of Nomination
The GTAC sets out the following for interconnected party approval of nominations: GTAC provisions 4.1 Where an OBA (or other arrangement requiring Shipper nominations) applies at a Receipt Point: each Shipper using that Receipt Point shall notify its NQs in accordance with sections 4.8, 4.9 and 4.10; and the Interconnected Party will be required (under its ICA) to approve or curtail those NQs in accordance with section 4.12. 4.5 Where the Interconnected Party at an Individual Delivery Point specifies that an OBA will apply, its ICA will require that Interconnected Party to approve or curtail Shippers’ NQs in accordance with section 4.12. 4.12 Pursuant to sections 4.1(b) and 4.5 and subject to section 4.16(a), the Interconnected Party: (a) must either approve or curtail Shippers’ NQs on OATIS not later than 30 minutes after the Provisional, Changed Provisional or Intra-Day Nominations Deadline (as the case by be); and (b) if it fails to do so, will be deemed to have approved each applicable NQ. For the purposes of this section 4.12, First Gas will ensure the Interconnected Party has the required access to OATIS. Key questions: Should nominations be required at all receipt points? Should other interconnected parties have the ability to approve nominations? First Gas Position: Interconnected parties with OBAs take risk on the balancing at that point and therefore should have an ability to approve nominations

5 Nominations and ID cycles
The GTAC sets out the following for interconnected party approval of nominations: GTAC provisions Intra-Day Cycles provided for. First Gas to consult on any changes giving at least 60 Business Days’ notice of changes. 4.18 Shippers/OBA parties can request an extra cycle due to: Unplanned production outage Unplanned issue with a user where there is a material increase in the need for gas First Gas may initiate an extra cycle for technical reasons where operational capacity has been temporarily impacted 4.19 Party requesting an Extra ID cycle gives reasons, which are published by First Gas. The Extra ID cycle will be notified one hour prior to the cycle. 4.20 Extra ID cycle is available to all points in the system. 4.21 The party requesting the cycle gives a report on the event within 2 business days. First Gas Position: Number of ID cycles is well established Difficult to staff further ID cycles and may not be practicable for all stakeholders Extra ID cycle provisions allow for unforeseen events to be catered for

6 Key features of UK NDM scheme
Scope Nomination Technical Basis Supply points that serve NDM sites -residential, commercial or light industrial Daily meter reading required for consumption > 210 TJ/year. TO issues an hour prior to the nomination cut-off No nomination is made by the shipper Shippers cannot overwrite the nomination Built from sophisticated modelling Type of users served by the point, usage profiles of different types of users, normalised weather patterns, and user responsiveness to weather Model developed by XOserve as a service to the National Grid (TO) TO combines this with highly granular weather forecast data to create the NDM estimations Generally accurate to within 1-2% of actual flows Administration Contractual Obligations Cost allocation TO makes the nominations on behalf of the shipper XOserve is responsible for data analysis and technical development of the demand estimation process Demand estimation methodology is overseen by the Demand Estimation Subcommittee of shippers convened by the Joint Office of Gas Transporters (which oversees the UNC). Shippers with NDM nominations are not subject to scheduling charges Still pay capacity, commodity and balancing charges. Funded 50% by shippers and 50% by distribution companies Cost for 2018/19 year is £1.3 million ($2.6 million NZD).

7 NZ vs UK Markets Market Structure Market Characteristics NZ UK Length
NZ UK Length 2,505 km 7,660 km Distribution companies 4 8 + Independents Capacity booking model Daily capacity booking (under GTAC) Regular auctions of entry and exit capacity Daily scheduling model Combined with capacity booking Daily nominations for delivery of gas NZ (%) UK (%) Electricity generation 26.5 30 Industrial (Total) Petrochemical feedstock Petrochemical process Industrial 65.8 20.5 30.5 14.8 23 Commercial 4.2 6 Residential 3.5 41

8 Scheme principles The system would need to be cost-effective to implement The system would need to achieve a reduction in effort and/or risk for Mass Market Shippers commensurate with the cost imposed There would need to be equity in terms of cost with shippers making nominations (subject to cost recovery) Shippers would have the option of overwriting the nomination.

9 Core design Key questions:
Scope Nomination Loads in allocation groups 5 and 6 under the downstream reconciliation rules for gas delivered to allocated gates Separate nomination for non-mass market load that they supply in each delivery zone Congested points would be excluded from the scheme Made by the TSO and issued one hour prior to the ID cycle deadline to allow for review by the shipper If there was no communication from the shipper, it would be deemed approved Key questions: Have we got the right allocation groups? Should there be another basis? Should shippers be able to overwrite the nomination? What would happen if they did? First Gas Position: We think these are the right groups to target We consider it is important that shippers have optionality in the scheme but need to ensure that there is enough load to fund the scheme and there is equity

10 Detailed design options
Option 1 Option 2 Technical basis for nomination Estimate based on ICP data from that area for the load type and time of year Average of last 10 deliveries for that point Who calculates the nomination? Third party contracted by industry TSO Industry Oversight Oversight committee for third party contract performance/drive demand research programme None required as simple average Charging Premium on DNC (likely to be around $0.05/GJ) to fund third party contract Net overrun/underrun charge per GJ shipped under the scheme based on the average % net overrun/underrun charge per GJ shipped for all shippers on the network Funding GIC levy Within existing First Gas revenue cap Key questions: What is the right level of sophistication of the scheme? Are there funding risks associated with either option?

11 First Gas Assessment Option 1 Option 2 Cost effective to implement
Option 1 Option 2 Cost effective to implement May have a significant cost impact and an impost on industry for oversight Low cost to implement Reduction in effort As the nomination is generated for the shipper, the effort required by the shipper is reduced Reduction in risk The cost is a simple pro-rata levy so the risk of cost variability is eliminated The cost applied would be as if the mass market shipper was an average shipper in terms of accuracy. The averaging is likely to reduce variability of costs year on year and therefore risk. However, there may be slight variations year on year Equity with other shippers It would be difficult to know whether there was equity with other shippers until full costs for the year were known The amount paid would be the same as if the shipper were an average- performing shipper

12 3.2 PRs Discussion Objective GTAC Reference FAP Findings
Identify changes required to address PR issues raised in FAP s. 3.13, 3.25 FAP Findings Supporting Material FG discretion to negotiate SAs could allocate scarce capacity outside PR process (88) Transfer between end-users if they change shippers not clear (43) Shippers may not give best estimate of capacity and FG may not police this (43) NA

13 Transfer of PRs when end users change shippers
The GTAC sets out the following for PR transfers: GTAC provisions 3.21 Subject to section 3.22, a Shipper may trade whole numbers only of PRs with any other Shipper at any time (with the transfer of PRs occurring during the PR Term), using the trading platform specified by First Gas for that purpose (which may be part of OATIS). In relation to any trade, the parties must enter on the trading platform: (a) the name of the Congested Delivery Point; (b) the identities of the buyer and seller; (c) the number of PRs to be traded; and (d) the Day on which the trade will become effective (which must be after the Day on which the trade is lodged). After any trade becomes effective, First Gas will update the Shippers’ PR holdings on OATIS. No trade of PRs will affect the relevant PR Effective Date or PR Term. 3.22 Promptly following any agreement to trade PRs, the buyer must notify First Gas of the amount payable to (or by) the seller for the total PRs to be traded (the Trade Price, expressed as positive or negative $/PR). The Trade Price is separate from, and unrelated to the Priority Rights Charge, which will continue to be payable by the Shipper who holds the PRs at any time. First Gas will publish the Trade Price on OATIS. First Gas will have no responsibility for, or role in relation to the Trade Price. Key questions: Should PRs follow users? At what level does this become practicable? First Gas Position: PR allocation is on the basis of willingness to pay for the capacity at a point PRs are paid monthly so transfer is flexible It is not practicable to transfer PRs if over all classes or users – e.g. allocation bands 5 and 6 There would need to be a price associated with the transfer, which could be benchmarked on the last auction

14 Shippers giving the best estimate of capacity
The GTAC sets out the following for nominations at congested delivery points: GTAC provisions 10.4 Each Shipper warrants that for any Congested Delivery Point its NQs will represent its best estimate of its End-users’ requirements and that it will not inflate those NQs with the intention of securing a greater share of the Available Operational Capacity. First Gas Position: All parties using the transmission system have a duty to act as a Reasonable and Prudent Operator As the auction of PRs reflects the value each party puts on capacity at a point, it is unlikely that shippers will be incentivised overbuy PRs which limits their ability to overinflate NQs The underrun charges also incentivise accurate nominations and therefore disincentivises overnomination First Gas considers that part of its duties as an RPO is to enforce the GTAC First Gas considers that the provisions of the GTAC adequately address this aspect

15 PRs and Supplementary Agreements
The GTAC sets out the following requirements for SAs in relation to PRs GTAC provisions 7.1 Any Shipper may at any time request First Gas to enter into a Supplementary Agreement. First Gas will promptly evaluate that request against any of the following criteria: (a) the amount of transmission capacity requested, including whether providing it would affect Available Operational Capacity to the extent of impeding or forestalling opportunities more beneficial to First Gas and other users of the Transmission System; (b) whether the Shipper (or End-user) can demonstrate that it has a practical opportunity to bypass the Transmission System or use an alternative fuel that is cheaper than Gas; (c) whether the Shipper (or End-user) can demonstrate that paying First Gas’ standard transmission fees would be uneconomic; and (d) whether the Shipper (or End-user) is the sole user of the relevant Delivery Point or other transmission assets and those assets would cease to be useful were the End-user to cease using Gas. 7.4 A Supplementary Agreement may vary the terms and conditions of the Code in relation to some or all of the following (and only the following) matters: (g) setting the priority of Supplementary Capacity in relation to DNC with Priority Rights Key questions: Should congestion be a consideration in First Gas’ discretion on Supplementary Agreements? How should priority for available capacity be allocated between SAs and other contractual products? (e.g. DNC) First Gas Position: We feel that consideration of congestion is sufficiently covered by part of s.7.1(a) SAs are only used to bring users on to the system who would not otherwise be using gas and therefore serve to reduce tariffs for other users We understand the need for certainty over PRs and therefore need to clarify the relationship between PRs and supplementary capacity

16 3.3 Wash-up Principle and Approach
Discussion Objective GTAC Reference Present washup principles for consultation with shippers FAP Findings Supporting Material Wash-up agreement should be simple to prepare (68) Not concerned that a wash-up agreement is still to be negotiated (126) Washup Principles Current arrangements Proposed arrangements

17 Current Arrangements - overview and data
Allowance for wash-ups to apply Wash-up data sources Both codes allow for wash-ups to be applied to invoices based on new (more accurate) data. No time limit on wash-ups under the MPOC. Under the VTC changes to invoicing are limited to 18 months following the month of the invoice Under the VTC invoices may be reopened after the time limit due to wash-ups under the MPOC or Special Allocations from the Downstream Reconciliation Rules (DRRs) at the discretion of First Gas. Under the MPOC, the data is sourced from welded parties VTC relies on external data and allocations, and corrections are therefore reliant on the schedule for provision of that data. These include: Gas Transfer Agreements (GTAs) for receipt quantities MBB D+1 Pilot Agreement calculations DRRs data Methodologies in the VTC itself OATIS data for metering Maui system cashout data Under the DRRs and the MBB D+1 Pilot Agreement, the following timing applies for provision of allocation information (and potential for wash-up adjustments): D+1 Allocation – business day following flow Interim Allocation – published 4 months after flow Final Allocation – published 13 months after flow

18 Current Arrangements - calculations
Transmission Invoice Both codes use: Calculated amount using new data less Previously calculated amount = Wash-up amount Balancing Invoice MPOC has no formula prescribed for calculating these wash-ups in the MPOC and the application to operational imbalance would be discussed with the affected parties as to how they are applied. VTC balancing is linked to the Maui system and separated into BPP Pools which are based on the TP Welded Point connections to the Maui pipeline (Frankley Road, Pirongia, Pokuru and Rotowaro). Each BPP Pool is washed-up when Interim or Final Allocation is produced or there are any other changes to the relevant data. No wash-ups between D+1 Allocations and the Initial Allocations. Wash-ups are applied through an adjustment to gas quantities and charged amounts. VTC wash-ups are aligned with the DRRs allocations: Interim Allocation activated wash-up – Any data changes since the Initial/D+1 balancing calculation Final Allocation activated wash-up – Any data changes since the Interim Allocation wash-up VTC balancing quantity wash-up calculation is defined by the MBB D+1 Pilot Agreement in Schedule 3 Based on the closing position running mismatch for each day compared to the previous allocation’s closing position running mismatch for the day. Adjustments applied evenly over the next month Cash-out cost to be adjusted is based on the volume difference and price difference for the original and revised cash-outs. This is included in the next month’s balancing invoice.

19 GTAC Arrangements The GTAC provides for wash-up adjustments to receipt or delivery quantities due to: Allocations by the Allocation Agent through an operational balancing arrangement (OBA), an allocation agreement (AA) or the DRRs Corrections applied due to inaccurate metering These wash-ups affect the following items in the GTAC: Running Mismatch balances and Excess Running Mismatch Charges Allocation of Balancing Gas Charges Transmission Charges. Applied as debits/credits with the next invoice. Applied up to 26 months after an invoice has been issued. Calculation method to be contained in the Wash-up Agreement to be agreed between First Gas and all system users.

20 Proposed Wash-up Agreement principles
Based on existing methodologies documented in the MBB D+1 Pilot Agreement schedule 3 Correction of gas quantity and value in each wash-up. Any resulting changes to previously calculated charges will be applied as debits/credits with the next invoice Transmission Invoice Amounts will be determined for changes in quantity data that are received after the Initial Allocation during a month Changes to Transmission Charges will be calculated as a result of the change in quantities Balancing Invoice Amounts will be determined for changes in quantity data that are received during a month Excess Running Mismatch (ERM) Charges: Changes to Running Mismatch (RM) will be calculated as a result of the change in quantities and applied as quantities Changes to Excess ERM will be calculated Changes to ERM Charges will be calculated based on the prevailing ERM fee on that day when ERM was incurred Balancing Gas Costs and Credits RM will be re-calculated as a result of the change in quantities and applied as quantities Allocation of balancing gas will be re-calculated based on the changed RM amounts. Adjustments to RM positions in the following month will be made as a result. Allocation of balancing gas costs will be re-calculated based on the changed RM amounts. Costs will be based on the balancing gas purchase price for the day. 

21 Opening GTAC Running Mismatch Positions Status of D+1 Allocations
Other arrangements Other transitional arrangements that will need to be considered with wash ups: Opening GTAC Running Mismatch Positions Status of D+1 Allocations MPOC - First Gas must settle ROI using the Average Market Price. Scope for wash-ups to be applied following termination. The GTAC requires D+1 allocations and MBB Pilot Agreement (or a suitable replacement methodology) to function Interim and Final Allocation wash-ups are made under the MBB D+1 Pilot Agreement D+1 allocations are currently made official via Special Allocations GIC at the end of each month VTC - First Gas must settle Running Mismatch by purchasing/selling that quantity or by making that quantity available to the Shipper. Wash-ups continue for 5 years after termination. Agreements D+1 Data Agreement between First Gas and the GIC can survive VTC MBB D+1 Pilot Agreement needs to be replaced First Gas Position: The opening GTAC running mismatch positions are a transitional arrangement that will be treated in the September workshops The D+1 Data Agreement can be amended to ensure the D+1 allocations continue A replacement is needed for Schedule 3 of the MBB D+1 Pilot Agreement to form the Wash-up Agreement under the GTAC The form and content of this Agreement should be industry driven

22 Downstream Reconciliation Rules
D+1 Agreements The GTAC Relies on the D+1 Agreements to Function MBB D+1 Pilot Agreement D+1 Data Agreement Downstream Reconciliation Rules D+1 data used to calculate Shipper VTC balancing positions and allocate cash-out amounts and quantities. GIC produces D+1 allocations Regulations for determining Initial, Interim, Final and Special Allocations First Gas agrees to use that dataD+1 Data Agreement DRRs Interim and Final Allocations used to calculate wash-ups of balancing positions and allocated cash-out amounts and quantities. Key questions: Are the changes to the MBB D+1 Pilot Agreement, D+1 Data Agreement and Downstream Reconciliation Rules administrative? If not, why not? First Gas position: These agreements are beneficial to stakeholders The changes required to these agreements are administrative It is the role of the GIC to drive the changes to these agreement


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