1. Social Protection Floors Assessment Based National Dialogues Nuno Cunha – Technical Advisor on Social Security International Labour Organization 18th February, 2015
Building Social Protection Floors in Southern Africa

2. Integrated Frameworks of Social Protection Programs
There is a variety of ways/methods to develop integrated frameworks
One methodology recently developed and tested by the UN is the SPF Assessment Based National Dialogues

3. In 3 pics - What is the Assessment Based National Dialogue?

4. What is the Assessment Based National Dialogue?
Tool to develop integrated, coherent and co-ordinated Social Protection systems aligned to individual country situations
Uses a number of processes and tools (consultations, costing tools, research) to identify social protection needs
Has been adapted and used in Namibia, Mozambique, Malawi, Thailand and Vietnam

5. Objectives of ABND Using a participatory approach ABND:
identifies the existing situation and gaps in the social protection system
develops recommendations for achieving better coverage

6. Typical Questions raised by ABND process
1. What is the social protection situation?
2. What are the coverage gaps, issues, duplications
3. What should be done to reduce the gaps ?
4. How much would it cost today and in the future?
5. Can the Government afford it? Do we need to increase the fiscal space? Do we need to prioritize?
6. How to ensure that the recommendations are endorsed and listened to?

7. Steps of ABND
Step 1 – Building the assessment matrix including the identification of priority recommendations
Step 2 – Rapid Assessment Protocol to estimate the cost of implementing the social protection provisions
Step 3 – Finalisation of the assessment report for endorsement and further action by the higher levels of government

8. Involving stakeholders
ABND is a participatory approach which should involve all relevant stakeholders
It entails bilateral consultations, workshops, and technical seminars
One Ministry as representative of Government should take the lead.
Working with stakeholders with political power and expertise can avoid potential blockage
It’s also an opportunity to bring the dialogue out of the traditional “Social Protection Box” and bring influences and influence positively other actors

9. Involving stakeholders
Line ministries (Community Development, Labour, Health,, Planning, Interior, Education, Finance, Agriculture, Women’s Affairs, etc.), social security institutions, Cabinet
ABND
Local governments
Workers’ and employers’ organizations
National Statistics Office, academicians
UN agencies involved in SP, World Bank, bilateral partners
Civil society

10. Uses a live cycle approach (SPF)
Four basic guarantees: 
Do residents have access to essential health care, including maternity care? 
Do children enjoy basic income security, providing access to nutrition, education, care, and any other necessary goods and services? 
Do persons in active age who cannot earn sufficient income, enjoy basic income security, particularly in cases of sickness, unemployment, maternity, disability? 
Do older persons have basic income security?

11. Step 1: Building the assessment matrix
SPF objectives
Govt strategy
Existing provisions
Policy gaps
Implement-ation issues
Recomm-endations
Health
Children
Working age
Elderly
Identifying existing situation in the country
Identifying policy gaps and implementation issues, addressing which would complete the SPF
Priority policy options, decided through national dialogue
Four SPF guarantees

12. Step 2: Rapid Assessment Protocol
Recommendations are translated into scenarios, i.e. specific social protection policy options
Cost of implementing the scenarios is calculated using RAP worksheets
Estimated cost can be linked to fiscal space (GDP and government budget) to check their feasibility

13. Step 3: Finalization and endorsement
Presenting to higher levels of Government
Finalising the ABND report with stakeholders
Government may endorse or ‘test’ some recommendations
or/and conduct further studies:
actuarial
legal
human capacity
Functional review

14. Step 3: Finalization and endorsement
Advocating to policy-makers can be done with:
Evidence from other countries
Economic models to demonstrate the expected impact of policy options on reduction in poverty and inequality, increase in growth, productivity and employability
Financial models to assess the return on social investment
Communication and awareness generation among people, government, civil society, social partners

15. Strengths of ABND
It provides a coordinated, holistic and coherent approach to the development of social protection in a country
It feeds national dialogue on social protection, priority policy options, problems in providing social protection and ways to address the issues
It provides evidence on the feasibility of different policy options
It can serve as a baseline for monitoring of Social Protection implementation (within the national framework)

16. SOME EXAMPLES FROM OTHER COUNTRIES

17. Expansion Plan for one Program
MOZAMBIQUE
The costing exercise (RAPS) was used to define the current programs
The result was the expansion of some programs, the creation of new programs and closing (merging) other programs
The final product was a “around” 20 pages document approved by the Council of Ministers
Expansion Plan for one Program

18. Expansion Plan for a second program including value of the transfers
MOZAMBIQUE
Expansion Plan for a second program including value of the transfers

19. Final SP expansion plan
MOZAMBIQUE
2012
2013
2014
Basic Social Subsidy Programme
280,244
287,637
311,238
Direct Social Support Programme
37,243
46,617
58,029
Social Action’s Social Services
2,159
2,253
2,351
Productive Social Action Programme
174,994
295,629
443,363
TOTAL
2506,64
2645,136
2828,981
Total Costs
2012
2013
2014
10ˆ3 Mts
% GDP
% SB
Direct Social Subsidy Programme
1,287,854
0.30
0.86
1,452,811
1,684,805
Direct Social Support Programme
291,264
0.07
0.19
393,467
0.08
0.22
498,526
0.09
0.25
Social Action’s Social Services
54,406
0.01
0.04
71,885
85,574
Productive Social Action Programme
841,122
0.20
0.56
1,506,561
0.87
2,348,485
0.41
1.2
TOTAL
1188,933 58
165
469,682 69
199
589,422 81
118
Final SP expansion plan

20. NAMIBIA

21. NAMIBIA

22. Presenting the results - Thailand
Cost (as a percentage of GDP) of low and high scenarios

23. The process in Myanmar