1. THE FUTURE OF SOUTH AFRICAN FISHERIES, POLICY AND IMPLEMENTATION CHALLENGES
Doug S Butterworth
MARAM (Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group)
Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics
University of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7701, South Africa

2. OUTLINE I. RIGHTS II. CAPACITY III. RESOURCES IV. OTHER DAFF DEA
Research
III. RESOURCES
Hake
Anchovy
West Coast Rock Lobster
IV. OTHER
Small scale
Poaching
Eco-certification – MSC and SASSI
ENGOs – MPAs etc.

3. I. RIGHTS THE FUNDAMENTAL PROBLEM OF FIXED PERIOD RIGHTS
THE END OF THE PERIOD
INSTABILITY
LONG-TERM PLANNING PROBLEMS
ANTI-CONSERVATION PRESSURES
LOTTERY BASED ON WHO HAS THE MOST POLITICAL INFLUENCE AT THE TIME
NEED A FULL DEBATE ON A REPLACEMENT
ATTRITION?

4. II. CAPACITY DAFF b) DEA c) RESEARCH WEAKENING
LACK OF ENGAGEMENT BY SENIOR OFFICIALS
b) DEA
MARINE POLICY/STRATEGIC THINKING VACUUM?
c) RESEARCH
EXPERTISE ERODING (Institutional support??)
POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE
NEED FOR MAJOR INDUSTRY INVOLVEMENT?

5. III. RESOURCES HAKE ANCHOVY and SARDINE c) WEST COAST ROCK LOBSTER
DOWNWARD RESOURCE TREND ANTICIPATED
EARLIER CATCH CUT TO ENHANCE CATCH RATES?
ANCHOVY and SARDINE
ANCHOVY UNDERUTILISED
SARDINE PROBLEMATIC; SPATIAL MANAGEMENT
c) WEST COAST ROCK LOBSTER
SMALL SCALE
POACHING
AREA 8+ APPROACHING E.C. THRESHOLD

6. IV OTHER
a) SMALL SCALE
LACK OF CLARITY:
QUANTA
MONITORING
ENFORCEMENT

7. IV OTHER b) POACHING INADEQUATE QUANTIFICATION INADEQUATE COMPLIANCE
ABALONE WELL ON THE ROAD TO COMMERCIAL EXTINCTION
WEST COAST ROCK LOBSTER???

8. IV OTHER c) ECO-CERTIFICATION SASSI MSC ONLY GAME IN TOWN
WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY NECESSARY
SASSI
CONSISTENCY/STAFF STABILITY

9. IV OTHER d) ENGOs Short-term expediency will come back to bite you
PARROT-CRIES FOR MPAs
SOME DEPEND ON CREATING MORE “ISSUES” FOR FUNDING
EXPECT INCREASING PRESSURES FROM ENGOs
STICK TO PRINCIPLE
Short-term expediency will come back to bite you

10. Thank you for your attention