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Health Statistics 卫生统计学.

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Presentation on theme: "Health Statistics 卫生统计学."— Presentation transcript:

1 Health Statistics 卫生统计学

2 Teaching Group Chuanhua Yu(宇传华),Professor Jing Sun (孙静), Lecture
Lu Ma (马露) , Lecture

3 Textbook Book 《卫生统计学 》(第六版),2008.5 主编: 方积乾 出版:人民卫生出版社 《卫生统计学学习指导 》

4 Reference Books Bowers David. Medical Statistics from Scratch:An Introduction for Health Professionals (Second Edition). John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2008. LE CHAP T. Introductory Biostatistics. John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2003. Petrie Aviva, Sabin Capoline. Medical Statistics at glance. Blackwell Science Ltd.,2000. 方积乾主编.生物医学研究的统计方法. 北京:高等教育出版社,2007.6(ISBN: ),604页 4

5 Method of learning Preparation Attending Recording Reviewing Practice

6 Exercise requirements
Translation Writing in English Detailed process Submit on time

7 Chapter 1 Introduction 绪论

8 Contents Statistics & Health statistics Types of data
Basic concepts of statistics

9 New words Statistics 统计学 Biostatistics 生物统计学 Health statistics 卫生统计学
Quantitative data Qualitative data Numerical data Categorical data 统计学 生物统计学 卫生统计学 定量数据 定性数据 数值型数据 分类型数据

10 Continuous data Discontinuous data Discrete data Binary data Ordinal data Nominal data Variable Random event Probability 连续型数据 非连续型数据 离散型数据 二分类数据 顺序型数据 名义型数据 变量 随机事件 概率

11 Population Sample Sample size Random sampling Sampling error Parameter Statistic Descriptive analysis Inferential analysis 总体 样本 样本量 随机抽样 抽样误差 参数 统计量 描述分析 推断分析

12 1,What is statistics? status state Data analysis statistics
Latin word state English word Data analysis statistics Data collection Data interpretation Conclusion evaluation modern Data collection Data interpretation classical

13 Basic idea of statistics
City A City B Data collection: 100 students students 30 short-sight short-sight Interpretation: 30% abnormal 20% abnormal Conclusion: The eyesight of students in city A are bad than those in city B. Evaluation: 1) Is this conclusion correct? 2) What is the reliability (可信度) of the conclusion?

14 Statistics (统计学): It is a branch of applied mathematics that refers to the collection and interpretation of data, and evaluation of the reliability of the conclusions based on the data.

15 Biostatistics (生物统计学): It is a branch of the statistics, in which the data are derived from the biological sciences and medicine.

16 Health Statistics It is a branch of the statistics, in which the data are derived from the medical researches about health care, health services, diseases prevention etc.

17 Application of data analysis in the medical research
What is the average birth-weight of infants born in Hubei province? Is there any differences of curative effect between two types of medicine? Which risk factors impact on the occurring of stomach cancer? How to predict the likelihood of recovery from a disease (prognosis of a disease)?

18 Example of detecting a complex relationship between factors
social economic status environment physical activity eating drinking smoking life style endogeneous factors endured glucose blood pressure weight cholesterol diabetes coronary heart disease diseases

19 The position of statistical analysis in medical research
improved knowledge doctor feedback statistical analysis evaluate treatment patients data

20 An important and necessary course for medicine students
It is an important & useful tool for enhancing the personal ability of medical research; It is also a necessary subject, like the medical imaging, taken part in an important role for improving the medical science.

21 History of statistics Beginning in 17th century, it is an application branch of probability theory. Calculators (60 decade of 20th) made the basic statistical analysis more applicable. Computers (80 decade of 20th) made the multi-variate statistical analysis more applicable

22 2, Types of data Data (数据):
It is an information derived from the different measuring devices.

23 Source of data Routine records Surveyed records Experimental records
External information

24 Types of data data Continuous ( 连续) Discontinuous (非连续) Discrete (离散)
Quantitative(定量) Numerical(数值) data Categorical(分类) Qualitative(定性) Ordinal ( 顺序) Nominal (名义)

25 Quantitative or numerical data
Quantitative / numerical data (定量 / 数值数据): It is the data with unit (or scale) and origin . eg, blood pressure --- continuous white blood cells --- discrete

26 Qualitative or categorical data
(定性 / 分类数据): It is the data without unit (or scale) and origin . eg, sex binary (二分类) likeness ordinal (有序多分类) occupation nominal (无序多分类)

27 3, Basic concepts of statistics
Variable(变量): It is a set of data observed from different persons, place, things, etc, and it describes a certain characteristic.

28 Data and variable id sex age weight height health 1 m 25 70 1.75 a 2 f
21 57 1.66 b 3 28 55 1.6 4 23 79 1.7 c 5 29 60 1.77

29 Event & random event Event (事件):
Suppose something has k different outcomes, and only one outcome can occurs at a time, then each possible outcome is called as an event. eg, tossing a two-sides coin: head or tail.

30 Random event (随机事件): If the outcome of an event is unknown before trial, then this event is called as a random event. eg, throwing a 6-side die: 1,2,3,4,5,6.

31 Probability (概率): It is a measure of the likelihood of a random event occurring, using “P” represents it, and 0≤P≤1.

32 1) tossing a two-sides coin: head or tail.
P (head facing up) = 1/2 2) throwing a six-sides die: 1,2,3,4,5,6 faces. 1 2 3 P (number ‘6’ facing up) = 1/6

33 Population population full data set : X1,X2,…,XN research target
conclusions population full data set : X1,X2,…,XN The blood glucose concentration of female aged 25-39 in Hubei province The weight of boys aged 5-10 year olds in Wuhan city.

34 Population (总体): All collection of measurements about which one wish to draw conclusions.

35 Sample small population population large population sample
subset of data: x1,x2,…,xn

36 Sample (样本): It is a subset of population, and the conclusions about the population can be drawn from it. Sample size (样本量): n The number of individual observations in a sample.

37 Random sample sample A subset of population Random sample
The conclusions about the population can be drawn from the sample. Random sampling Each member of the population has an equal chance to be selected The selection of any member from population does not influence the selection of any other member. equal chance independent each other

38 Random sample (随机样本): Each member of the population has an equal chance to be selected and all samples are independent each other.

39 How to draw a random sample?
There are many methods to draw a random sample, for example: Simple random sampling System random sampling Clustering random sampling Stratified random sampling Random numbers

40 Table of random numbers
Example: random sampling 10 students from a class with 70 students. Assign each student in the classroom a unique number from 1 to 70. Determine the beginning 2-digits number to be used on the random number table, eg, 1st row and 6th column, the 2-digits number is 76. Read the random numbers from the beginning number, if the random number >70 or =0, then jump to next number, otherwise, record the number in a paper, if the number is repeated appearing, also jump to next number, do this until a total of 10 different random numbers between 1-70 are recorded. Select the students who has the recorded random number. ie,. The 10 students are those who have the random numbers: 52, 01, 35, 16, 67, 23, 48, 11, 37, 24.

41 Parameter and statistic
population sample Parameter (参数) Statistic(统计量) population mean sample mean

42 What is a good estimate of parameter?
statistic unknown known good estimate unbiased precision consistent

43 systematic error(系统误差)
Types of error systematic error(系统误差) ----avoidable error random error(随机误差) ----unavoidable Difference between true and estimate.

44 Sampling error (抽样误差): A type of random error, it is due to the random sampling and the variation between individuals. Random variable(随机变量): A variable measured with random error. Fixed variable(固定变量): A variable measured without random error.

45 Types of statistical analysis
Descriptive analysis (描述分析) Collect data Interpretation of data (draw conclusion) Inferential analysis (推断分析) Evaluate the reliability of the conclusions

46 Summary Medical statistics Types of data Population and sample
Random sampling Parameter and statistic Random event & probability

47 Reading 《卫生统计学》 第一章 绪 论

48 The end


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