1. News Trade Identification Plan
How to Forecast
Economic Indicator
Releases
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3. FXRenew News Trading Plan
10-12 short term opportunities per month, based on %-deviations from consensus and/or anomalies
Best Practices:
If your fundamental proxy work is inconclusive or conflicting, avoid trading that particular release. The best trades are evident.
Look for a significant deviation from expectations (over & above a threshold value that is unique to each release)
Attempt to guesstimate the market’s positioning. Best odds are when the market is in a range, or when the release happens against an established trend.
Do not trade ahead of the actual release. That’s called gambling. Instead, wait until after the release and verify that your work, and the market’s reaction, justify a trade.
Bet small on each news trade because they are aggressive short-term opportunities and need to be treated as such.

4. Logical Proxies for CPI
Look for clues in the most recent:
Prices component of the ISM and Producer Price Index (for the USA)
Prices component of the PMI reports and BRC Shop Prices (for the UK)
Google Search for BRC
Prices component of the Aig PMIs (for Australia)
Prices component of the IVEY PMI and Wholesale Prices (for Canada)
Google Search for Wholesale Prices
Prices component of the BusinessNZ PMIs and Food Prices (for New Zealand)

5. Logical Proxies for Retail Sales
Look for clues in the most recent:
Sales and Employment component of the ISM plusRedbook (for the USA)
Sales and Employment component of the PMI reports and CBI Retail Trade Survey (for the UK)
Google Search for CBI
Sales and Employment component of the Aig PMIs (for Australia)
Sales and Employment component of the IVEY PMI and Wholesale Sales (for Canada)
Google Search for WholeSale Sales
Sales and Employment component of the BusinessNZ PMIs and Food Prices (for New Zealand)
Google Search for Food Prices

6. Logical Proxies for Employment
Look for clues in the most recent:
Employment component of the ISM (for the USA)*
Employment component of the PMI reports and UK report on Jobs (for the UK)
Employment component of the Aig PMIs (for Australia)
Employment component of the IVEY PMI (for Canada)
Employment component of the BusinessNZ PMIs (for New Zealand)
*Please note that we do not actively target or trade NonFarm Payrolls.

7. Logical Proxies for Advance GDP Reports
Look for clues in the average performance during the most recent 3 months compared to the previous
3 months in:
Retail Sales
Employment component of the PMI reports
Trade Balance
Use TradingEconomics just like for Retail Sales

8. THANK YOU!
THANK YOU!