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Institute for Policy Research Symposium Lost Youth in the 21st Century

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Presentation on theme: "Institute for Policy Research Symposium Lost Youth in the 21st Century"— Presentation transcript:

1 Institute for Policy Research Symposium Lost Youth in the 21st Century
Can policy influence the subjective well-being of young people? Jonathan Bradshaw Institute for Policy Research Symposium Lost Youth in the 21st Century University of Bath 17 September 2014

2 Outline of argument New interest in subjective well-being both nationally and internationally Some of it focussed on children and youth There is evidence that subjective well-being varies Between countries Within countries over time Also associated with objective well-being at an international level. But in micro analysis difficult to explain variation. Therefore policy responses not easy to determine

3 Objective versus subjective well-being
Well-being multi-dimensional Objective= material, health, education, (employment), safety, housing and environment, participation/inclusion. Subjective= feelings. Hedonic Affective: positive (joy) and negative feelings (anxiety) Cognitive: Life satisfaction Eudaimonic: purpose in life, flourishing…. Subjective can be objectively measured In practice mainly cognitive

4 Why is there new interest in SWB
The outcomes of social policy often evaluated using money metrics Poverty Inequality Spending per capita Income not reliable Lots of good things left out of GDP Personal love and care Quality of the environment/Absence of pollution Freedom, Justice Increasing GDP (after a certain level) does not lead to increased happiness. Easterlin paradox

5 Life satisfaction (Cantril’s ladder) by GDP per capita OECD (2011)

6 Beyond Money Richard Layard (2005) Happiness
Critique of mainstream economics Prosperity Paradox Strive to increase income Much richer than in the past We are not happier

7 Stiglitz/Sen/Fitoussi Commission (2009)on the Measurement of Economic Performance and Social Progress Well-being: Material living standards Health Personal activities/work Political voice/governance Social connections/relationships Environment present/future Insecurity Elements of quality of life/subjective well-being: Happiness Life satisfaction Positive affect (joy/pride) Negative affect (pain/worry)

8 OECD (2011) : How’s Life. Life satisfaction 2010

9 Beyond Money It's time we admitted that there's more to life than money, and it's time we focused not just on GDP but on GWB - General Wellbeing. It's about the beauty of our surroundings, the quality of our culture and above all the strength of our relationships. There is a deep satisfaction which comes from belonging to someone and to some place. David Cameron, May 2006

10 Why well-being matters
Promoting well-being is a reasonable goal for any society Studying well-being can enable us to understand what matters in people’s lives In the UK ONS has established two programmes to measure national subjective well-being of Adults Children

11 Understanding national well-being - ONS
Personal well-being Life satisfaction Life worthwhile Happiness yesterday Happiness with appearance Relationships Health What we do Where we live Personal finance Education skills Economy Governance Natural environment guidance/well-being/index.html

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13 Comparative indices of child well-being
State of the World’s Children (UNICEF) Innocenti Report Cards (UNICEF) Doing Better for Children (OECD) Child poverty and derivation (EU) Child well-being (EU Tarki) African Report on Child Well-being (ACPF) Multi-dimensional child poverty (Bristol) Many, many national reports

14 Our research on child well-being
The well-being of children in the UK – three reviews latest Bradshaw, J. (ed) (2011) The Well-being of Children in the United Kingdom, Bristol: Policy Press International comparative studies of child well- being – EU, OECD/UNICEF, CEECIS, Pacific Rim The well-being of children - at small area level in England using indicators Bradshaw J, Noble M, Bloor K, Huby M, McLennan D, Rhodes D, Sinclair I, Wilkinson K. (2009) A Child Well-Being Index at Small Area Level in England, J. Child Indicators Research 2, 2, The subjective well-being of children – Children’s Society survey od_report_2014_-_final.pdf Trends in the subjective wellbeing of children

15 UNICEF (2007) Report on Child Well Being

16 UNICEF 2013 child well-being

17 OECD Index of child well-being

18 Pacific Rim Material situation Health Education Subjective well- being
Living environment Risk and safety Japan Hong Kong Singapore China Korea Vietnam Philippines Thailand Australia Taiwan Indonesia New Zealand Malaysia

19 CEECIS index Average rank Material Housing Health Education Personal
Family Risk Croatia 3.4 1 4 7 9 Bosnia Herzegovina 4.8 3 13 - 2 FYR Macedonia 6.3 8 10 6 Serbia 6.6 5 11 Uzbekistan 7.5 14 Turkmenistan 7.6 15 Belarus 8.3 16 Montenegro 8.6 12 Bulgaria 10.6 18 Ukraine 19 Kazakhstan 11.1 17 Russia 11.3 20 Kyrgyzstan 11.7 Romania 12.0 Armenia 12.1 Georgia 13.6 Turkey 14.0 Azerbaijan 14.1 Albania 14.4 Tajikistan 21 Moldova 16.1

20 Child well-being by GDP Euros per capita: EU only

21 WELL-BEING BY CHILD POVERTY RATE: EU only

22 Child well-being and inequality: EU only

23 WELL-BEING BY FAMILY BREAKDOWN

24 Why subjective well-being might not be a cause for social policy
Measures not very good Lost in translation – life satisfaction Adaptive preferences Homeostatic adaptation Difficult to explain variations Personality a factor Most important factor relationships and choice - ?social policies But

25 Demographic variables only
Multiple regression of subjective well-being: England (The Children’s Society) Variable Demographic variables only + deprivation scale + family type Year group (6 as reference) 8 -1.16** -1.39** -1.33** 10 -2.82** -2.86** -2.80** Ethnicity (white as reference) Mixed -0.83 NS -0.82 NS -0.91 NS Indian -1.06 NS -0.36 NS -0.65 NS Pakistani/ Bangladeshi -0.59 NS -0.52 NS Black -0.18 NS 0.23 NS 0.33 NS Other 0.59 NS 0.56 NS 0.42 NS Number of siblings (none as reference) 1 0.30 NS 0.20 NS 0.07 NS 2 0.09 NS -0.03 NS -0.21 NS 3+ 0.01 NS 0.02 NS Sex (boy as reference) -0.66 * -0.73* Learning difficulties (no as reference) -0.60 NS -0.31 NS -0.32 NS Physical disability (no as reference) -1.39 NS -1.07 NS -1.18 NS Deprivation score -0.68** -0.64** Family type (both parents as reference) Lone parent -1.26** Step family -0.90* -4.68* 0.09 0.17 0.19

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27 Overall subjective well-being HBSC

28 Mean life satisfaction among 12-year-olds in 11 countries: Children’s Worlds Pilot

29 Correlations with subjective well-being

30 Objective and subjective child well-being: UNICEF 2013

31 Social spending and subjective well-being

32 Child happiness has increased in the UK
Mean happiness of year olds (BHPS/US ). With 95% confidence intervals)

33 Why? Reduction in child poverty? Big increase in spending on children?
Institutional transformation? Is it schools – social and emotional education and anti bullying? Is it social networking - friends and girls? Is it getting worse now?

34 We have much to learn How to measure well-being
How to affect it with public policy How to organise to influence it It varies over time It varies between countries It varies between individuals What effects your well-being? What can be done to improve it?

35 Thank you for listening


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