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Interesting times John Bryant April 2018
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Setting the scene No majority Political fluidity
Future prospects – 2022? Brexit
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No majority To win – 326 Two-party politics 2015 – Tories 330, Lab 232
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Political fluidity Parliamentary management Current polling
Internal stresses Tories: Who (if anyone) after May? Will the real Labour Party please stand up? A Centre Party? er…wasn’t that the Lib Dems?
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Future prospects – 2022? Election timing
Signs of political realignment? Labour win Canterbury Tories win Mansfield Scope for repositioning Moving to the centre
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Brexit
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Politics and priorities for housing
Grenfell 14 June 2017: The day everything changed A catastrophic failure – … but of regulation or compliance? A culture of safety or one of compliance? Who will pay? Green paper Supply, supply, supply Our Offer to Tenants
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What housing and for whom?
Traditional ownership Down to 63.4% in 2016 Market rent Rebalancing ownership and renting The social sector Shared ownership Affordable rent Social rent
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Rents after 2020 Rent freedom or rent certainty?
But is that really the choice? The status quo ante: CPI+1 Mind the small print Affordable rent 5% tolerance Service charges Impact of welfare changes
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Deregulation or reregulation?
Regulating housing across the board Safety issues Especially fire Gas servicing Fitness for habitation Single housing ombudsman Regulating social housing specifically Disposals Changing face of the sector Private investors increasingly interested Poorer returns from offices and shopping malls
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A few other bits and pieces …
A separate regulator Charities What they can do and what they can’t Leaseholds No new leasehold houses (usually) Peppercorn ground rents Procurement Assume EU rules will still apply after Brexit GDPR All happens on 25 May Data Protection Bill Whose data? Legitimate purpose and consent
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John Bryant Policy Leader 020 7067 1082 john.bryant@housing.org.uk
April 2018
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