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Examples of Analytics in Higher Education
Karl Konsdorf Manager, Research, Analytics and Reporting Office: Jared
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Agenda Analytics: A Quick Primer
Three Example of Analytics in Higher Education Building the Analytical Organization Karl Start
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Water water everywhere, but not a drop to drink!
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Data Data everywhere, but no one to help me think!
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Data – Data - Data? We are drowning in data but starving for knowledge
~50 years to realize that Data is a valuable asset Data volumes are growing exponentially 161 exabytes (161 billion gigabytes) of digital information were created in 2006 – 3 million times the information in all of the books ever written (IDC, 2006) US produces ~40% of these new stored data worldwide Why worry about data? [slide info] A few more examples: Walmart stores 100 millions transactions per day. Google has indexed more than 4 billion web pages – each containing lots of data. 5
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Data – Data - Data? Other Data volume examples…..
U.S. Internal Revenue Service loads 1.7 Terabytes of new individual and business tax information into its system each year Computerworld Magazine (10 September 2007) Amount of stored data worldwide will approach 1 Zettabyte by 2010 Disk Storage Costs (per gigabyte) $202 $28 $5 $1 Why worry about this data explosion in higher education? Because the future technologies are data-intensive! 6
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Information overload? 61% of managers believe that information overload is present in their workplaces 80% believe the situation will get worse Over 50% of the managers ignore data in current decision-making processes because of information overload 84% of managers store information for the future but never use it for current analysis 60% believe that the cost of gathering information outweighs its value The only real solution should be to replace classical data analysis and interpretation methodologies (both manual and computer-based) with a new technology applicable to large data sets. What are the solutions managers propose in the situation of a data overload? Work harder. Yes, but how long can you keep up, because the limits are very close. Employ an assistant. Maybe, if you can afford it. Ignore the data. But then you are not competitive in the market. The only real solution should be to replace classical data analysis and interpretation methodologies (both manual and computer-based) with a new technology applicable to large data sets. Data From: Data Mining: Concepts, Models, Methods, and Algorithms
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“This telephone has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.” Western Union internal memo
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“Who wants to hear actors talk?”
H. M. Warner, Co-Founder and President of Warner Brothers
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“I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.”
Thomas J. Watson, President of IBM
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“I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked with the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that won’t last out the year.” Editor in charge of business books for Prentice Hall
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“There is no reason why anyone would want a computer in the home.”
Ken Olson, President, Chairman and Founder Digital Equipment Corporation
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What is Business Analytics/Data Mining?
Analyzing data from different perspectives Categorizing and summarizing the data into useful information - Identifying correlations or patterns among attributes in large data repositories Developing knowledge by interpreting the information Applying the knowledge to predict behaviors and future trends
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Examples of Analytics in Higher Education
Enrollment Management Instructional Support Information Technology
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Applicant Analysis – Who’s eating our lunch?
Jared Start
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Applicant Analysis – Who’s eating our lunch?
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Applicant Analysis – Who’s eating our lunch?
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Applicant Analysis – Who’s eating our lunch?
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Applicant Analysis – Who’s eating our lunch?
So what does it all mean? Placement tests are the most influential factor Applicants who haven’t taken a placement test represent a large opportunity for servicing the community Financial aid is an important factor Applicants who place into remedial math represent another at-risk segment We are not losing applicants to the competition, but it isn’t likely to remain that way.
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Enrollment Management Analysis
Analysis of payments Deregistration cycle Scored potential students for deregistration Reduced purge activity from 11% to 6% in Fall ’08 Continued saving of approximately $75,000 per quarter
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Analytics in Instructional Support Predicting Success in Courses with High Failure Rates
FY Success Non-success ACC-121 53.9% 46.1% BIO-141 50.9% 49.1% DEV-063 49.4% 50.6% DEV-084 48.0% 52.0% GEO-101 49.6% 50.4% MAT-101 48.7% 51.3% MAT-102 48.2% 51.8% MAT-191 53.7% 46.3% ALH-219 47.8% 52.2% BIS-M75 54.0% 46.0%
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Predicting Success in Courses with High Failure Rates
Research, Analytics, and Reporting sought to identify variables, which could predict success in courses with high non-success rates as a means of identifying students at risk for not passing these courses Predicted Fail Pass Actual 6,606 (78.84%) 1,773 (21.16%) 2,037 (27.94%) 5,254 (72.06%)
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Analytics in Information Technology
The purpose of the exercise is to identify the relationship between the Angel Application usage and database performance to predict the performance of the angel database during high usage times thus avoiding database application failure in future enrollment terms
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Online Enrollment Trend Report 1st day of class enrollment
CollegeWide Mixed Online Total Online Term to Term % Chg Season to Season % Chg % of Total Enrollment Term Head Count Seat Count 03/FA 23,414 64,417 1,746 2,431 607 1,046 2,353 3,477 10.05% 5.40% 04/WI 21,885 60,490 1,796 2,509 579 1,109 2,375 3,618 0.93% 4.06% 10.85% 5.98% 04/SP 21,441 58,426 1,881 2,650 689 1,223 2,570 3,873 8.21% 7.05% 11.99% 6.63% 04/SU 9,902 20,257 791 1,110 520 822 1,311 1,932 -48.99% -50.12% 13.24% 9.54% 04/FA 23,029 64,037 1,726 2,384 627 1,058 3,442 79.48% 78.16% 0.00% -1.01% 10.22% 5.38% 05/WI 22,301 61,831 1,770 2,493 645 1,207 2,415 3,700 2.63% 7.50% 1.68% 2.27% 10.83% 05/SP 21,242 58,616 1,846 2,580 721 1,336 2,567 3,916 6.29% 5.84% -0.12% 1.11% 12.08% 6.68% 05/SU 9,680 19,612 766 1,112 577 954 1,343 2,066 -47.68% -47.24% 2.44% 6.94% 13.87% 10.53% 05/FA 22,361 62,278 1,709 2,412 679 1,227 2,388 3,639 77.81% 76.14% 1.49% 5.72% 10.68% 06/WI 21,629 59,744 1,950 2,772 763 1,451 2,713 4,223 13.61% 16.05% 12.34% 14.14% 12.54% 7.07% 06/SP 20,233 55,319 2,029 2,843 921 1,674 2,950 4,517 8.74% 6.96% 14.92% 15.35% 14.58% 8.17% 06/SU 8,876 17,635 809 1,183 857 1,357 1,666 2,540 -43.53% -43.77% 24.05% 22.94% 18.77% 14.40% 06/FA 22,156 61,854 2,104 2,980 994 1,921 3,098 4,901 85.95% 92.95% 29.73% 34.68% 13.98% 7.92% 07/WI 21,789 59,634 2,370 3,366 1,051 2,120 3,421 5,486 10.43% 11.94% 26.10% 29.91% 15.70% 9.20% 07/SP 20,238 54,920 2,345 3,254 1,162 2,318 3,507 5,572 2.51% 1.57% 18.88% 23.36% 17.33% 10.15% 07/SU 8,955 17,814 978 1,404 1,185 1,999 2,163 3,403 -38.32% -38.93% 29.83% 33.98% 24.15% 19.10% 07/FA 21,907 60,396 2,596 3,839 2,702 3,953 6,541 82.76% 92.21% 27.60% 33.46% 18.04% 08/WI 22,252 61,218 3,016 4,535 1,665 3,533 4,681 8,068 18.42% 23.35% 36.83% 47.07% 21.04% 13.18% 08/SP 20,073 55,761 2,891 4,318 1,650 3,398 4,541 7,716 -2.99% -4.36% 29.48% 38.48% 22.62% 13.84% 08/SU 9,432 20,110 1,290 2,009 1,688 3,125 2,978 5,134 -34.42% -33.46% 37.68% 50.87% 31.57% 25.53% 08/FA 23,356 65,746 3,153 4,630 1,963 4,240 5,116 8,870 71.79% 72.77% 29.42% 35.61% 21.90% 13.49% 09/WI 23,179 65,718 3,463 5,213 2,069 4,741 5,532 9,954 8.13% 12.22% 18.18% 23.38% 23.87% 15.15% 09/SP 22,323 64,119 3,567 5,501 2,087 4,720 5,654 10,221 2.21% 2.68% 24.51% 32.47% 25.33% 15.94% 09/SU 11,528 25,989 937 1,252 2,947 5,423 3,884 6,675 -31.31% -34.69% 30.42% 30.02% 33.69% 25.68% 09/FA 25,112 74,511 3,730 5,795 2,333 5,502 6,063 11,297 56.10% 69.24% 18.51% 27.36% 24.14% 15.16%
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Analytics in Information Technology
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Analytics in Information Technology
Our current hardware would not support predicted online enrollment in Winter 2010. The analytics enable the purchase and installations of new hardware for online learning in the Summer of 2009. Fall 2009 Online Learning had very few technical issues.
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Enabling the Analytical Organization
People Executive Support from the President to the Registrar Processes Any capital decision requires supportive analytics Technology Mature Data Warehouse and Analytical Platform
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Questions? Thank You!
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