1. PRIMES and SCENES comparison
Ian Williams, WSP, UK
Part of the TREMOVE team
CAFE Stakeholder Consultation, Brussels
27 & 28 May 2003

2. Comparison Outline the SCENES model
Compare input assumptions to the two models
Analyse results output by the two models
Future developments to the SCENES model for TREMOVE

3. SCENES European Transport Model
Incorporates all travel on all modes for all EU and much of the rest of Europe
Has separate passenger and freight demand modules
4 stage model - feedback loop for highway congestion
Uses 206 EU zones, plus externals
1995 Validation, 2020 forecast scenarios

4. EU15 Growth Rates

5. EU15 Gross Domestic Product Growth Rates

6. Further SCENES development for TREMOVE
Change GDP growth rates to match those in PRIMES.
Change population growth rates for the Accession Countries to match those in PRIMES
Include parameter updates for passenger supply characteristics and various other improvements
Change car ownership growth rate assumptions to match the TREMOVE vehicle stock model forecasts
- Those that are currently input to SCENES are believed to be rather high in some countries

7. EU15 Transport Growth Rates