1. KIT – University of the State of Baden-Wuerttemberg and National Laboratory of the Helmholtz Association INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC POLICY RESEARCH (IWW), NETWORK ECONOMICS www.kit.edu ECKHARD SZIMBA (KIT-IWW), NICOLÁS IBAÑEZ-RIVAS (JRC-IPTS) ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS : Road data gaps Brussels, BELGIUM 13 May 2011

2. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 2 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas Brief overview of the TRANS-TOOLS model General features Structure and modules Road data gaps and challenges Conclusions Agenda

3. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 3 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas TRANS-TOOLS : General Features (I) TOOLS for TRansport forecasting ANd Scenario testing Transport demand and assessment model developed on behalf of the European Commission by European project consortia: 2005-08: TRANS-TOOLS project (6 th FP) 2008-09: TEN Connect 1 project (MOVE B1) 2010-11: TEN Connect 2 project (MOVE B1) current version: recalibration, more efficient computation 2011-13: TRANS-TOOLS v3 (7 th FP) Other recent EU projects related to TRANS-TOOLS developments: iTREN, WORLDNET, ETISplus IBU-Øresund, Baltic Transport Outlook

4. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 4 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas TRANS-TOOLS : General Features (II) Funding and coordination: DG TREN/ MOVE (A.3/B.1) Joint Research Centre (JRC), IPTS, Seville Aim: Consolidation of European transport demand and assessment models and integration of the available European models on a common platform ›Proprietary‹ and Intellectual property right free (IPR) reference model by the European Commission for the assessment of transport policy measures Analogy to models of other sectors: PRIMES/ POLES – Energy TREMOVE/ RAINS (GAINS) – Environment

5. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 5 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas TRANS-TOOLS : General Features (III) Main model for transport policy analysis in the EC Consistency to the EU Transport Policy Information System ETIS Geographical scope: 42 countries Circa 300 NUTS-2 regions (trade/ logistics/ freight model, regional economic model) Circa 1,300 NUTS-3 regions (passenger transport model) Modes of transport: Passenger transport: road/ rail/ air Freight transport: road/ rail/ inland waterways/ maritime

6. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 6 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas TRANS-TOOLS v1: Modules and structure Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models

7. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 7 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas Passenger transport Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models TRANS-TOOLS v1: Modules and structure

8. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 8 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas Passenger transport Freight transport and logistics Freight transport and logistics Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models TRANS-TOOLS v1: Modules and structure

9. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 9 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas Passenger transport Freight transport and logistics Freight transport and logistics Regional economic model Regional economic model Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models TRANS-TOOLS v1: Modules and structure

10. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 10 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas Passenger transport Freight transport and logistics Freight transport and logistics Traffic assignment Regional economic model Regional economic model Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models TRANS-TOOLS v1: Modules and structure

11. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 11 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas Passenger transport Freight transport and logistics Freight transport and logistics Traffic assignment Regional economic model Regional economic model Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models TRANS-TOOLS v1: Modules and structure External effects

12. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 12 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas External effects Passenger transport Freight transport and logistics Freight transport and logistics Traffic assignment Regional economic model Regional economic model Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models TRANS-TOOLS v1: Modules and structure

13. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 13 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas External effects Passenger transport Freight transport and logistics Freight transport and logistics Traffic assignment Regional economic model Regional economic model Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models Input data: Socio-economic data, Network models TRANS-TOOLS v1: Feedback Loop

14. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 14 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas Traffic count data Scope of availability of traffic count data Differentiation of traffic count data by type of vehicle (currently AADT without differentiation) Differentiation by time slice (peak/ off-peak) Long-distance coach services Level-of-Service (frequencies, travel times, costs) Alignment of routes Demand Demand data at the level of origin/ destination (O/D) relations Data on freight terminals (logistic centres/ distribution centres) Data on vehicle use, e.g. load factors, empty runs, occupancy rates Data for neighbouring countries of the EU Road Data Gaps and Challenges – Network, impedance and demand data

15. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 15 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas Availability of traffic count data

16. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 16 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas Example of availability of traffic count data Detail of road counts for Andalusia: Comparison with publicly available count data Percentage of HGV Split of the total count across time bands (peak, off-peak)

17. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 17 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas Conclusions Most prominent data gaps are ‘observed‘ demand data Level of O/D relations Level of network links Level of freight terminals Importance of traffic count data Differentiation by type of vehicle Transparency regarding original data sources and methodology of implementation Long-distance coach market, a market highly dependent on country-specific regulatory settings => well-elaborated level-of-service analyses required to model long-distance coach services accurately Supporting TRANS-TOOLS‘ capabilities to cover transport flows between EU and neighbouring countries

18. Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) 18 ETISplus Road Data Workshop TRANS-TOOLS: Road Data Gaps and Challenges Eckhard Szimba, Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas Eckhard Szimba, Ph.D. Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Network Economics szimba@kit.edu Nicolás Ibañez-Rivas, Ph.D. European Commission, JRC Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) Nicolas.IBANEZ-RIVAS@ec.europa.eu Thank you for your attention. 