1. Delphi: giving citizens a voice
Jim Longhurst (UWE)
ClairCity Meeting
Sosnowiec, Poland
25th April 2018
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No

2. WP4 Objectives & Tasks
This WP will engage key stakeholders across all of our partner cities from different European regions to give them the platform to generate their vision for a low carbon, clean air futures towards 2050.
We will achieve this through:
Citizen Delphi Engagement (Task 4.1)
ClairCity Game (Task 4.2)
ClairCity App (Task 4.3)
Citizens and their Health (Task 4.4)

3. What is Delphi?
Delphi method was developed at the beginning of the cold war (1944) by the US Air Force as part of Project Rand to forecast the impact of technology on warfare.
Delphi may be characterized as a method for structuring a group communication process so that the process is effective in allowing a group of individuals, as a whole, to deal with a complex problem.
(Linstone and Turoff, 2002)
What is Delphi in ClairCity?
We use the DELPHI process as a platform to engage citizens and stakeholder and empowering them to describe their personal future visions of their city.

4. Pilot of the Delphi Process
London – January to March 2017
Testing the engagement mechanisms
online surveys,
face to face interviews
workshops format
how to obtain diversity
Recommendations
Identify and engage local delivery partners early
Make use of local social networks to achieve diversity
Guidance on ‘how’ and ‘what’ to record in sessions and in participants responses.

5. The ClairCity Delphi Process
Round 1: Questionnaire 1
Method: Face to face at public events and online
Target: 100+ participants
Round 2: Questionnaire 2
Method: Online
Round 3: Delphi workshop
Method: Workshop (takes place 1-3 times)
Target: 30+ participants
ClairCity Skylines Game
Stakeholder Dialogue workshop
Method: Workshop

6. Delphi – Round 1 / Questionnaire 1
Face-to-face and online surveys.
Main questions:
Citizens’ main day-to-day activities,
Citizens’ concerns – likes and dislikes
Citizens’ views about how these may change over the next 35 years (to 2050).

7. Delphi – Round 2 / Questionnaire 2
Mainly online (but promoted at events).
This round is about beginning to shape consensus/dissensus around common theme(s).
It enables respondents to think about the themes highlighted by respondents in Round 1.
Part 1 follows on from the activity-based travel/home heating/other city specific questions from Round 1;
Part 2 asks respondents to state whether they agree or disagree with a set of ambitious policy measures that would affect their day-to-day activities.

8. Delphi – Round 3 / Delphi Workshop
Representative sub-group of Round 2 participants were invited to attend one or more 2-3-hour Delphi workshop(s).
Participants were presented with information about air quality, climate change and health.
They were presented with the responses to the Round 2 and asked to consider how the ambitious policy measures would affect their lives if implemented, and how their implementation could be facilitated.

9. Delphi – From Bristol to Sosnowiec
City/region
Round 1
Round 2
Round 3
Total
Bristol
500
230 59
789
Amsterdam
638
269 6
913
Sosnowiec
283
116 29
428
Ljubljana
198 72 3
273
Liguria Region
646
456 19
1121
Aveiro Region
794
280 33
1107
3,049
1,423
149
4,631

10. Sosnowiec: Preliminary Results
What do we like?
What do we dislike?
What can we improve?

11. Sosnowiec: ‘Positive’ Policy Measures

12. Sosnowiec: ‘Negative’ Policy Measures

13. Delphi – Cross city lessons
Not just about one city but what can we learn from multiple cities
Can the perceived social and policy barriers of City X be overcome buy the opportunities and experience of City Y?
For example:
Pedestrianisation of the city centre in Ljubljana
Active travel in Amsterdam
Solid fuel burning in Sosnowiec
Mopeds in Liguria region
Clean air zones in Bristol
Multi governance collaboration in Aveiro region

14. What happens next?
Delphi results act as the foundation for future policy development
Delphi process provides a platform to raise awareness and great understanding.
Results inform our understanding of social behaviour, public perceptions, supposed constraints and opportunities (WP3)
Results feed into the database behind the ClairCity Skylines Game (WP4.2)
Results underpin the ClairCity Scenarios and final ClairCity Policy Packages (WP7)

15. Thank You!
Jim Longhurst (UWE)
ClairCity Meeting
Sosnowiec, Poland
25th April 2018
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No