1. A problem well stated is a problem half solved. Charles F. Kettering
PAF 101 Module 3, Lecture 1
A problem well stated is a problem half solved.
Charles F. Kettering

2. Class Agenda Announcements Overview of Module 3 Paper (due 10/24)
Announce Trend Line Homework (due 10/14)

3. Provides support for veterans of all generations
Provides support for veterans of all generations
Mission statement: Supporting the journey home
Various enrichment and development programs for all veterans in Central NY.
Warrior and family retreats, wingman support programs, wellness programs, and more!
Calendar of events, sign up sheets, and more information available after class or by .
or Jeannine Rogers, Volunteer Director
10/12 – 9 persons 10/20 – 26 persons 10/29 – 9 persons
10/30 – 9 persons 11/4 – 29 persons 11/12 – 25 persons
Transportation: I am willing to transport 3 students from campus to Clearpath and back on Friday afternoons and Saturday mornings. me for details.

4. Fireside Chat- Featuring Steven

5. Competition Points Winners Losers Group # Points 2 16 8 15 9 14 13 517 12 18 3 11 7 10 20 4 19 6 1
Winners
Losers
As of 10/5/16

6. Google Alerts
Use Google Alerts to stay informed about your societal problem.

7. What should I do with my graded module?
KEEP IT
You can use the same policies/players in later modules
ALSO, if you wish to be a TA next semester, you MUST keep your modules.
1. Explain in detail how keeping modules can be useful

8. What should I do with the Maxwell Manual for 101?
KEEP IT
If you plan to be a Policy Studies major
If you want to be a TA
If you are a winner
Sell it if you are a loser

9. A B C Basic Diagram Module 5 Module 4 Players Societal Problems Public
Diagram Confusing
Societal
Problems
Public
Policy C
Chapter 5
Module 4
Chapter 6

10. Choosing Specific Societal Problem
Must be a measurable societal condition
Must be at a local area [county, town, city] *not federal, not state*
Try to connect it to your community service or previous experience or contact
A policy you don’t like is not a societal problem (e.g. Too many gun-related deaths vs. Weak gun laws)
Give an example of a bad and good societal problem

11. OVERVIEW OF
Take out your printout and turn to Exercise 5.1 to follow along as I give an overview of

12. Problem Solving Framework
Describe the Societal Problem (Ex. 5.1)
Research Your Societal Problem (Ex. 5.2)
Evidence of the Problem (Ex. 5.3)
Causes of the Problem (Ex. 5.4)
Current Public Policy (Ex. 5.5)
Role of Interest Groups (Ex. 5.6)
Identify a Policy & Policy Tool Alternatives (Ex. 6.3)
Select Policy Tool Alternatives on Basis of Effectiveness and Feasibility (Ex. 6.3)
Module 4: Examines Effectiveness
Module 5: Examines Political Feasibility

13. Spine of the Module Three Paper
5.1a Define the societal problem
5.3 Evidence (Worth 30 points)
A trend line graph (Minimum of 3 data points, 1 must be real)
A quote from a player, stakeholder, or expert you interviewed
A quote from a published, printed, or electronic source
6.3 Policy to deal with the problem
Give real world example here.

14. Finding a Variable-The First Key
You must have data to measure your societal problem.
Don’t confuse it with policies.
Here are some examples. State the societal problem.

15. Onondaga Community Indicators: Crime
Does anyone know the societal problem?
“There is too much violent crime in Onondaga County”

16. Onondaga Community Indicators: Economy

17. Onondaga Community Indicators: People
While median family incomes have remained relatively stable from 2002 to 2009, median home values have been steadily increasing meaning that families in Onondaga County are devoting a greater portion of their income to home purchases.

18. Onondaga Community Indicators: Environment

19. Onondaga Community Indicators: Child Abuse

20. Onondaga Community Indicators: Health

21. Avoid Mod. 3 Paper Confusion
CONFUSION OVER:
Effects of the Problem (5.1b)
Evidence of the Problem (5.3)
Causes of the Problem (5.4)
Effectiveness vs. Feasibility (6.3c)

22. EVIDENCE VS. CAUSES
Good example of a cause: “Students are dropping out because the high school curriculum sucks.”
Bad example of a cause: “The graduation rate in the academic year of 2011 to was 45%.”
Why is this a bad example of a cause?
Where does it belong in Ch. 5 exercises?

23. EVIDENCE vs. CAUSES Cont.
EVIDENCE: Confirms the existence and the extent of the societal problem
When presenting evidence include at least one of the following:
Statistics showing change over time and/or comparing different localities/groups
Expert opinions
Examples/Case Studies
CAUSES: The reasons for the societal problem
(DO NOT confuse causes with effects)

24. A Word About Causes We use the term all the time
But, causes can never be proven, EVER
Correlation does not mean causation but hints at it.
Smoking Lung Cancer
E.g. the high school graduation rate is low because school funding is too low

25. Why Cause Is Used Instead of Correlation!
The reason people and politicians and journalists confuse causes with correlation is because they are (fill in the blank).

26. Spurious Correlations

27. Other Examples of Spurious Correlations

28. Use Experts and Players Use the Web Research Link
Use published material
Give very specific examples for each of the general topics.
Poverty should be housing
Crime should be specifically measured
No educational equality
Have web site available

29. Trend Line Homework
Open the Trend line homework assignment at this URL:
Due Friday, 10/14
Use video embedded on PAF 101 website under Module 3 tab to help you M

30. Common Trend Line Graph Mistakes
DON’T include gridlines
DON’T include a legend
DO label the title and both axes
DO include a source
DO bold the title
Put numbers on data points
Start at zero on Y-axis
If using an Education policy, use academic years (ex , )

31. Microsoft for Macs Microsoft Office is FREE for all SU students
Be a winner and download Microsoft Office
Click here for Microsoft Office!

32. For Next Class Work on Player and Expert Contacts
Continue work on
Changing seats next class
Trend Line Homework due 10/14 at the beginning of that class
Prospective Community Service to your TA also due 10/14 by 9pm