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Materials Yao-Yu Liu
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Overview
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Overview
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Overview Materials vs S&P 500 YTD
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Recommendation Stock Current Price Target Price Weight Rebalance
Mosaic Co. (MOS) $23.76 $26.60 1.75% -1.00% HOLD/SELL Crown Holdings Inc. (CCK) $59.76 $70.85 1.48% -0.48% Huntsman Corp. (HUN) $30.98 $42.24 0% +1.25% BUY 3.00% Keep S&P Weight
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Mosaic International leader in producing and marketing concentrated phosphate and potash Products include fertilizers and other finished phosphate products 3 Segments: Phosphates, Potash, and International Distribution
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Mosaic Drivers Successful integration into emerging markets
Weak dollar Increased demand due to steady population growth
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Mosaic Risks Instability of currencies in emerging markets
Strong dollar Decrease in commodities prices Government regulation (environmental)
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Mosaic Relative Valuation
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Mosaic Target Price Discount Rate: 11% Growth Rate: 4.5%
Current Price: $23.76 Upside Potential: 12%
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Crown Holdings Inc. Global leader in design, manufacturer, and sale of packaging products Products include steel and aluminum cans for food 3 Areas of Operation: Asia Pacific, Americas, and Europe
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Crown Holdings Inc. Drivers Development of new facilities
Steady demand Presence in emerging markets strong
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Crown Holdings Inc. Risks Exchange rate exposure high
High debt of $7.1B compared to revenue of $8B Increase in commodities prices
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Crown Holdings Inc. Relative Valuation
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Crown Holdings Inc. Target Price Discount Rate: 11% Growth Rate: 4%
Current Price: $59.76 Upside Potential: 18.60%
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Huntsman Corp. Multinational manufacturer of differentiated organic and inorganic chemical products. Products include adhesives and polyurethanes 4 Segments: Performance Products, Advanced Materials, Textile Effects, and Polyurethanes.
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Huntsman Corp. Drivers Increased growth and demand for Polyurethane segment Advanced materials growing rapidly due to advancements in tech Reduction in its debt holdings 3.4x to 2.2x (Debt/EBITDA 2016 to 2017)
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Huntsman Corp. Risks Cyclical nature makes it dependent on global economic conditions Government regulation (environmental) Exchange rate risk
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Huntsman Corp. Relative Valuation
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Huntsman Corp. Target Price Discount Rate: 11% Growth Rate: 4%
Current Price: $30.97 Upside Potential: 36%
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Mosaic Co. DCF Source: Analyst DCF
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Crown Holdings Inc. DCF Source: Analyst DCF
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Source: Bloomberg XLTP DCF
Huntsman Corp. DCF Source: Bloomberg XLTP DCF
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Overview Q & A
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