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Quantitative Methods Simple Regression.

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Presentation on theme: "Quantitative Methods Simple Regression."— Presentation transcript:

1 Quantitative Methods Simple Regression

2 Multiple Regression Simple Regression Model Least Squares Method
Coefficient of Determination Model Assumptions Testing for Significance Using the Estimated Regression Equation for Estimation and Prediction

3 The Simple Regression Model
y = 0 + 1x1 +  The Estimated Simple Regression Equation y = b0 + b1x1 ^

4 The Least Squares Method
Least Squares Criterion Computation of Coefficients’ Values The formulas for the regression coefficients b0, b1 b1 = n Σ x y - Σx Σy /nΣx2 – (Σx)2 b0 = ¯y - b1 ¯x or b1 = COV(X,Y)/S2x b1 = r (Sy/Sx) A Note on Interpretation of Coefficients b1 represents an estimate of the change in y corresponding to a one-unit change in x. It is known as regression coefficient ^

5 The Coefficient of Determination
Relationship Among SST, SSR, SSE SST = SSR + SSE Coefficient of Determination R 2 = SSR/SST It measures extent of variation in Y explained by the regression equation ^ ^

6 The Coefficient of Determination
Coefficient of Determination R2:It is the square of correlation coefficient r & it measures strength of association in regression.

7 Model Assumptions Assumptions About the Error Term 
The error  is a random variable with mean of zero. The variance of  , denoted by 2 The values of  are independent. The error  is a normally distributed random variable

8 Testing for Significance: F Test
Hypotheses H0: 1 = 0 Ha: 1 ≠0 Test Statistic F = MSR/MSE Rejection Rule Reject H0 if F > F where F is based on an F distribution with 1d.f. in the numerator and n – 2 d.f. in the denominator.

9 Testing for Significance: t Test
Hypotheses H0: 1= 0 Ha: 1 = 0 Test Statistic Rejection Rule Reject H0 if t < -tor t > t where t is based on a t distribution with n - p - 1 degrees of freedom.

10 Using the Estimated Regression Equation for Estimation and Prediction
The procedures for estimating and predicting an individual value of y in simple regression We substitute the given values of x into the estimated regression equation and use the corresponding value of y as the point estimate. . ^


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