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Lecture 12: The Third World in the Cold War

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1 Lecture 12: The Third World in the Cold War
February 2, 2009

2 Background to Interventions
Decolonization

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4 Background to Interventions
Decolonization Third world as conceptual entity Non-alignment (Bandung Conference, 1955)

5 Bandung Conference, 1955

6 Background to Interventions
Decolonization Third world as conceptual entity Non-alignment (Bandung Conference, 1955) Competing economic models ContainmentNSC-68

7 How to Implement Containment?
Cumulativity of resources Does (informal) empire increase power? Domino Theory Invasion/aid Inspiration Intimidation Credibility US as reliable protector Soviets emboldened

8 Emboldening today “Now, when so much progress is being made, is no time to turn tail and leave Iraq... It is a dangerous illusion to suppose that another retreat by the civilized world would satisfy the appetite of the terrorists and get them to leave us alone…In fact, such a move would only embolden the terrorists...A precipitous withdrawal from Iraq would be a victory for the terrorists, an invitation to further violence against free nations and a terrible blow to the future security of the United States of America.”

9 Means Occupation Military aid Coups/assassinations Money/arms
Disinformation

10 Problems with Regime Change
Anti-Communists not necessarily democratic Local civil wars already vicious Leftist insurgencies rooted in economics  Unintended consequences

11 US Interventions Indonesia 1965 (nationalism)
Cambodia 1969 (anti-communism) Chile 1973 (mining - nationalism) Angola (anti-communism) E Timor 1975 (nationalism) Afghanistan 1979 (anti-USSR) El Salvador (nationalism) Libya 1981 (anti-terrorism?) Grenada 1983 (anti-communism) Nicaragua 1987 (anti-socialist) Panama 1989 (canal & anti-drugs) Iraq 1991 (oil) Somalia 1993 (humanitarian) Bosnia 1999 (humanitarian) Afghanistan 2002 (anti-terrorism) Iraq 2003 (?) China 1945 (anti-communist) Greece 1947, 64 (anti-communist) Philippines 1945 (fruit, nationalism) S Korea 1945 (anti-communist) Albania (anti-communist) S Korea 1950 (anti-communist) Iran 1953 (oil, nationalism) Guatemala 1954 (fruit, nationalism) Indonesia 1957 (nationalism) Guyana 1953 (leftist president) Vietnam 1954 (anti-communist) Cambodia 1955 (nationalism) Congo 1960 (mining) Cuba 1961 (sugar & nationalism) Brazil 1961 (nationalism) Dominican Rep 1963 (nationalism) Vietnam (anti-communist)

12 Coup in Iran, 1953: “successful”

13 Bay of Pigs (Cuba), 1961: failed

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