1. Kosovo Jan Pieter Catrysse, Tomoyuki Yamada

2. Structure 1. Historical Background 2. Key events & Tipping points
3. Failures & Lessons
4. The Significance of Kosovo Case
5. Current Situations and Issues to Ponder

3. Yugoslavia -Serbia and Kosovo-
Population
-Albanians: Majority
-Serbs: Minority
Yugo’s political system
-Federation consisted of republics
-Granted Kosovo autonomy till 1994

4. What brought about the nightmare?
Ibrahim Rugova
Leader of Democratic League of Kosovo(DLK)
Dayton Agreement (1995 Nov)
KLA started to attack Serbs and Serbs’ retaliation
Escalation of violence

5. Overview of Kosovo Events Resolutions (Nov1995 )Dayton Agreement
(1996) KLA started to attack SerbianForce
Forced expulsion of Albanians by Serbs
(31st March 1998) Resolution 1160
Serbs began new offenses in Dacani
(23rd Sep) Resolution 1199
No-compliance by Serbs
(13th Oct) NATO’s activation order
“October Agreement”
(24th Oct) Resolution1203
Another peace conferences in Rambouillet and Paris
(25th May 1999) NATO air strike began

6. Resolution 1160
Demand both Kosovar Albanians and Serbs to stop waging violence against each other
Encourage both sides to solve the current situation peacefully(somewhat tilting to the autonomy of Kosovo)

7. Resolution 1199
Calls for immediate cease fire negotiation(same as Resolution 1160) without any military back-up
More words trying to stop ethnic-cleansing
Excerpt from Resolution 1199
“to resolve existing problems by political means on the basis of equality for all citizens and ethnic communities in Kosovo”

8. NATO’s activation order and Resolution 1203
NATO’s activation order on 13th Oct
-means to pressure Milosevic to sit on the peace negotiation
This time the actual bombing didn’t happen !
Resolution 1203 confirmed the significance of military force to ensure peace negotiations would succeed.

9. NATO’s Bombardment in 1999 Clinton and Blair -took initiatives
Targeting Serbian war machinery, but later infrastructure(bridges, plants etc.)

10. Finally Peace ……? Resolution 1244 1999 6th June Its content is:
Kosovo gained autonomy and the first election for Kosovo Assembly resulted in Rugova’s election as president.
2008 declared independence

11. Failures - what could/should have been done-
1. Didn’t learn little from Bosnia intervention
lack of important info
2. Exaggeration of the situation(Clinton’s remark to equate Serbian cleansing to Nazi Holocost)
3. Set the standard of “Humanitarian intervention”.
4. The source of problem is not oppressive Serbs, but democratisation based on ethnic nationalism.

12. Alternative discourse : Western Propaganda
Powerful justification of bombardment “To protect civilians from the impending catastrophe”
What happened in Kosovo is equal to Nazi Holocost(Clinton’s remark)

13. The Dark Side of Democracy
Democracy: The Govt. of “the people”, by “the people”, for “the people”.
Question is…
WHO ARE THE PEOPLE?

14. Evaluation NATO’s bombing in 1999 Supreme Humanitarian Emergency 〇
Necessity/ Last Resort △
Proportionality ×
Positive Humanitarian Outcome/Short-term
×／△
/Long term
△／〇
Humanitarian Motives
Humanitarian Justifications
Legality
Selectivity

15. Last Resort: Opinion with hindsight
13th Oct NATO’s activation order could pull the deal from Milosevic
Might have been a chance to do the same with the aerial and ground forces deployment to pressurise him

16. Proportionality: the process was unfair
FRY and KLA both waged violence against each other though FRY’s brutality was more intense.
It seems that the UN and the US, the UK began to tilt toward Kosovo independence after FRY started ethnic-cleansing.
The fact that KLA killed/abducted Serb citizens was not much of a popular attention.

17. Positive Humanitarian Outcome
Short-term: Retaliation, not reconciliation
-Common myth about Genocide or Ethnic-cleansing: WHOLE ethnic group VS Another WHOLE
SOME from one ethnicity VS Another SOME
Long-term: OSCE supervised elections, Rugova became the president of Kosovo Assembly

18. Selectivity If the UN and NATO countries knew at all,
they wanted to clean up the backfire of Dayton
Kosovo was the case leading to the emergence of R2P criteria
The intention to protect Humanitarian values counts more than alturism.

19. Lessons
1. The effectiveness of air strike(not the decisive way to resolve conflicts)
2. Peace-building rather than Peace-making have to be more thoroughly planed and eagerly implemented

20. Cycle of Rebirth: Cull the weeds and burn its roots
Ethnicity-based politics: Should rest in peace
Just holding elections and changing “bad and even criminal leader” are mostly temporary solution.
Possible alternative solutions
-The installation of “the spirits of democracy” aka compromises
- (less realistic) exchange of ethnic minorities

21. The legacy of Kosovo Case
The emergence of the notion of “R2P”
The new norm of “Humanitarian Intervention”
-conventional: national integrity is the priority and clear distinction bet. Humanitarian and national interests
-New: the merger of Humanitarian values and self-interest (Blair and Clinton’s speech)
“Be Humanitarian first, then Realist”

22. Current situation of Serbia&Kosovo
Population: Albanians around 98% and Serbs 2%
Economic situation: not really prospective, one of the most poorest countries in Europe.
Ethnic tension bet. Kosovar Albanians and Serbs still lingers.

25. EU as ”a Broker”
“Don’t be shy!”

26. Thank you for listening!