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Classification, Prediction, and Description

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Presentation on theme: "Classification, Prediction, and Description"— Presentation transcript:

1 Classification, Prediction, and Description
The Scientific Method in a Nutshell

2 Intuition vs Empiricism
Correlation vs Cause Confirmation bias Thus, we seek to falsify, rather than to confirm Empiricism and Positivism

3 Causal Inferences require
Covariation (correlation) A temporal relationship Elimination of other causes (confounds) Thus, experiments Internal Validity

4 Correlations are Not Useless!
Just not causative But it can be predictive Much of our neurological research is correlative When cannot experimentally, directly explore because: Ethics Resources

5 Choose your Variables! Independent Variable Dependent Variable
Intervening Variables Invisible Indirectly measured Covariate Confound Continuous vs Discrete

6 Choose your Statistics!
Discrete IV’s with Continuous DVs ANOVA t-test Discrete IV’s with Discrete DVs Chi Squared Continuous IV’s and Continuous DVs Predictors and Predicted variables Correlation Regression

7 Reporting Detailed without getting bogged down in trivia
Consider it a blueprint Constructs and Operational Definitions Intelligence Acceptance Burnout Depression Anxiety

8 Choosing Your Measures
Validity Does it measure what it says it measures? Reliability Consistency across situations and administrations Precision Gall and Phrenology

9 Types of Validity Construct Content Predictive Concurrent
Shades of construct and predictive

10 Reliability Interobserver agreement/Interrater reliability
Internal consistency Test-retest reliability and the problem of practice Split half Alternate forms

11 The Hypothetico-Deductive Method
Form the theory The theory makes a prediction The prediction forms a hypothesis Test the hypothesis Retain or revise the theory If revise, this creates a new prediction, and so on…

12 Nomothesis vs Ideothesis
The Nomothetic approach Averages Ever meet the average person? Seeks generalizations to apply to the broader population Thus, need a sample that represents that population External validity The Ideothetic approach Individuals Not terribly generalizable Skinner

13 Quality vs Quantity Quantitative approach Qualitative approach
Statistical Based largely on specific measures Measures of central tendency and dispersion Qualitative approach More summary and thematic interpretation Minimal statistical evaluation Frequency counts of themes Interobserver agreement

14


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