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Section Binomial Distributions

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2 Section 8.1 - Binomial Distributions
For a situation to be considered a binomial setting, it must satisfy the following conditions: Experiment is repeated a fixed number of trials and each trial is independent of the others There are only two possible outcomes: success (S) and failure (F). The probability of success, P(S), is the same for each trial The random variable, x, counts the number of successful trials

3 Symbols and Notations for Binomial Settings
n = number of trials in the sample p = P(S) probability of success in a single trial x = count of the number of successes in n trials this is called a binomial random variable A binomial experiment can be symbolized as B(n,p) x px 1 2 3 The probability distribution of the successes is referred to as a binomial distribution

4 Are these binomial experiments? (identify n, p, and x)
If both parents carry the genes for the O and A blood types, each child has a probability of 0.25 of getting two O genes and therefore having blood type O. 5 children of these parents are chosen to observe their blood type. Success is considered having blood type O. Deal 10 cards from a shuffled deck and count the number, x, of red cards. Success is considered as getting a red card. An engineer chooses a SRS of 10 switches from a shipment of 10,000 switches. Suppose that (unknown to the engineer) 10% of the switches in the shipment are bad. The engineer counts the number, x, of bad switches (success). Choosing a SRS of size n from a population, where the population is much larger than the sample, the count of X successes in the sample is approximately B(n,p)

5 There are several ways to find the probability of EXACTLY k successes in n trials. There is a formula, but we’ll use the calculator. Binompdf(n, p, k) Using the engineer looking for defective switches example which can be approximated as B(10,0.1) … What is the probability that no more than 1 switch is defective?

6 To find the probability of UP TO k successes in n trials
To find the probability of UP TO k successes in n trials. We can also use the calculator. Binomcdf(n, p, k) If both parents carry the genes for the O and A blood types, each child has a probability of 0.25 of getting two O genes and therefore having blood type O. 5 children of these parents are chosen to observe their blood type, what is the probability that 2 or less children have blood type O? what is the probability that 4 or more have blood type O?

7 Example: Sample surveys show that fewer people enjoy shopping than in the past. A survey asked a nationwide random sample of 2500 adults if they agreed or disagreed with the statement “ I like buying new clothes, but shopping is often frustrating and time-consuming.” The population that the poll wants to draw conclusions about is all US residents aged 18 and over. Suppose the in fact 60% of all adults US residents would say they “agree” with the statement. What is the probability that 1520 or more of the sample would agree?

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