1. Paf 203: Data Analysis and Modeling for Public Affairs
Introductory Lecture
Agnes C. Rola

2. Conceptual Framework for public decision-making
Public affairs-art, science and business of providing services for the development of the community and nation.
It shall address itself to concerns crucial to local and national development
It shall include programs and activities concerned for the furtherance of public interest.

3. Keywords Public means the majority of people or the community
Affairs is the interest or welfare of others
Development refers to any positive changes or increased welfare.
Thus, the study of public affairs is the study about development.

4. What is development? Development is not a research problem.
It is not a theoretical concept.
It is not a scientific term.
It cannot be analyzed in just sociological or economic terms.
It is a policy goal.

5. Development Concerns Goal is well being of people.
Human needs are hierarchical.
The private market economy allocates economic resources.
Government takes over in times of market failure.

6. Emphases of Development Studies
Human resource investments, e.g. education, health care, incomes
Government modernization, e.g improvement in structure, administration, fiscal management, and citizen involvement
Improved information for market competitiveness and lower transactions costs.

7. Spectrum of Human Well being
State 1
Low well being
State 2
Higher well being through policies,programs, and projects

8. Indicators of well being
Health
Education
Physical infrastructure
Incomes
Freedom of religion
Freedom of expression
Peace and security, et al.

9. Definition of data systems
This is the demand and supply of information.
Suppliers of information are analysts, researchers in government and statisticians.
Information users are the policymakers and the businessmen.
Data systems deal with how supplier of information could be relevant to user of information

10. Measurements and Indicators
How do we measure development? Well being?
To measure these, we first define indicators.
Some indicators of development are income, wealth, good roads, etc.
We then provide numbers to these particular indicators.

11. Sources/suppliers of data
Primary data from surveys
Secondary data from government offices, other researchers,
Organized interest groups, mass media, outside specialists

12. Users of data Research/Scientific Community Program Administration
Policy Planning and Evaluation
Regulatory agencies
Judicial sector

13. When does policy relevant information get through?
Timely
Credible
Clear
Concise
Integrative
Accessible

14. Implications for development research
Development research lies beyond agricultural and rural institutions.
Human resource investments are very important.
An effective local government is also needed.

15. How to design an inquiry system
Inquiry must be prepared to help select among the alternative solutions.
Start with the reality or problem situation;
Develop a conceptual model;
Design a scientific model
Provide alternative solutions

16. Data Analysis and Modeling
Identify variables needed to define development
Define interrelationships of these variables
Data presentation
Data analysis to solve the perceived problem.

17. Research Policy Link
“We need to develop a new breed of politically oriented scientists and a scientifically oriented politicians.”
It is time that we devote professional attention to the convergence of information into knowledge-Ken Boulding.