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Chapter 3 Analysing and interpreting financial statements

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1 Chapter 3 Analysing and interpreting financial statements
LEARNING OUTCOMES You should be able to: Calculate key ratios for assessing the financial performance and position of a business and explain the significance of the ratios calculated Identify the major categories of ratios that can be used for analysis purposes Discuss the limitations of ratios as a tool of financial analysis Discuss the use of ratios in helping to predict financial failure

2 The key aspects of financial health
Profitability Investment Liquidity Efficiency Financial gearing Financial ratios

3 Similar businesses for the same period Ratios may be compared with:
Ratios benchmarks Similar businesses for the same period Planned performance Past periods Ratios may be compared with:

4 Profitability ratios Return on ordinary shareholders’ funds (ROSF)
Profit for the year less any preference dividend × 100 Ordinary share capital + Reserves Return on ordinary shareholders’ funds (ROSF) Operating profit × 100 Share capital + Reserves + Non-current liabilities Return on capital employed (ROCE) Operating profit × 100 Sales revenue Operating profit margin Gross profit × 100 Sales revenue Gross profit margin

5 BA’s operating profit margin
5 10 2006 2009 2008 2007 2010 – 5 Operating profit margin % Target

6 Efficiency ratios Formula Average inventories turnover period
Average settlement period for receivables Average settlement period for payables Sales revenue to capital employed Sales revenue per employee Average inventories held × 365 Cost of sales Average trade receivables × Credit sales revenue Average trade payables × Credit purchases Sales revenue Number of employees Sales revenue________________ Share capital + Reserves + Non-current liabilities

7 The main elements of the ROCE ratio
multiplied by equals Return on capital employed Sales revenue Long-term capital employed Operating profit Sales revenue Source: P. Atrill and E. McLaney, Accounting and Finance for Non-Specialists, 7th edn, Financial Times Prentice Hall, 2010, p. 206.

8 Liquidity ratios Formula Current assets Current liabilities
Current ratio Acid test ratio Formula Current assets Current liabilities Current assets (excluding inventories) Current liabilities

9 Operating profit Interest payable
Gearing ratios Long-term (non-current) liabilities × 100 Share capital + Reserves + Long-term (non-current) liabilities Gearing ratio Formula Interest cover ratio Operating profit Interest payable

10 Investment ratios Formula Dividend payout ratio Dividend cover ratio
Dividend yield ratio Dividends announced for the year × Earnings for the year available for dividends Earnings for the year available for dividend Dividends announced for the year Dividend per share/(1 – t ) × Market value per share

11 Investment ratios (Continued)
Formula Price/earnings ratio (P/E) Earnings per share Earnings available to ordinary shareholders Number of ordinary shares in issue Market value per share Earnings per share

12 Average dividend yield ratios for businesses in a range of industries
1 2 6 5 4 3 Oil and gas Construction and materials Chemicals Industrial engineering Pharmaceuticals and biotechnology Tobacco Food and Drug Retailers Electricity Life insurance/ Assurance Media Travel and leisure Beverages 4.30 4.25 2.18 2.81 4.45 4.14 2.19 2.65 2.96 5.22 2.62 4.23 3.12 Average for all SE listed businesses % Source: Constructed from data appearing in the Financial Times, 3/4 April 2010

13 Average price/earnings ratios for businesses in a range of industries
5.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Oil and gas Construction and materials Chemicals Industrial engineering Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology Tobacco Food and Drug Retailers Electricity Life insurance/ Assurance Media Travel and leisure Beverages 14.10 12.77 28. 79 15.58 12.31 19.07 15.11 17.34 17.17 17.20 21.78 11.31 30.0 17.73 Average for all SE listed businesses times Source: Constructed from data appearing in the Financial Times, 3/4 April 2010

14 Graph plotting current ratio against time
0.9 J. Sainsbury plc 0.8 Current ratio 0.7 Tesco plc 0.6 0.5 William Morrison plc 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

15 Average (mean) ratios of failed and non-failed businesses

16 Scatter diagram showing the distribution of failed and non-failed businesses
Current ratio ROCE ratio Failed businesses Non-failed businesses Source: P. Atrill and E. McLaney, Accounting: An Introduction, 7th edn, Financial Times Prentice Hall, 2009.

17 Z = The Z score model 0.717a + 0.847b + 3.107c + 0.420d + 0.998e
where: a = Working capital/Total assets b = Accumulated retained profits/Total assets c = Operating profit/Total assets d = Book (statement of financial position) value of ordinary and preference shares/Total liabilities at book (statement of financial position) value e = Sales revenue/Total assets 0.717a b c d e Z =

18 Limitations of ratio analysis
Over-reliance on ratios The basis for comparison Quality of financial statements Statement of financial position ratios Inflation Creative accounting


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