1. Key Trends and Challenges in Higher Education
Leo Goedegebuure
ATEM University of Melbourne Workshop,

2. The Challenge
Profound changes in our environment that fundamentally affect the context in which we operate
The need to deeply understand the implications of this and respond proactively

3. Three trends and their consequences
Economic globalisation
Increased competition, new providers
Transition from industrial economies to knowledge-based economies
Increased demand for HE, increased diversity of student body
The Digital Revolution
Redesign/reconceptualisation of what we do

6. Impacts of these changes
At all levels of tertiary education systems:
Governments: increased system complexity, need for devolution of authority, QA to protect and inform, and a basic funding problem
Institutional leadership and management: Interpreting and translating change into strategy and bringing ‘the institution’ along on the journey
Academic and Profesional Staff: adapting and implementing change positively: deep change

7. Key Themes Participation Internationalisation & Economic Globalisation
Australia’s Position
Research & Rankings
Key Issues
Innovation
Productivity

8. Participation

10. Goal 4: Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote life long learning opportunities for all.
4.3: By 2030 ensure equal access for all women and men to affordable and quality technical, vocational and tertiary education, including university

11. 23 million new first year students across OECD/G20 countries
Increasingly diverse student body, incl more mature age students; but: 82% new entrants < 25 y
Increased female participation; 54% new entrants are female
Changing demands as regards nature/type of programs

12. Participation projections
OECD 2014

13. Changes in country share
OECD 2013b

14. OECD 2013b

15. Participation issues
Demand for tertiary education will continue  knowledge-intensive economies and innovation
Increasing costs of expanding systems and cost shifts to students – what is an appropriate public/private expenditure balance, and what should the structure and nature of tertiary education systems be?
Provision of higher education programs through non-university providers as a serious option to contain costs and expand participation  numerous international examples
Unequal access to university persists, with entry rates reflecting background of students, hence need for alternative entry and pathways
Need to adapt programs and teaching methods in response to changing student body and student demand

16. Internationalisation and Economic
Globalisation

18. Growth in international student numbers
Source: OECD, Education at a Glance, 2015

19. Percentage of all foreign tertiary students by country of destination, 2000 & 2010

20. Internationalisation of tertiary education systems – foreign students as a proportion of all students, 2010
Education Globally 2013

21. Research and Rankings

24. Shanghai JTU / ARWU Ranking Asian systems 2005 - 2016
China 8 41
Hong Kong 5 6
Taiwan 3 7
Singapore 2
Total 18 56

25. Shanghai JTU / ARWU Ranking Asian systems 2006 - 2016
2005
2016
China 8 41
Hong Kong 5 6
Taiwan 3 7
Singapore 2
Total 18 56

27. Some thoughts on Innovation

29. Australia: #17
#10
#24

30. Innovation Drivers New non-technological knowledge
Pillar 11: Business Sophistication
Know-how
Skills
Working Conditions In Organizations
New technological knowledge
Pillar 12: Innovation
Design & development high-end products/services
Value-add
R&D

31. Key Issues

33. The Productivity Argument Increase completion rates
Decrease costs of institutional
resources
year round tuition
online learning
adjunct faculty (global)
tightly integrate online
with on-campus provision
WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT

34. Thank you for your attention