1. Global New Vehicle Fuel Economy Update First Results
Alex Körner, François Cuenot
Transforming Transportation, 18th January 2013

2. Content Introduction Methodology FE/CO2 Results by country
FE/CO2 Global results
OECD deep-dive
New Fleet key technical characteristics evolution
Conclusions

3. Introduction
Update of the 2011 “International comparison of light-duty vehicle fuel economy and related characteristics” IEA-authored GFEI working papers:
Adding 2010 and 2011
Adding Korea and Canada to cover G19 (KSA missing)
sponsored by UNEP-raised GEF SSFs and EU commission grants.
New report to be released in March

4. Methodology New vehicle registrations data from Polk
By brand, model, powertrain, fuel, power,…but:
Vehicle segment/class missing
Empty weight is missing
CO2/FE missing:
Manual input based on model sales sampling
Satisfactory representativity when CO2/FE >75% of sales
Making number match official numbers when available

5. Vehicle Segments

6. Data sources for FE / CO2 information
No test cycle conversion

7. gCO2 emissions per km for new PLDVs

8. Fuel consumption per 100 km for new PLDVs - OECD

9. OECD 2010-11 progress deep dive Average emissions (gCO2/km)
Emission reduction rate
Market growth
2010
2011
France
130.5
127.7
-2.1%
Italy
132.7
129.5
-2.4%
-11.6%
EU 27
140.3
135.7
-3.3%
-9.6%
Japan
140.5
134.4
-4.3%
-16.4%
Turkey
145.2
139.3
-4.1%
16.4% UK
144.2
138.1
-4.2%
-4.4%
Germany
151.2
145.6
-3.7%
8.8%
Chile
163.7
160.8
-1.8%
22.4%
South Korea
171.3
171.5
0.1%
0.6%
Mexico
186.2
180.8
-2.9%
17.4%
Canada
190.5
189.6
-0.4%
1.4%
USA
194.7
192.8
-0.9%
9.9%
Australia
207.9
204.2
-2.6%
165.1
164.3
-0.5%

10. Fuel consumption per 100 km for new PLDVs – Non-OECD

11. FE progress tracking vs. GFEI target
New vehicles in OECD almost achieve the GFEI annual fuel consumption reduction target
New vehicles in Non-OECD show a slight annual fuel consumption reduction over the last three years
The global reduction rate is still far off the target due to a shift in market from OECD to non-OECD
Each year lost makes the target harder to be reached

12. PLDVs by segment

13. FE by vehicle size
Shift towards bigger vehicle prevented FE improvement in non-OECD

14. PLDVs by displacement

15. PLDVs by power

16. LCV influence – country dependant

17. Future updates
Engage countries/OEMs in providing their official registrations data for this work
Partially worked in Chile with the ICCT/CmCh baseline report
Links with Renault and the AAA (data provider for OICA)
Parametric analysis to be done by KG Duleep using FIA Foundation funding
Cross-database access sharing with all GFEI partners

18. Conclusions
Improvement rate has accelerated in OECD markets, and is almost matching the GFEI target rate
Policies (and GFEI actions) fruitful
In non-OECD, situation does not show much progress
More policies (and more GFEI actions) are needed, especially to limit vehicle size shift.
Lot of potential analysis from the database
More resources would be welcome

19. Thank You