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FINANCIAL ANALYSIS.

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Presentation on theme: "FINANCIAL ANALYSIS."— Presentation transcript:

1 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

2 After Studying Chapter 6, you should be able to:
Understand the purpose of basic financial statements and their contents. Understand what is meant by “convergence” in accounting standards. Explain why financial statement analysis is important to the firm and to outside suppliers of capital. 4. Define, calculate, and categorize (according to liquidity, financial leverage, coverage, activity, and profitability) the major financial ratios and understand what they can tell us about the firm.

3 Define, calculate, and discuss a firm’s operating cycle and cash cycle.
Use ratios to analyze a firm's health and then recommend reasonable alternative courses of action to improve the health of the firm. Analyze a firm’s return on investment (i.e., “earning power”) and return on equity using a DuPont approach. Understand the limitations of financial ratio analysis. Use trend analysis, common-size analysis, and index analysis to gain additional insights into a firm's performance.

4 Financial Statement Analysis
Financial Statements A Possible Framework for Analysis Balance Sheet Ratios Income Statement and Income/Balance Sheet Ratios Trend Analysis Common-Size and Index Analysis

5 Examples of External Uses of Statement Analysis
Trade Creditors – Focus on the liquidity of the firm. Bondholders – Focus on the long-term cash flow of the firm. Shareholders – Focus on the profitability and long-term health of the firm.

6 Examples of Internal Uses of Statement Analysis
Plan – Focus on assessing the current financial position and evaluating potential firm opportunities. Control – Focus on return on investment for various assets and asset efficiency. Understand – Focus on understanding how suppliers of funds analyze the firm.

7 Global Accounting Standards
Convergence of Accounting Standards: Aims to narrow or remove differences so that investors can better understand financial statements prepared under different accounting frameworks IASB – International Accounting Standards Board has the responsibility of IFRS IFRS – International Financial Reporting Standards (EU countries adopted) US GAAP – US Generally Accepted Accounting Principles determined by FASB FASB – Financial Accounting Standards Board determines accounting standards for financial statements

8 Primary Types of Financial Statements
Balance Sheet A summary of a firm’s financial position on a given date that shows total assets = total liabilities + owners’ equity. Income Statement A summary of a firm’s revenues and expenses over a specified period, ending with net income or loss for the period.

9 Basket Wonders’ Balance Sheet (Asset Side)
Basket Wonders Balance Sheet (thousands) Dec. 31, 2007a Cash $ Acct. Rec.c Inventories Prepaid Exp d Accum Tax Prepay Current Assetse $1,195 Fixed Assets Less: Acc. Depr. g (329) Net Fix. Assets $ Investment, LT Other Assets, LT Total Assets b $2,169 a. How the firm stands on a specific date. b. What BW owned. c. Amounts owed by customers. d. Future expense items already paid. e. Cash/likely convertible to cash within 1 year. f. Original amount paid. Acc. deductions for wear and tear.

10 Basket Wonders’ Balance Sheet (Liability Side)
Basket Wonders Balance Sheet (thousands) Dec. 31, 2007 Notes Payable $ 290 Acct. Payablec Accrued Taxes d Other Accrued Liab. d Current Liab. e $ Long-Term Debt f 530 Shareholders’ Equity Com. Stock ($1 par) g Add Pd in Capital g Retained Earnings h Total Equity $1,139 Total Liab/Equitya,b $2,169 a. Note, Assets = Liabilities + Equity. b. What BW owed and ownership position. c. Owed to suppliers for goods and services. d. Unpaid wages, salaries, etc. e. Debts payable < 1 year. f. Debts payable > 1 year. g. Original investment. h. Earnings reinvested.

11 Basket Wonders’ Income Statement
Basket Wonders Statement of Earnings (in thousands) for Year Ending December 31, 2007a Net Sales $ 2,211 Cost of Goods Sold b ,599 Gross Profit $ SG&A Expenses c EBITd $ Interest Expensee EBT f $ Income Taxes EATg $ Cash Dividends Increase in RE $ a. Measures profitability over a time period. b. Received, or receivable, from customers. c. Sales comm., adv., officers’ salaries, etc. d. Operating income. e. Cost of borrowed funds. f. Taxable income. g. Amount earned for shareholders.

12 Framework for Financial Analysis
Trend/Seasonal Component How much funding will be required in the future? Is there a seasonal component? Analysis of the funds needs of the firm. Analytical Tools Used Sources and Uses Statement Statement of Cash Flows Cash Budgets

13 Framework for Financial Analysis
Health of a Firm Financial Ratios 1. Individually 2. Over time 3. In combination 4. In comparison 1. Analysis of the funds needs of the firm. 2. Analysis of the financial condition and profitability of the firm.

14 Proximity to break-even point
Framework for Financial Analysis Business risk relates to the risk inherent in the operations of the firm. 1. Analysis of the funds needs of the firm. 2. Analysis of the financial condition and profitability of the firm. Examples: Volatility in sales Volatility in costs Proximity to break-even point 3. Analysis of the business risk of the firm.

15 Framework for Financial Analysis
A Financial Manager must consider all three jointly when determining the financing needs of the firm. 1. Analysis of the funds needs of the firm. Determining the financing needs of the firm. 2. Analysis of the financial condition and profitability of the firm. 3. Analysis of the business risk of the firm.

16 Framework for Financial Analysis
1. Analysis of the funds needs of the firm. Determining the financing needs of the firm. 2. Analysis of the financial condition and profitability of the firm. 3. Analysis of the business risk of the firm. Negotiations with suppliers of capital.

17 Use of Financial Ratios
Ratio analysis involves methods of calculating and interpreting financial ratios to assess a firm’s financial condition and performance. It is of interest to shareholders, creditors, and the firm’s own management. Financial ratios allow you analyze raw data in the balance sheet or income statement then compare it to targets. Ratios help you understand how you are managing financial resources.

18 Use of Financial Ratios
A Financial Ratio is an index that relates two accounting numbers and is obtained by dividing one number by the other. Types of Comparisons External Comparisons Internal Comparisons

19 Using Financial Ratios: Types of Ratio Comparisons
Trend or time-series analysis Used to evaluate a firm’s performance over time

20 Using Financial Ratios: Types of Ratio Comparisons (cont.)
Trend or time-series analysis Cross-sectional analysis Used to compare different firms at the same point in time

21 Using Financial Ratios: Types of Ratio Comparisons (cont.)
Trend or time-series analysis Cross-sectional analysis Industry comparative analysis One specific type of cross sectional analysis. Used to compare one firm’s financial performance to the industry’s average performance

22 Using Financial Ratios: Types of Ratio Comparisons (cont.)
Trend or time-series analysis Cross-sectional analysis Benchmarking A type of cross sectional analysis in which the firm’s ratio values are compared to those of a key competitor or group of competitors that it wishes to emulate

23 Using Financial Ratios: Types of Ratio Comparisons (cont.)
Trend or time-series analysis Cross-sectional analysis Combined Analysis Combined analysis simply uses a combination of both time series analysis and cross-sectional analysis

24 Using Financial Ratios: Types of Ratio Comparisons (cont.)
Industry Average Ratios for Selected Lines of Business

25 Using Financial Ratios: Types of Ratio Comparisons (cont.)
Figure 2.1 Combined Analysis

26 Using Financial Ratios: Cautions for Doing Ratio Analysis
Ratios must be considered together; a single ratio by itself means relatively little. Financial statements that are being compared should be dated at the same point in time. Use audited financial statements when possible. The financial data being compared should have been developed in the same way. Be wary of inflation distortions.

27 For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007
Liquidity Ratios Current Ratio = Current Assets Current Liabilities For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Balance Sheet Ratios Liquidity Ratios Shows a firm’s ability to cover its current liabilities with its current assets. $1,195 $500 = 2.39

28 Liquidity Ratio Comparisons
Current Ratio Year 2007 2006 2005 BW Industry Ratio is stronger than the industry average.

29 Liquidity Ratios Acid-Test (Quick Ratio) Balance Sheet Ratios
Current Assets - Inventories Current Liabilities For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Balance Sheet Ratios Liquidity Ratios Shows a firm’s ability to meet current liabilities with its most liquid assets. $1,195 – $696 $500 = 1.00

30 Liquidity Ratio Comparisons
Acid-Test Ratio Year 2007 2006 2005 BW Industry Ratio is weaker than the industry average.

31 Summary of the Liquidity Ratio Comparisons
Ratio BW Industry Current Acid-Test Strong current ratio and weak acid-test ratio indicates a potential problem in the inventories account. Note that this industry has a relatively high level of inventories.

32 Current Ratio – Trend Analysis Comparison
Trend Analysis of Current Ratio 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 2005 2006 2007 Analysis Year Ratio Value BW Industry

33 Acid-Test Ratio – Trend Analysis Comparison
Trend Analysis of Acid-Test Ratio 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 2005 2006 2007 Analysis Year Ratio Value BW Industry

34 Summary of the Liquidity Trend Analyses
The current ratio for BW has been rising at the same time the acid-test ratio has been declining. The current ratio for the industry has been rising slowly at the same time the acid-test ratio has been relatively stable. This indicates that inventories are a significant problem for BW.

35 Financial Leverage Ratios
Debt-to-Equity Total Debt Shareholders’ Equity For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Balance Sheet Ratios Financial Leverage Ratios Shows the extent to which the firm is financed by debt. $1,030 $1,139 = 0.90

36 BW has average debt utilization relative to the industry average.
Financial Leverage Ratio Comparisons Debt-to-Equity Ratio Year 2007 2006 2005 BW Industry BW has average debt utilization relative to the industry average.

37 Financial Leverage Ratios
Debt-to-Total-Assets Total Debt Total Assets For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Balance Sheet Ratios Financial Leverage Ratios Shows the percentage of the firm’s assets that are supported by debt financing. $1,030 $2,169 = 0.47

38 Financial Leverage Ratio Comparisons
Debt-to-Total-Asset Ratio Year 2007 2006 2005 BW Industry BW has average debt utilization relative to the industry average.

39 For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007
Financial Leverage Ratios Total Capitalization Total Debt For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Balance Sheet Ratios (i.e., LT-Debt + Equity) Financial Leverage Ratios Shows the relative importance of long-term debt to the long-term financing of the firm. $1,030 $1,669 = 0.62

40 Financial Leverage Ratio Comparisons
Total Capitalization Ratio Year 2007 2006 2005 BW Industry BW has average long-term debt utilization relative to the industry average.

41 Coverage Ratios Interest Coverage Income Statement Ratios EBIT
Interest Charges For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Income Statement Ratios Coverage Ratios Indicates a firm’s ability to cover interest charges. $210 $59 = 3.56

42 Coverage Ratio Comparisons
Interest Coverage Ratio Year 2007 2006 2005 BW Industry BW has below average interest coverage relative to the industry average.

43 Coverage Ratio – Trend Analysis Comparison
Trend Analysis of Interest Coverage Ratio 3.0 5.0 7.0 9.0 11.0 2005 2006 2007 Analysis Year Ratio Value BW Industry

44 Summary of the Coverage Trend Analysis
The interest coverage ratio for BW has been falling since It has been below industry averages for the past two years. This indicates that low earnings (EBIT) may be a potential problem for BW. Note, we know that debt levels are in line with the industry averages.

45 Activity Ratios Receivable Turnover Income Statement/ Balance Sheet
Annual Net Credit Sales Receivables For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Income Statement/ Balance Sheet Ratios (Assume all sales are credit sales.) Activity Ratios Indicates quality of receivables and how successful the firm is in its collections. $2,211 $394 = 5.61

46 Activity Ratios Avg Collection Period Income Statement/ Balance Sheet
Days in the Year Receivable Turnover For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Income Statement/ Balance Sheet Ratios Activity Ratios Average number of days that receivables are outstanding. (or RT in days) 365 5.61 = 65 days

47 Activity Ratio Comparisons
Average Collection Period Year 2007 2006 2005 BW Industry BW has improved the average collection period to that of the industry average.

48 Activity Ratios Payable Turnover (PT) Income Statement/ Balance Sheet
Annual Credit Purchases Accounts Payable For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Income Statement/ Balance Sheet Ratios (Assume annual credit purchases = $1,551.) Activity Ratios Indicates the promptness of payment to suppliers by the firm. $1551 $94 = 16.5

49 Activity Ratios PT in Days Income Statement/ Balance Sheet
Days in the Year Payable Turnover For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Income Statement/ Balance Sheet Ratios Activity Ratios Average number of days that payables are outstanding. 365 16.5 = 22.1 days

50 Activity Ratio Comparisons
Payable Turnover in Days Year 2007 2006 2005 BW Industry BW has improved the PT in Days. Is this good?

51 For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007
Activity Ratios Inventory Turnover Cost of Goods Sold Inventory For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Income Statement/ Balance Sheet Ratios Activity Ratios Indicates the effectiveness of the inventory management practices of the firm. $1,599 $696 = 2.30

52 Activity Ratio Comparisons
Inventory Turnover Ratio Year 2007 2006 2005 BW Industry BW has a very poor inventory turnover ratio.

53 Inventory Turnover Ratio –Trend Analysis Comparison
Trend Analysis of Inventory Turnover Ratio 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 2005 2006 2007 Analysis Year Ratio Value BW Industry

54 For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007
Activity Ratios Total Asset Turnover Net Sales Total Assets For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Income Statement/ Balance Sheet Ratios Activity Ratios Indicates the overall effectiveness of the firm in utilizing its assets to generate sales. $2,211 $2,169 = 1.02

55 Activity Ratio Comparisons
Total Asset Turnover Ratio BW Industry Year 2007 2006 2005 BW has a weak total asset turnover ratio. Why is this ratio considered weak?

56 Profitability Ratios Gross Profit Margin Income Statement/
Net Sales For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Income Statement/ Balance Sheet Ratios Profitability Ratios Indicates the efficiency of operations and firm pricing policies. $612 $2,211 = 0.277

57 BW has a weak Gross Profit Margin.
Profitability Ratio Comparisons Gross Profit Margin Year 2007 2006 2005 BW Industry 27.7% 31.1% BW has a weak Gross Profit Margin.

58 Gross Profit Margin – Trend Analysis Comparison
Trend Analysis of Gross Profit Margin 25.0 27.5 30.0 32.5 35.0 2005 2006 2007 Analysis Year Ratio Value (%) BW Industry

59 For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007
Profitability Ratios Net Profit Margin Net Profit after Taxes Net Sales For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Income Statement/ Balance Sheet Ratios Profitability Ratios Indicates the firm’s profitability after taking account of all expenses and income taxes. $91 $2,211 = 0.041

60 BW has a poor Net Profit Margin.
Profitability Ratio Comparisons Net Profit Margin Year 2007 2006 2005 BW Industry 4.1% 8.2% BW has a poor Net Profit Margin.

61 Net Profit Margin –Trend Analysis Comparison
Trend Analysis of Net Profit Margin 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2005 2006 2007 Analysis Year Ratio Value (%) BW Industry

62 For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007
Profitability Ratios Return on Investment Net Profit after Taxes Total Assets For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Income Statement/ Balance Sheet Ratios Profitability Ratios Indicates the profitability on the assets of the firm (after all expenses and taxes). $91 $2,160 = 0.042

63 BW has a poor Return on Investment.
Profitability Ratio Comparisons Return on Investment Year 2007 2006 2005 BW Industry 4.2% % BW has a poor Return on Investment.

64 Return on Investment – Trend Analysis Comparison
Trend Analysis of Return on Investment 4 6 8 10 12 2005 2006 2007 Analysis Year Ratio Value (%) BW Industry

65 For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007
Profitability Ratios Return on Equity Net Profit after Taxes Shareholders’ Equity For Basket Wonders December 31, 2007 Income Statement/ Balance Sheet Ratios Profitability Ratios Indicates the profitability to the shareholders of the firm (after all expenses and taxes). $91 $1,139 = 0.08

66 BW has a poor Return on Equity.
Profitability Ratio Comparisons Return on Equity Year 2007 2006 2005 BW Industry 8.0% 18.0% BW has a poor Return on Equity.

67 Return on Equity –Trend Analysis Comparison
Trend Analysis of Return on Equity 7.0 10.5 14.0 17.5 21.0 2005 2006 2007 Analysis Year Ratio Value (%) BW Industry

68 DuPont System of Analysis
The DuPont system of analysis is used to dissect the firm’s financial statements and to assess its financial condition. It merges the income statement and balance sheet into two summary measures of profitability. The Modified DuPont Formula relates the firm’s ROA to its ROE using the financial leverage multiplier (FLM), which is the ratio of total assets to common stock equity: ROA and ROE as shown in the series of equations on the following slide and in Figure 2.2 on the following slide.

69 DuPont System of Analysis

70 Return on Investment and the Du Pont Approach
Earning Power = Sales profitability × Asset efficiency ROI = Net profit margin × Total asset turnover ROI = × 1.02 = or 4.2% ROIIndustry = × 1.17 = or 9.6% (Note: values are rounded)

71 DuPont System of Analysis (cont.)
Figure 2.2 DuPont System of Analysis

72 Return on Equity and the Du Pont Approach
Return On Equity = Net profit margin X Total asset turnover X Equity Multiplier Total Assets Equity Multiplier = Shareholders’ Equity ROE = × 1.02 × 1.90 = 0.080 ROEIndustry = × 1.17 × 1.88 = 0.180 (Note: values are rounded)

73 Summary of the Profitability Trend Analyses
The profitability ratios for BW have ALL been falling since 2005. Each has been below the industry averages for the past three years. This indicates that COGS and administrative costs may both be too high and a potential problem for BW. Note, this result is consistent with the low interest coverage ratio.

74 Summary of Ratio Analyses
Inventories are too high. May be paying off creditors (accounts payable) too soon. COGS may be too high. Selling, general, and administrative costs may be too high.

75 Common-Size Analysis An analysis of percentage financial statements where all balance sheet items are divided by total assets and all income statement items are divided by net sales or revenues.

76 Basket Wonders’ Common Size Balance Sheets

77 Basket Wonders’ Common- Size Balance Sheets

78 Basket Wonders’ Common- Size Income Statements

79 Index Analyses An analysis of percentage financial statements where all balance sheet or income statement figures for a base year equal (percent) and subsequent financial statement items are expressed as percentages of their values in the base year.

80 Basket Wonders’ Indexed Balance Sheets

81 Basket Wonders’ Indexed Balance Sheets

82 Basket Wonders’ Indexed Income Statements
Regular (thousands of $) Indexed (%) 200 5 6 7 Net Sales 1,235 2,106 2,211 100.0 170.5 179.0 COGS 849 1,501 1,599 176.8 188.3 Gross Profit 386 605 612 156.7 158.5 Adm. 180 383 402 212.8 223.3 EBIT 206 222 210 1 00.0 107.8 101.9 Int Exp 20 51 59 255.0 295.0 EBT 186 171 151 91.9 81.2 EAT 112 103 91 92.0 81.3 Cash Div 50


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