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INSTRUCTOR © 2017, John R. Fanchi

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1 INSTRUCTOR © 2017, John R. Fanchi
All rights reserved. No part of this manual may be reproduced in any form without the express written permission of the author. © 2004 John R. Fanchi All rights reserved. Do not copy or distribute.

2 To the Instructor The set of files here are designed to help you prepare lectures for your own course using the text Energy in the 21st Century, 4th Edition, J.R. Fanchi and C.J. Fanchi (World Scientific, 2017) You will need to supplement the files to complete the presentation topics.

3 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Chapter 4 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

4 Chapter 4 – Learning Objectives
© 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

5 Figure 4‑1 Hubbert’s Global Oil Prediction [Hubbert, 1956, Figure 20]
© 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

6 Figure 4‑2 World Oil Production Rate Forecast Using Gaussian Curve
© 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

7 Figure 4‑3 World per Capita Oil Production Rate
© 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

8 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Table 4-1 World Primary Energy Production by Source, 1970 – 2020 [Appendix C] © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

9 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Figure 4-4 Percent Contribution of Different Energy Types to Historical Energy Production for the World from 1970 to 2010 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

10 Figure 4-5 Decarbonization of Fuels
© 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

11 Figure 4-6 UN Global Population Forecasts [UN Population, 2015]
© 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

12 Figure 4-7 Global Temperature Anomalies [NOAA Temperature, 2015]
© 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

13 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Figure 4-8 Did the Sun cause the Temperature Increase? [NOAA Solar Impact, 2015] © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

14 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Figure 4-9 Greenhouse Gas Concentrations in the Atmosphere [IPCC, 2007] © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

15 Figure 4-10 The Greenhouse Effect
© 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

16 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Figure Data from Vostok ice core include A. change in temperature [Petit, et al., 2001] © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

17 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Figure Data from Vostok ice core include B. methane and carbon dioxide concentrations [Petit, et al., 2001] © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

18 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Figure 4-11 Data from Vostok ice core include C. dust concentration [Petit, et al., 2001] © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

19 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Figure 4-12 The Keeling Curve; the CO2 reading on is [Scripps Keeling, 2015; NOAA Keeling, 2015] © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

20 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Figure 4-13 Overlay of CO2 concentration from different parts of the world [NOAA Keeling, 2015] © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

21 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Figure 4-14 CO2 Concentration for the Past 400,000 Years [NOAA Keeling, 2015] © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

22 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Figure ,000 Years of Temperature Change (DT) and CO2 Concentration [Source: Petit, J.R., et al., 2001] © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

23 Table 4-2 Duration of Milankovitch Cycles
© 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

24 Table 4-3 Major Ice Ages [Eldredge and Biek, 2010]
© 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

25 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Figure 4-16 Figure ,000 years of Glacial and Interglacial Periods [Source: Petit, J.R., et al., 2001] © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.

26 © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.
Figure 4-17 Comparison of Global Population, Temperature Change, and CO2 Emissions [US EIA Population, 2012; NOAA Temperature, 2015; US EIA Emissions, 2012] © 2016 Fanchi Enterprises. All right reserved.


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