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Nutrient Runoff Effects on Jordan Lake

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Presentation on theme: "Nutrient Runoff Effects on Jordan Lake"— Presentation transcript:

1 Nutrient Runoff Effects on Jordan Lake
Brianna Young, Jennifer Jackson and Emily Nurminen

2

3 Jordan Lake Stats Man-made reservoir initially created as a flood control Now serves as a water source for many surrounding cities such as: Durham, Cary, Apex, Morrisville, RTP, and Chatham County Is located within the New Hope and Haw River watersheds

4 Jordan Lake Stats Project started in 1945 and was finally flooded in 1983 Surface area: 13,940 acres (56.4 km2) Primary source: Haw River Standard elevation: 216 ft (66m) above sea level

5 Water Problems J. reservoir has had very nutrient rich waters since the time of its impoundment Excessive algal growth Reservoir has been designated as “impaired” 1983- NC Envt’l Management Commission designate J. Lake as “Nutrient Sensitive Water” (NSW)

6 Jordan Lake Rules! June, New rules for future construction – these were the strictest rules for watersheds in NC’s history Major Rules: 1.)reduce annual average N and P loads to the lake from all sources 2.)J. Lake is divided into 3 arms (2 New Hopes and Haw River) 3.)each arm of lake will meet its respective nutrient requirements

7 Why Do We Give a Hoot? Important water source Build-out increasing
Effects of build-out on nutrient loading Effects of moving build-out further upstream J. Lake is NSW Increasing dependence on J. Lake Diverse wildlife

8 Location of the Legacy at Jordan Lake

9 Other Nearby Developments
The Homestead at Jordan Lake Briar Chapel The Preserve at Jordan Lake Cole Place Estates at Windfall Creek Colvard Farms

10 The Legacy Construction began 2006
Located along the western shore of J. Lake within the New Hope Basin Residential community with total of 436 lots covering 628 acres (including golf course) 3 phases of construction

11 Waste Water Treatment Plant
Owner:  Heater Utilities, Inc. Category:  Subdivision Engineer:  W. Lee Fleming, Jr. Engineering 601 Oberlin Road   Suite 200 Raleigh, North Carolina Design:  MGD McNeill “QUAD” wastewater treatment system and reclaimed water irrigation system. Project Description:  120,000 GPD expandable dual path McNeill wastewater treatment reuse system with a 16,900,000 gallon storage pond, a 890,000 gallon reject pond and a acre irrigation area consisting of 34 zones to serve 999 bedrooms.

12 Phase I of Build Out

13 Phase I 3 sub-phases: Total: 105 lots, 238 acres
Legacy Falls (26 lots) Legacy Hills (34 lots) Legacy Park (43 lots) Total: 105 lots, 238 acres

14 Phase II & III Phase II Phase III Avg lot size: 23, 681 ft2
82.52 acres 54 lots Phase III Avg lot size: 25,633 ft2 83.01 acres 60 lots

15 Location of The Legacy at Jordan Lake

16 Location of The Legacy at Jordan Lake

17 GIS Aspect We used GIS to extract the watershed basin we were going to focus on so that we could obtain the NLCD landcover data for the catchments the development was going to be in.

18 Catchments of Interest

19 The Process Clipped Haw River and New Hope watersheds from a file containing the entire water network for the Southeast U.S. Overlaid NHD water body to locate Jordan Lake Overlaid files for primary, secondary, and local roads to get an exact location Overlaid catchment data Added NHD flowline attributes data table Overlaid NED file for the area to view the elevation of catchments

20 The Process Joined catchment shapefile with NLCD flowline attributes to get CUMNLCD Used identify function to select catchment of interest and obtain information about landcover Compiled data to get total values

21 NLCD Classifications 11 Open Water 12 Perennial Ice/Snow
21 Developed, Open Space 22 Developed, Low Density 23 Developed, Medium Density 31 Bare Rock/Sand/Clay 32 Quarries/Strip Mines/Gravel Pits 33 Transitional 41 Deciduous Forest 42 Evergreen Forest 43 Mixed Forest 51 Shrub 61 Orchards/Vineyards/Other 71 Grassland/Herbaceous 81 Pasture/Hay 82 Row Crops 83 Small Grains 84 Fallow 85 Urban/Recreational Grasses 91 Woody Wetlands 92 Emergent Herbaceous Wetlands

22 Emergent Herbaceous Wetlands
COMID COMID NLCD # % of landcover Land Area (km^2) Total Land Area (km^2) 11 Open Water 0.164 0.0053 31 Bare Rock/Sand/Clay 0.036 0.0012 33 Transitional 1.47 0.0474 41 Deciduous Forest 62.04 2 57.44 0.562 2.562 42 Evergreen Forest 21.46 0.692 15.63 0.153 0.845 43 Mixed Forest 12.16 0.392 26.84 0.263 0.655 81 Pasture/Hay 1.44 0.046 82 Row Crops 0.15 0.0048 91 Woody Wetlands 0.96 0.031 0.09 92 Emergent Herbaceous Wetlands 0.11 0.0035 Total Area: 3.226 0.979 4.202

23 L-THIA Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment
Program created by Purdue University that quantifies the impact of land use change on water quality and quantity Uses the land use and a soil type specified by the user Uses 30 years of precipitation data to determine the average impact that a certain land use change or set of changes (different scenarios) will have on both the annual runoff and the average amount of several non-point source pollutants, such as nitrogen and phosphorus

24 L-THIA Input state and county that you are considering
Input different scenarios as land use types change at different time points The total area for each scenario must be equal in order to run the program Tables of information regarding runoff and non- point sources will be provided that can be viewed as a table, pie chart and bar graph

25 L-THIA Steps

26 L-THIA Steps

27 L-THIA Steps

28 L-THIA Steps

29 Current Runoff Volume Runoff Volume (acre-ft) Soil Type Landcover A B
Forest 3.02 66.51 211.63 340.63 Agricultural 1.8 3.93 6.4 7.73 Grass/Pasture 0.14 1.25 3.1 4.82 Water/Wetland Low Density Residential Total Volume 4.97 71.7 221.14 353.18

30 Current Nitrogen Nitrogen (lbs) Soil Type Landcover A B C D Forest 5
146 403 649 Agriculture 21 27 76 92 Grassland 0.283 2 9 Water/Wetland Low Dens. Residential Total 26.283 175 484 750

31 Current Phosphorous Phosphorous (lbs) Soil Type Landcover A B C D
Forest 0.082 1 5 9 Agriculture 6 13 22 27 Grassland 0.004 0.034 0.084 0.131 Water/Wetland Low Dens. Residential Total 6.086 14.034 27.084 36.131

32 Phase 1 Part 1 Runoff Volume
Runoff Volume (acre-ft) Soil Type Landcover A B C D Forest 2.99 65.95 209.85 337.77 Agricultural Grass/Pasture Water/Wetland Low Density Residential 2.58 9.06 18.17 25.14 Total Volume 5.58 75.01 228.02 362.91

33 Phase 1 Part 1 Nitrogen Nitrogen (lbs) Soil Type Landcover A B C D
Forest 5 125 400 644 Agriculture Grassland Water/Wetland Low Dens. Residential 12 44 90 124 Total 17 169 490 768

34 Phase 1 Part 1 Phosphorous
Phosphorous (lbs) Soil Type Landcover A B C D Forest 0.081 1 5 9 Agriculture Grassland Water/Wetland Low Dens. Residential 4 14 28 39 Total 4.081 15 33 48

35 Phase 1 Part 2 Runoff Volume
Runoff Volume (acre-ft) Soil Type Landcover A B C D Forest 2.82 62.12 197.65 318.13 Agricultural Grass/Pasture Water/Wetland Low Density Residential 6.07 21.26 42.63 58.98 Total Volume 8.89 83.38 240.28 377.11

36 Phase 1 Part 2 Nitrogen Nitrogen (lbs) Soil Type Landcover A B C D
Forest 5 118 376 606 Agriculture Grassland Water/Wetland Low Dens. Residential 30 105 211 292 Total 35 223 587 898

37 Phase 1 Part 2 Phosphorous
Phosphorous (lbs) Soil Type Landcover A B C D Forest 0.076 1 5 8 Agriculture Grassland Water/Wetland Low Dens. Residential 9 33 66 91 Total 9.076 34 71 99

38 Phase 1 Part 3 Runoff Volume
Runoff Volume (acre-ft) Soil Type Landcover A B C D Forest 2.6 57.29 182.31 293.44 Agricultural Grass/Pasture Water/Wetland Low Density Residential 10.45 36.6 73.38 101.52 Total Volume 13.06 93.9 255.69 394.97

39 Phase 1 Part 3 Nitrogen Nitrogen (lbs) Soil Type Landcover A B C D
Forest 4 109 347 559 Agriculture Grassland Water/Wetland Low Dens. Residential 51 181 363 503 Total 55 290 710 1062

40 Phase 1 Part 3 Phosphorous
Phosphorous (lbs) Soil Type Landcover A B C D Forest 0.07 1 4 7 Agriculture Grassland Water/Wetland Low Dens. Residential 16 56 113 157 Total 16.07 57 117 164

41 Phase 2 Runoff Volume Volume Runoff (acre-ft) Soil Type Landcover A B
Forest 1.63 35.98 114.5 184.3 Agricultural Grass/Pasture 2.41 20.35 50.47 78.27 Water/Wetlands Low Density Residential 18.67 65.36 131.05 181.32 Total Annual Volume (acre-ft) 22.72 121.71 296.03 443.89

42 Phase 2 Nitrogen Nitrogen (lbs) Soil Type Landcover A B C D Forest 3
68 218 351 Agricultural Grass/Pasture 4 38 96 149 Water/Wetlands Low Density Residential 92 324 649 899 Total Lbs. 99 430 963 1399

43 Phase 2 Phosphorous Phosphorus (lbs) Soil Type Landcover A B C D
Forest 0.044 0.98 3 5 Agricultural Grass/Pasture 0.065 0.554 1 2 Water/Wetlands Low Density Residential 29 101 203 281 Total Lbs. 29.109 207 288

44 Phase 3 Runoff Volume Nutrient Runoff Soil Type Landcover A B C D
Forest 1.22 26.89 85.57 137.72 Agricultural Grass/Pasture Water/Wetlands Low Density Residential 26.94 94.3 189.06 261.58 Total Annual Volume (acre-ft) 28.16 121.2 274.63 399.31

45 Phase 3 Nitrogen Nitrogen (lbs) Soil Type Landcover A B C D Forest 2
51 163 262 Agricultural Grass/Pasture Water/Wetlands Low Density Residential 133 467 937 1297 Total Lbs. 135 518 1100 1559

46 Phase 3 Phosphorous Phosphorus (lbs.) Soil Type Landcover A B C D
Forest 0.033 0.732 2 3 Agricultural Grass/Pasture Water/Wetlands Low Density Residential 41 146 293 406 Total Lbs. 41.033 295 409

47 Correlations for Soil Type A

48 Correlations for Soil Type B

49 Correlations for Soil Type C

50 Correlations for Soil Type D

51 Conclusions from L-THIA
As the data transitions from soil type A to soil type D, runoff, N and P increase As the data moves into higher phases (more development), runoff, N and P also increase In the correlation graphs for each soil type, N had the best R2 values Runoff decrease in R2 values as the data moved from soil type A through D A polynomial (order 2) trendline was used for the graphs The runoff, N and P increase when changing from soil type A through D because the soils become less permeable for water to seep into the groundwater, creating more runoff and more nutrients in the runoff make it to Jordan Lake

52 Relocating the Development
How will the nutrient runoff rates be affected if we move the development farther upstream?

53 SPARROW and RTI Loss Rate
Since the flow regime is < 1000 cfs, the RTI equations used are Total N: δ = ·ln(flow) Total P: δ = -.058·ln(flow) Parker’s Creek flow: 2.41 cfs Stream River flow: 0.76 cfs We used NHDflowline attributes data to find annual flow rates for Parker’s Creek and Stream River, which are the two streams in the two catchments of interest. Once we had the annual average flows for the streams, we input them into the above equations to find delta values to plug into the following decay equation.

54 Pollutant Amount at End of Reach
Ct = Co ⋅ e(-δt) Co = pollutant mass present at the upstream end of a reach Ct = pollutant mass present at the downstream end of a reach following travel time t δ = decay rate (1/day) t = time of travel (days) Travel time is equal to the length of the stream divided by the average velocity through the stream: L/Lt-1 We found average velocities from the NHDflowline attributes data and used it to determine the travel time down each stream. We averaged pollutant masses (lbs) from information given in LTHIA to use for the Co parameter.

55 Data Sources Parker’s Creek Avg. velocity: 0.795 m/s
Travel time: 3.16 days Flow: 2.41 cfs Stream length: 2.51km Stream River Avg. velocity: 0.70 m/s Travel time: 1.3 days Flow: 0.76 cfs Stream length: 0.92 km We found the lengths of the streams by using the measure tool in ArcGIS. We selected the midpoints of each catchment for Parker’s Creek and Stream River and measured the stream length between them.

56 Nutrient Load-post relocation
Original Location New Location Phase I Phase II Phase III N(lbs) 442 722 828 182 298 341 P(lbs) 55.6 156.7 223 34.4 96 138 This table shows the resulting nitrogen and phosphorous inputs into the lake given the decay equation we used described in an earlier slide. The results show that

57 Work Cited Kennedy, Todd J. B. Everett Jordan Lake TMDL Watershed Model Development. November 2003. lake-.shtml


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