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How to interpret collected data?

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Presentation on theme: "How to interpret collected data?"— Presentation transcript:

1 How to interpret collected data?
Seminar #5 © Zaytsev D.G.

2 Research goal To identify the models of protest publics’ participation in processes of socio-political change in different countries and regions of the world (North and South America, North Africa and Middle East, Asia) © Zaytsev D.G., Ullanov A.A.

3 Book: structure & main authors
INTRODUCTION PART I. Theoretical and methodological issues to study protests PART II. Social Movements as the prerequisites and outcomes of Public Uprisings of 2010s PART III. “Protest Publics”: An Emergent Actor of Socio-Political Change PART IV. Models of Protest Publics' Impact on Socio-Political Changes CONCLUSION © Zaytsev D.G., Ullanov A.A.

4 Assumptions (1-3) A0: Protests of 2010s ≠ Social Movements A1: Social Movements are preconditions and possible outcomes of the protest publics that emerged in the 2010s A2: Protests of 2010s = Publics, the New Emerging Actor of Change A3: Protest Publics participate in socio-political change in different models SEMINAR #1, Research Design. Part 1. BOOK, part II SEMINAR # Research Design. Part 2. BOOK, part III SEMINAR # Research Design. Part 3. BOOK, part IV © Zaytsev D.G., Ullanov A.A.

5 Conceptualization (2) © Anufriev A., Zaytsev D. G. “Protest Publics” in Egypt and Turkey from 2011 Till Present Days: Assessment of Impact on Political Changes // Comparative Politics (Russia) Vol. 7. No. 2(23). P

6 Brazil: structure of the paper
Protests in Brazil: Overview Factors of Political Changes in Brazil Economic factors: from “crisis of hopes” to economic recession Socio-cultural factors: lack of conventional social channels for self- expression Political factors: deepening “legitimacy crisis” and request for participatory democracy Brazilian Protests as “public assemblies” around “troubled message” Protestors’ Demands in : Participatory Democracy as a Unifying Identity? Political changes in Brazil : from change in policy and politics to “punctuated” institutional changes Government’s reply: co-opting or splitting the protestors? Conclusion: from oversight to direct participation in democracy © Zaytsev D.G.

7 Economic factors: from “crisis of hopes” to economic recession
© Zaytsev D.G.

8 Economic factors: from “crisis of hopes” to economic recession
© Zaytsev D.G.

9 Economic factors: from “crisis of hopes” to economic recession
© Zaytsev D.G.

10 Economic factors: from “crisis of hopes” to economic recession
Country Code BRA Indicator Name Investment in transport with private participation (current US$) Government expenditure on education as % of GDP (%) Health expenditure, total (% of GDP) GINI index (World Bank estimate) 2000 3,93814 7, 2001 3,84304 7, 59,33 2002 3,74435 7, 58,62 2003 6, 58,01 2004 3,97255 7, 56,88 2005 4,47671 8, 56,64 2006 4,86989 8, 55,93 2007 4,97835 8, 55,23 2008 5,2727 8, 54,37 2009 5,47154 8, 53,87 2010 5,64737 8, 2011 5,73953 8, 53,1 2012 5,91432 8, 52,67 2013 8, 52,87 2014 8, © Zaytsev D.G.

11 Protestors’ Demands in 2013-2016: Participatory Democracy as a Unifying Identity?
© Zaytsev D.G.

12 POLICY CHANGE: transport, education, anti-corruption
Political changes in Brazil : from change in policy and politics to “punctuated” institutional changes POLICY CHANGE: transport, education, anti-corruption SITUTIONAL CHANGE: Dilma support ranking fail, impeachment INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE: decline of democracy? TABLE 4 TABLE 8 © Zaytsev D.G.

13 Government’s reply: co-opting or splitting the protestors?
Political crisis and elite split General political consensus: democratic development vs authoritarian modernization TABLE 8 TABLE 9 © Zaytsev D.G.


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