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Discretionary fiscal policy
The central government exercises discretionary fiscal policy when it identifies an unemployment or inflation problem E.g. VAT cut to 15% 2008
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Automatic stabilisers
Automatic stabilizers refer to how fiscal policy instruments will influence the rate of GDP growth and help counter swings in the business cycle.
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Automatic stabilisers
Automatic stabilizers will help to manage AD and therefore growth/ inflation With higher growth, the government will receive more tax revenues - since people earn more and so pay extra income tax (note the tax rate doesn’t change, the % just becomes higher). With higher growth, there will also be a fall in unemployment so the government will spend less on unemployment and other welfare benefits.
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Distinction between a fiscal deficit and the national debt
Public sector finances A fiscal deficit occurs when government spending exceeds tax revenue Whereas the national debt is the cumulative total of past government borrowing.
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Distinction between structural and cyclical deficits
A cyclical fiscal deficit occurs during a downturn in the economy because tax revenues will be falling and government expenditure (for example on social benefits) will be increasing. Such a deficit should disappear when the economy returns to its trend growth rate.
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Structural fiscal deficit
A structural fiscal deficit remains even when the economy is operating at its full potential. It is, therefore, regarded as a more serious problem than a cyclical deficit. E.g. nationalised industries/ ageing populations/ civil service
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Government finances record £9.4bn surplus in January
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Factors influencing the size of fiscal deficits include
the state of the economy the housing market (which influences revenues from stamp duties) political priorities unplanned events
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Many countries have experienced a substantial rise in their fiscal deficits since Assess the factors which might explain this trend in the public finances of a country of your choice.
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The size of fiscal deficits and national debts has an impact on:
interest rates debt servicing inter-generational equity the country’s credit rating FDI
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NEWS! Read one and be ready to report back
Germany South Africa US
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25 mARKER In 2012, it was estimated that Japan’s national debt was equal to 214.3% of its GDP, and Greece’s national debt was equal to 161.3% of its GDP. Evaluate the likely impact of measures which a government could take to reduce the economy’s national debt. Refer to a developed economy of your choice in your answer.
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