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Monetary Policy Report July 2011

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Presentation on theme: "Monetary Policy Report July 2011"— Presentation transcript:

1 Monetary Policy Report July 2011

2 Stable development in the Swedish economy – despite increased uncertainty globally

3 Global economic outlook still divided
GDP growth, annual percentage change. BRIC refers to Brazil, Russia, India and China, forecast from the IMF. Sources: The IMF and the Riksbank

4 Considerable uncertainty abroad
Interest rates for government bonds with 10 years left to maturity, per cent Source: Reuters EcoWin

5 Stable krona in the period ahead
TCW exchange rate, index, 18 Nov 1992 = 100 Source: The Riksbank

6 Swedish economy enters slower growth phase
Annual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

7 Swedish economy will remain stable
GDP. Annual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

8 Improvement in the labour market continues
Unemployment 15–74 age group, percentage of labour force, seasonally adjusted data. Pre-2001 data is spliced by the Riksbank on the basis of unemployment in the age group. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

9 Sources: National Mediation Office and the Riksbank
Rising wage increases Annual percentage change Sources: National Mediation Office and the Riksbank

10 Large differences between measures of inflation
Annual percentage change Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

11 Expectations in line with forecast
Annual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden, TNS Sifo Prospera and the Riksbank

12 Higher interest rate contributes to stable economic development
Repo rate, per cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank

13 A forecast, not a promise
Wage-driven inflation Weaker international economic activity Repo rate, per cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank

14 Stable development in the Swedish economy – despite increased uncertainty globally


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