1. Prospects of creating a CDM project pipeline in the Philippines
3rd Asian Regional Workshop on CD4CDM
23rd March 2004
Siem Reap, Cambodia

2. Contents Emissions inventory Carbon mitigation potential
Renewable energy plans
LULUCF potential
Potential projects starting to enter the pipeline

3. 1994 Greenhouse Gas Inventory
1. Emissions inventory
1994 Greenhouse Gas Inventory

5. GHG Emissions from the Energy Sector

6. GHG Emissions from the Industrial Sector

7. GHG Emissions from the Agriculture Sector

8. GHG Emissions from the Waste Sector

9. GHG Emissions and Sinks in the LUCF Sector

11. 2. Carbon mitigation potentials

12. Source 2002 to 2012 PEP

13. CO2 Emissions from Energy Sector (PEP 2001 – 2011)

14. Potential CO2 Avoidance from Energy Efficiency Programs (PEP 2001 – 2011)
Energy Mgt Services – help C&I establishments in identifying effective measures towards wiser and efficient use of energy. Provided by government such as audit, financing, recognition programs and Partnership for Energy-Responsive Eco-Zone (PEREZ). Information and education campaign such as Power Patrol
Government ENERCON Program - all government offices are mandated to reduce their electricity and fuel consumption by 10 percent and submit monthly reports to the DOE.
System Loss Reduction
HRI – bring the actual performance of all generating plants close to optimum level by improvement in operational capability of the old thermal plants, increase plant output, improve operational efficiency, extend plant life and reduce operating costs.
Efficiency/Energy Labelling and Standard – improve the efficiency/performance of appliances, equipment and other energy consuming devices.
Demand Side Management – ENergy efficiency programs in the power sector will defer the construction of 450 MW of additional plant capacity
Participants working or have experienced in the energy sector shall be asked of the specific programs and activities of their respective offices and the reasons/criteria for implementing such activity. The reasons shall be listed and used in the Session No. 3.

15. CDM POTENTIAL PROJECTS
Asia Least-Cost Greenhouse Gas Abatement Strategy (ALGAS)
analyzed mitigation of 12 Asian countries, including the Philippines
Philippine project priority areas:
energy
transport
agriculture
wastes

16. Philippine
GHG Abatement Cost
and Potential
Source: ALGAS

18. SPECIFIC WIND POTENTIAL POWER SITES MINDORO ISLAND-ORIENTAL
BATANES
1,100 KW
CASIGURAN
500 kW
NORTHERN LUZON
120 MW
POLILLO ISLAND
500 kW
MARINDUQUE ISLAND
3,000 kW
CATANDUANES
2,250 kW
LUBANG ISLAND
330 kW
TABLAS ISLAND
1,500 kW
MINDORO ISLAND-ORIENTAL
13,500 kW
ROMBLON ISLAND
1,000 kW
BUSUANGA ISLAND
330 kW
MASBATE ISLAND
3,000 kW
CUYO ISLAND
330 kW
DINAGAT ISLAND
3,000 kW
PALAWAN ISLAND
9,000 kW
POTENTIAL CAPACITY:
160,340 kW
SIQUIJOR ISLAND
1,000 kW

19. Solar Energy Resource Potential
Average insolation of 5- 6 kWh/sq. m/day all throughout the country
The country is also endowed with other NRE sources.
A study conducted by the US-National Renewable Energy Laboratory in 2000 showed that the country’s wind resources has over 10,000 km² with 70,000 MW of potential installed capacity.
Micro-hydro applications, on the other hand, has potential capacity of at least 500 kW in No. Luzon & Mindanao.
The study also estimated that the national solar radiation has annual potential average of kWh per square meter per day. This means that technologies such as solar photovoltaics and solar water heaters are viable in the country.
The country's ocean resource area is 1,000 square kilometers mainly due to its archipelagic nature. Several studies claimed that the country has huge ocean energy resources in form of ocean thermal, ocean current, and ocean waves that could be harnessed for power generation.
(NEXT SLIDE)

21. 3. Renewable energy plans
Philippine Energy Plan
Department of Energy

22. OVERVIEW OF THE ENERGY SECTOR
1st Nine Months Y-O-Y NPC Power Generation
2002
2003
Energy self-sufficiency level which increased from 45.5% in 2001 to 50.9% in 2002 will continue to be above 50% in This will be the result of the projected increase in natural gas production from 11.2 MMBFOE in 2002 to 26.3MMBFOE in 2003
NPC Generation : 27, GWh
Renewable Power Mix: 45%
NPC Generation : 29, GWh
Renewable Power Mix: 47%

23. RE POLICY FRAMEWORK Increase RE-based capacity by 100% by 2012
Long – Term Objectives
Increase RE-based capacity by 100% by 2012
Be the No.1 geothermal energy producer in the world
Be the No. 1 wind energy producer in SE Asia
Double hydro capacity by 2012
New contribution of biomass, solar and ocean by 131 MW
Become a regional solar manufacturing export hub
Increase non-power contribution of RE to the energy mix by 10 MMBFOE within the next ten years
Still in the RE framework, we have set a very ambitious RE targets for the next ten years as follows:
1. Increase RE-based capacity by 100%
2. Be the No. 1 geothermal energy producer in the world. Currently, we are no. 2
next only to the US. But we are confident, that with an increase private sector
participation in this sector, we could make it to no. 1
3. Be the No. 1 wind energy producer in SE Asia.
4. Double hydro capacity by 2012
5. New contribution of biomass, solar and ocean by 131 MW
6. Become the regional solar manufacturing export hub. Just recently, Cypress
Sun Power of Texas has finally committed to set up the first ever solar fab
manufacturing facility in S.E. Asia. Initially, for 25MW capacity and to slowly
double the capacity to 50MW
7. Increase non-power contribution of RE to the energy mix by 10 MMBFOE

24. RE POLICY FRAMEWORK 10 – Year Targets, MW TOTAL 4,449 4,698 9,147
Target Add’l. 2013
Capacity
Geothermal , , ,131
Hydro , , ,468
Wind
Solar, Biomass, Ocean
Just a summary of our target additional RE capacity for the next ten years.
TOTAL , , ,147

25. 4. LULUCF potential

27. Potential CDM forestry projects
1. Reforestation and tree plantations
could easily meet requirements for additionality
2. Agroforestry and community forestry
greatest socio-economic benefits
risks may be greater
3. Dendrothermal power plants
Ipil-ipil fed power plants

28. “CDM”able Forest Lands

29. Potential forest lands for CDM
those the need to be permanently forested: critical watersheds, forest reserves, IPAS sites (4.6 M ha)
degraded land areas: 3.5 M ha

31. Example of Degraded Watershed
Lasco and Pulhin, 2003

32. Imperata grasslands cover > 2 M ha

33. 5. Potential projects starting to enter the pipeline

34. Potential projects
Being considered by World Bank Prototype Carbon Fund
Endorsed by the Philippine Inter-Agency Committee on Climate Change
Received “Letter of No Objection” from the Secretary of the Department of Environment & Natural Resources

35. POTENTIAL CDM PROJECTS
Northwind Wind Power
Northwind Wind Power Project
Project site located in Bangui, Ilocos Norte
Total installed capacity of 25.5 MW
Estimated emission reduction potential of 76,218 tCO2e annually
Based on the US-NREL resource mapping, the Philippines has high wind power potential with as much as 70,000 MW. Region I, the Ilocos Region has the highest wind power potential.
Not far from the PNOC-EDC’s North Luzon Wind Power Project in Burgos, Ilocos Norte, Northwind Power of Denmark is developing a 25.5 MW wind project in Bangui Bay, Ilocos Norte.

36. POTENTIAL CDM PROJECTS
Talisay Cogeneration Plant
Proposed cogeneration plant to utilize waste product of sugar cane
Host facility is First Farmers Holding Corporation (FFHC)
Consists of 2 x 85 t/h boilers delivering steam at 65 barg and 480°C and a single condensing steam turbine generator unit with a rating of 30 MW
Estimated emission reduction potential 54,457 to 133,466 tCO2e annually

37. POTENTIAL CDM PROJECTS
Victorias Bagasse Cogeneration
Proposed cogeneration plant to utilize waste product of sugar cane
To be located at the Victorias Milling facility
Consists of 2 x 160 t/h boilers delivering steam at 65 barg & 480°C & a single back pressure steam turbine generator unit with a rating of 50 MW
Emission reduction potential 71,329 to 182,896 tCO2e annually

38. Maraming salamat!! Roberto C. Yap, Ph.D. Environmental Economist
klima – Climate Change Center
Manila Observatory
Philippines
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