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Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

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1 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario
Research Design Chapter 3 Basic Marketing Research Using Microsoft® Excel Data Analysis Canadian Edition Burns, Bush & Nash Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

2 Professor Steven Litt steven.litt@senecac.on.ca
MRK455 Keep your eyes open! Market Research: Each Rsch method has its strengths. You must choose best method for a situation. Eg Folgers sssspop was from a diary panel; Pfizer advertising Viagra to spouses was from Focus Groups. Lots of good ideas validated via Quant & bad ideas stopped. But data deceive eg items for Fad, Frivolous, Impulse, Celeb, EcoConscious, Socially Resp

3 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario
Learning Objectives Describe the role of research design in the marketing research process. Characterize exploratory research design. Characterize descriptive research design. Characterize causal research design. Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

4 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario
Research Design Research design is the master plan Specifies methods, procedures How you will collect & analyze data Many different methods possible Must consider problem & research objectives Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

5 Significance of Research Design
“First rule of good research” (David Singleton) Every research problem is unique Need an appropriate approach Several basic approaches workable Select based on the problem, objectives Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

6 Types of Research Design
Research usually has one of three objectives: Gain background information for hypotheses Measure the state of a variable of interest Test hypotheses about relationships Key factor: how much is already known Less you know, more likely exploratory Much known, lean to causal May need multiple designs Forget Blackberry hype- but remember BackVaryHype Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

7 Exploratory Research Unstructured, informal to get background
No formalized objectives, or questions Often done first in a project May involve simply reading or observing Very flexible method To get the lay of the land Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

8 Uses of Exploratory Research
Gain Background Information: Helps formulate the problem Gain current, relevant information Define Terms: concepts, terms can be clarified Clarify Problems and Hypotheses: Generate hypotheses to test quantitatively Establish Research Priorities: Prioritize important topics Exploratory brings you closer to consumers- how they use product, smiles & irks, etc Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

9 Exploratory Research Methods
Secondary data analysis Experience surveys Insightful, not always representative Case analysis: similar previous situations Focus groups: unstructured, spontaneous Guided by a moderator, gain insights Limited sample, but many ideas Many other techniques also included Focus Groups FEEL unstructured, but BIG planning & discipline is involved Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

10 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario
Descriptive Research Answers to: Who (buys) What (brands) Where (they shop) How (they discover) When (they buy) Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

11 Types of Descriptive Research
Cross-sectional studies Sample at one point in time; snapshot Very common in marketing research Sample surveys Cross-sectional, and representative of Canada, e.g. Often used to test ad concepts Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

12 Types of Descriptive Research [cont’d]
Longitudinal studies Measure a population over time Often research panel is used Continuous panel: same questions over time Track grocery purchases, TV viewing Discontinuous panels: different questions Broad range of topics Longitudinal not only alerts you fast to big changes, it’s good for noting small shifts, subtle cues too gradual to see w infrequent rsch Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

13 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario
Causal Research If X occurs, Y will follow Seeking cause-and-effect relationships Run ad in black-and-white, then color Different results? Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

14 Experiments in Causal Research
Change independent variable Expect change in dependent variable Increase advertising ( independent) Result: greater sales (dependent) Extraneous variables can affect this Change in weather, other activities Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

15 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario
Experimental Design Procedure for creating an experiment Change must only be due to independent variable Means you’re sure what caused this change That is a “true” experimental design Let’s explore several designs Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

16 Quasi-Experimental Designs
Do not control for extraneous variables After-only design Change the independent variable After period of time measure dependent variable One-group, before-after design Measure dependent variable before and after Change independent variable after first measured Also called ‘test vs base’ Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

17 True Experimental Design
Before-After with Control Group Randomly divide subjects into two groups Control group and experimental group Independent variable only for experimental Can identify “experimental effect” Important to use valid experimental designs Aka ‘Test vs Control’ Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

18 Validity of Experiments
An experiment is valid if: Change in dependent variable due to change in the independent variable Results apply to the “real world” Internal validity checks experimental design External validity looks at generalizability Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

19 Have you ever been in one of these?
Types of Experiments Have you ever been in one of these? Broadly, laboratory or field Laboratory experiment in artificial setting Controls extraneous variables View ads in theatre setting Field experiment in natural setting Tests in a supermarket Run ads in test city, evaluate results Test market Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

20 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario
Test Marketing Test market for product and natural setting Test sales potential, marketing mix variations Costly, but not compared to national rollout Use different outlets in different cities Data for decision on national outlet choice Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

21 Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario
Types of Test Markets Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

22 Types of Test Markets (cont’d)
Standard test market uses normal channels Tips hand to competitors Controlled test market by outside firm Guaranteed shelf space, fast access Electronic test markets use scannable cards Consumer presents card when purchasing Simulated test markets use computer model Relatively fast, confidential, but less accurate Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

23 “Lead Country” Test Markets
Test in a specific country Results good predictors for continent Many products global, can work well South Korea a favourite country for this Why South Korea? Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

24 Selecting Test-Market cities
Must consider several factors Representativeness: must represent whole territory of plant market Degree of isolation: removed from external influences, e.g. media Distribution & promotion can be managed Need local cooperation Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario

25 Pros & Cons of Test Marketing
Advantages: Best information possible before rollout Good forecast, can pre-test marketing mix Disadvantages: May not give correct information Competitors may sabotage test market Costly to do, ethical issues Sabotage is far more common than you may think Copyright © 2012 Pearson Canada Inc., Toronto, Ontario


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