1. Dr Ousmane NDIAYE Civil aviation and Meteorology Agency (ANACIM)
Priorities for Climate Research in West Africa : outreaching farmers community.
Dr Ousmane NDIAYE
Civil aviation and Meteorology Agency (ANACIM)
Working Group on Seasonal to Interannual Predictions 16th session UK MetOffice, Exeter, March 2014

2. STRONG CLIMATE VARIABILITY IMPACTS :
EXAMPLE OF THE SAHEL “inter-annual”
Short rainy season : 4 months
Strong climate variability
Huge socio-economical impacts :
Health : malaria, meningitis
Agriculture : rain fed and shepherd
limited economic resources
Sahel
GHCN Series: 12-20N, 18W-30E

3. EXTREME EVENTS IN OUAGADOUGOU, BURKINA-FASO
One single event can change the whole season

4. FOOD SECURITY : rainfed agriculture
Rainfall and crop yield of millet in Senegal
2011 is bad year for both rainfall and crop yield
R²=0.68
RFE2 rainfall and FAO yield data
From B. Sultan

5. NEED OF SEAMLESS FORECAST FROM SEASONAL TO SUB-SEASONAL TIME SCALES to plan farm activities.
Before
During the Crop season
Maturity/end
Seasonal forecast  varieties
Onset forecast  farm preparation
Nowcasting  flooding saving life (thunder)
Daily forecast  use of fertilizer / pesticide
Decade forecast  weeding, field work
Decade forecast  optimum harvesting period

6. Challenges : detecting “false onset”
True Start
False Start
Same period of onset but followed by dry spell which require : re-planting

7. Regional Climate Outlook Fora
PRESANOR
PRES-AO (16)
GHACOF (31)
PRES-AC (8)
SARCOF (16)
Updated from Climate Information for Public Health Summer Institute, IRI

8. Testing the added value of climate with farmers in Kaffrine under CCAFS funded project

9. (Customize Climate information)
Seasonal forecast
Weather forecast
Nowcasting
Local authority
Pastoralism
Seed Producers
Local Pluri-disciplinary
Working Group
Farmers
Local working Group
(Customize Climate information)
Agriculture
Rural radio
Extensions
Forestery
Community
Rural radio
Text messaging
Social gatherings
Bulletin

10. BUILDING TRUST FOR LONG TERM PARTNERSHIP LINKAGE TO INDIGENEOUS KNOWLEDGE
Building on local knowledge:

11. “KNOWLEDGE SHOULD PRECEDE ACTION” Farmer in kaffrine
team work : farmers, climatologist, World Vision, Agriculture expert, sociologist

12. Learning from Kaffrine experience
Sénégal
Colombia
South-South exchange
Learning from Kaffrine experience