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AgClimate: Web-based Climate Information & Decision Aid Tools Clyde W. Fraisse Climate Extension Specialist Agric. & Biol. Engineering – IFAS University.

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Presentation on theme: "AgClimate: Web-based Climate Information & Decision Aid Tools Clyde W. Fraisse Climate Extension Specialist Agric. & Biol. Engineering – IFAS University."— Presentation transcript:

1 AgClimate: Web-based Climate Information & Decision Aid Tools Clyde W. Fraisse Climate Extension Specialist Agric. & Biol. Engineering – IFAS University of Florida SECC Extension Team

2 Fresh Tomato South FL Climate Variability Impacts  Crop Yield (winter vegetables, corn, peanut, soybean, citrus)  Pasture  Freezes  Forest fires  Hurricane activity Freeze EventENSO Phase Dec 1894 Feb 1899 Dec 1934 Jan 1940 Dec 1962 Jan 1977 Jan 1981 Jan 1982 Dec 1983 Jan 1985 Dec 1989 Jan 1997 Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral El Niño Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral

3 Applied Climate & Crop Modeling Research Variety Planting Date Plant Population Soils

4 So what? How to “translate” this research and information into practical applications? SECC Climate Extension Program

5 Decision Making in Agriculture Climate Forecast Strategic Decisions  Variety selection  Planting Dates  Acreage allocation  Crop insurance coverage  Marketing  Purchase inputs Weather Forecast Operational decisions  Planting  Spray  Fertilize  Irrigation  Harvest

6 SECC Extension Main Goal  To develop a climate information system for the SE USA in which climate forecasts and information together with DSS for agriculture, forestry and water resource management are made available to reduce risks associated with climate variability.

7 Climate Forecasts Decision-Aid Tools Management Adaptations Commodity Outlooks Additional Resources Stakeholder Needs Climate Risks Socio- Economics Diseases Pests Crop Production Water Management Climate Extension Program Fraisse et al. 2005 Research on Understanding & Managing Climate-Related Risks

8 agclimate.org Information and tools to help agriculture and natural resource managers reduce the risk of seasonal climate variability

9 AgClimate Tools Dynamic tools (county level) Climate Risk Rainfall Avg. Min/Max Temperature Yield Risk Peanut Potato Tomato

10 AgClimate Tools Dynamic tools (county level) Climate Risk Rainfall Avg. Min/Max Temperature Yield Risk Peanut Potato Tomato

11 AgClimate Tools Dynamic tools (county level) Climate Risk Rainfall Avg. Min/Max Temperature Yield Risk Peanut Potato Tomato

12 AgClimate Tools Dynamic tools (county level) Climate Risk Rainfall Avg. Min/Max Temperature Yield Risk Peanut Potato Tomato

13 AgClimate Tools Dynamic tools (county level) Climate Risk Rainfall Avg. Min/Max Temperature Yield Risk Peanut Potato Tomato

14 AgClimate Tools Dynamic tools (county level) Climate Risk Rainfall Avg. Min/Max Temperature Yield Risk Peanut Potato Tomato

15 Forecasts Seasonal Outlooks (4/yr) County Regional Links to National International ENSO, Hurricane and Freeze forecasts

16 Forecasts Seasonal Outlooks (4/yr) County Regional Links to National & International ENSO, Hurricane and Freeze forecasts

17 Forecasts Seasonal Outlooks (4/yr) County Regional Links to National & International ENSO, Hurricane and Freeze forecasts

18 2005 Hurricane Season Forecasts 2005 Season Predictions – August Updates Named StormsHurricanes Major Hurricanes Dr. Gray 20 (15)10 (8)6 (4) NOAA 18-21 (12-15)9-11 (7–9)3-5 (3-5) Long-term Average 1062 Official hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin: June 1 – November 30.

19 Forestry Keetch-Byram Drought Index Monthly updates Jan-Jul

20 Crop Management Discussion Peanut and Tomato Land preparation Varieties Planting date Pest Management & Diseases Yield Quality

21 Pasture Management Background Information

22 Future Forecast Products – Chilling Units

23 SECC Climate Extension Developing climate information services to promote the competitiveness of agriculture and protect the natural resources in the Southeastern USA Clyde Fraisse cfraisse@ufl.edu

24 Decision Making in Water Resources Management Climate Forecast Strategic Decisions  Weather Forecast Operational decisions 

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