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ISE 261 PROBABILISTIC SYSTEMS

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Presentation on theme: "ISE 261 PROBABILISTIC SYSTEMS"— Presentation transcript:

1 ISE 261 PROBABILISTIC SYSTEMS

2 Chapter One Descriptive Statistics

3 Engineering Statistics Collect Data Summarize Draw Conclusions

4 Data Types Categorical (Qualitative) > Attribute Variable (Quantitative)

5 Population Defined collection or group of objects

6 Census Data is available for all objects in the population

7 Sample Subset of the population

8 Variable Any characteristic whose value may change from one object to another in the population

9 Empirical Data Based on Observation

10 Data Collection Basic Principles of Design: Replication Randomization Blocking

11 Descriptive Statistics Graphical (Visual) Numerical

12 Graphical Stem-and-Leaf Displays Dotplots Histograms Pareto Diagram Scatter Diagrams

13 Numerical Mean Median Trimmed Means Standard Deviation Variance Range

14 Stem-and-Leaf Displays Data Format: > Numerical > At Least Two Digits  

15 Information Conveyed: > Identification of a typical value > Extent of spread about typical value > Presence of any gaps in the data > Extent of symmetry in the distribution > Number and location of peaks  > Presence of any outlying values Information Not Displayed:  > Order of Observations  

16 Construction of Stem-and-Leaf: >Select 1 or more leading digits for stem values. The trailing digits becomes the leaves. >List possible stem values in a vertical column >Record the leaf for every observation beside the corresponding stem >Label or indicate the units for stems and leaves someplace in the display

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19 DOTPLOTS Data Format:. Numerical
DOTPLOTS Data Format: Numerical Distinct or Discrete Values Information Conveyed: Location Spread Extremes Gaps Construction: Each observation is a dot Stack dots above the value on a horizontal scale

20 Dotplot Example   Data Set: Temperatures F0        

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22 Histograms (Pareto) Data Format: Qualitative. (Categorical) Frequency:
Histograms (Pareto) Data Format: Qualitative (Categorical) Frequency: Number of times that a data value occurs in the data set. Relative Frequency: A proportion of time the value occurs.

23 Constructing a Pareto Histogram > Above each value (label), draw a rectangle whose height corresponds to the frequency or relative frequency of that value. > Ordering can be natural or arbitrary (eg. Largest to smallest).

24 Pareto Histogram Example During a week’s production a total of 2,000 printed circuit boards (PCBs) are manufactured. List of non-conformities: Blowholes = 120 Unwetted = Insufficient solder = 440 Pinholes = 56 Shorts = 40 Unsoldered =   Improvements, Efforts, Time/Money?

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27 Histograms Data Format:. >Numerical
Histograms Data Format: >Numerical >Discrete or Continuous Data displayed by magnitude. Observed frequency is a rectangle. Height corresponds to the frequency in each cell.

28 Histogram Construction Discrete Data: >Find Frequency of each x value >Find Relative Frequency >Mark possible x values on a horizontal scale >Above each value, draw a rectangle whose height corresponds to the frequency or relative frequency of that value

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31 Histogram Construction Continuous Data: (Equal Widths) > Count the number of observations (n) > Find the largest & smallest (n) > Find the Range (largest- smallest) > Determine the number and width of the class intervals by the following rules:

32 Rules > Use from 5 to 20 intervals
Rules > Use from 5 to 20 intervals. Rule of Thumb: # of Intervals = √n > Use class intervals of equal width. Choose values that leave no question of the interval in which a value falls. > Choose the lower limit for the first cell by using a value that is slightly less than the smallest data value. > The class interval (width) can be determined by w = range/number of cells.

33 Build Histogram Continuous Data: > Tally Data for each Interval > Draw Rectangular Boxes with heights equal to the frequencies of the number of observations.

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37 Histogram Shapes Unimodal (1 single peak) Bimodal (2 different peaks) Multimodal (more than 2 peaks) Symmetric (mirror image) Positively Skewed (R-stretched) Negatively Skewed (L-stretched) Uniform (straight) Truncated (limited)

38 Scatter Diagrams Data Format: Continuous Two Random Variables Construction: Each Ordered Pair is plotted Patterns: Positive Correlation No Correlation Negative Correlation

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40 MEAN Sample Mean:. _. x =  Data Values
MEAN Sample Mean: _ x =  Data Values n n = Number of Observations in Sample Population Mean: u =  Data Values N N = Number of Objects in Population

41 Median Middle value after the observations are ordered from smallest to largest 50% of the values to the right. 50% of the values to the left. Odd number of samples: Middle value of the ordered arrangement. Even number of samples: Average of the two middle values.

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43 MODE The most frequent value that occurs in the data set.

44 Quartiles Divides data into four equal parts
Quartiles Divides data into four equal parts. Interquartile Range = Q3 – Q1

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46 Trimmed Means Mean obtained from trimming off % of the observations from “each” side of a data set.

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48 Range Difference between the largest & smallest values.

49 Standard Deviation The square root of the average squared deviation from the mean _ s = [(xi – x)2 / (n-1)]1/2 Short Cut Method: s = [( xi2 – ( xi)2 / n) / (n-1)]1/2

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52 Variance Square of the Standard Deviation.

53 Boxplots Information Conveyed: > Center > Spread > Nature of Symmetry > Identification of Outliers

54 Build Boxplots On 1. Smallest Value 2. Lower Fourth 3. Median 4
Build Boxplots On 1. Smallest Value 2. Lower Fourth 3. Median 4. Upper Fourth 5. Largest Value Fourth Spread = Upper Fourth – Lower Fourth

55 Construction Of Boxplot 1. Order data from smallest to largest. 2
Construction Of Boxplot 1. Order data from smallest to largest. 2. Separate smallest half from the largest half. (If n is odd include the median in both halves). 3. Lower fourth is the median of the smallest half. 4. Upper fourth is the median of the largest half. 5. Fourth spread = Upper fourth – Lower fourth. 6. On a horizontal measurement scale, the left edge of a rectangle is the lower fourth & the right edge is the upper fourth. 7. Place a vertical line inside the rectangle at the location of the median. 8. Draw whiskers out from ends of the rectangle to the smallest and largest data values.

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