1. Analysis of climate change mitigation tools in Ukraine
Dr. Konidari P.
KEPA - NKUA, Greece
Prof. Inshekov E.N.
Energy Saving and Energy Management Institute, National Technical University of Ukraine
Ms. Pechak O. O.
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

2. Structure of presentation
Introduction
Ukrainian climate policy framework
Main Ukrainian climate change mitigation policy instruments
Description of AMS method
Application
Conclusions
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

3. Introduction Problem Climate change mitigation measures
Highly energy intensive country
Strong dependency on energy imports
Enormous decrease of production lead to no sharp need for GHG reductions
Climate change mitigation measures
promotion of energy saving technologies
development of RES
facilitating the implementation of JI projects
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

4. Ukrainian climate policy framework
Stable national GHG emissions compared to those of base year 1990
Extremely high level of energy intensity
Energy sector - main contributor of total GHG emissions
74.3% of total emissions in 1990
Partially provided with domestic traditional primary energy resources and relies on energy imports
Important energy transit country
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

5. Main climate change mitigation policy instruments (1/3)
Promotion of energy saving technologies
Law “on energy conservation”,
“Comprehensive State Energy Conservation Program”
“The Energy Strategy of Ukraine for the period until 2030”
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

6. Main climate change mitigation policy instruments (2/3)
Development of RES
National Energy Program (NEP) for the period until 2010
Law “On power energy”
Law “On alternative types of liquid and gas fuels”
Law “On alternative energy sources”
Law “On combined heat and power production (co-generation) and utilization of dump energy potential”
“The Energy Strategy of Ukraine for the period until 2030”
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

7. Main climate change mitigation policy instruments (3/3)
Implementation of JI projects
Ten main instruments
Procedure (LoA, LoE)
Registry
Focal National Point
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

8. Method AMS Multi-criteria analysis method
Combination of three standard methods
Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP)
Multi-Atribute Utility Theory (MAUT)
Simple Multi-Attribute Ranking Technique (SMART)
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

9. Criteria-tree Hierarchy Set of three criteria and eleven sub-criteria
Environmental performance
Political acceptability
Feasibility of implementation
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

10. Weight coefficients Usage of AHP calculated values
Based on preferences from policy makers, researchers, target groups
Recalculation of values is supported
Consistency test
Two indices
Saaty
Pelaez-Lamata
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

11. Assignment of grades (1/3)
Linear function y = ax+b, MAUT approach
a, b solution of system
requirements y =100 when xmax and y = 0 when xmin
y =100 when best performance
y = 0 when lowest performance
Normalized grades, SMART approach
Absence of data to form function
Decision maker uses scale from 0 to 10
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

12. Assignment of grades (2/3)
DM’s grades mi converted to grades of MAUT scale
Un-normalized grade
2.51 is used instead of 2 (SMART method) because 2.51 solution of equation
Normalized grade
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

13. Assignment of grades (3/3)
Grade of criterion
Sum of products between weight coefficients of sub-criteria and respective grade (MAUT or SMART procedure)
Total grade
Same procedure
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

14. Application Three types of instruments Energy efficiency, RES,
JI projects
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

15. Renewable energy sources Joint Implementation projects
Data and assessments
Policy instruments for
Energy Efficiency
Renewable energy sources
Joint Implementation projects
Direct contribution to GHG emission reductions (0.833)
100.0
5.814
Indirect environmental effects (0.167)
Environmental performance (0.168)
100
Sub-Total from criterion 1 (A)
16.8
0.976
Cost efficiency (0.474)
13.267
33.560
53.173
Dynamic cost efficiency (0.183)
16.644
66.711
Competitiveness (0.085)
8.291
83.417
Equity (0.175)
27.9
44.199
Flexibility (0.051)
16.791
66.419
Stringency for non-compliance (0.032)
Political acceptability (0.738)
16.315
25.934
57.750
Sub-total from criterion 2 (B)
12.040
19.139
42.620
Implementation network capacity (0.309)
7.424
18.486
74.091
Administrative feasibility (0.581)
13.394
33.351
53.255
Financial feasibility (0.110)
8.347
83.306
Feasibility of implementation (0.094)
10.994
26.007
62.999
Sub-total from criterion 3 (C)
1.033
2.444
5.922
Total (A+B+C)
29.874
21.584
49.518
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

16. Results Total grades Better grades JI projects – 49.518
Energy efficiency –
RES-Laws
Better grades
Political acceptability
Feasibility of implementation
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

17. Conclusions
Policy recommendations oriented to cost efficiency, competitiveness, flexibility, implementation network capacity and financial feasibility
Introduction of well examined incentives able to invigorate investments and support substitution of old energy intensive equipment.
Unavailable credible data
Lack of capable implementation network that could assist in the effective application of the policy instruments
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

18. Thank you Contact details Dr. Popi KONIDARI
Energy Policy and Development Centre (KEPA)
Panepistimiopolis, KEPA Building
157 84, Athens, Greece
Tel.:
Ass. Prof. Evgeniy INSHEKOV, Ms. Olena PECHAK
Energy Saving and Energy Management Institute, National technical university of Ukraine „KPI”
115 Borshagivska str,
03056, Kiev, Ukraine
Tel.: Fax: s:
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre