Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Demographic scenarios

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "Demographic scenarios"— Presentation transcript:

1 Demographic scenarios
PIK „basic“ integrated modules: Yr 2004 CLIMBER-2 (climate + ocean carbon, CO2 as GHG) LPJ+crops (Land carbon) Climate, atm. CO2 NEP Climate CO2 emissions MIND (economy) Demographic scenarios

2 Demographic scenarios
PIK „basic“ integrated modules: Yr 2006 CLIMBER-2 (climate + ocean carbon, all GHG, S+dust aerosols) LPJ+crops (Land carbon) MagPie: interactive Land use Climate, atm. CO2 NEP Climate Land-use mitigation options CO2 emissions MIND (economy) Demographic scenarios

3 ENIGMA development: Yr 2007 -> LPJ+crops (Land carbon)
CLIMBER-2 (climate, GHG+aerosols, atm. chemistry – Eva Bauer in cooperation with MPI-Mainz) LPJ+crops (Land carbon) MagPie: interactive Land use Climate, atm. CO2 NEP Climate Other GHG emissions Land-use mitigation options CO2 emissions REMIND (economy) Demographic scenarios

4 Towards closing nitrogen cycle
ENIGMA development: Yr > Towards closing nitrogen cycle CLIMBER-2 (climate, GHG+aerosols, atm. chemistry – Eva Bauer in cooperation with MPI-Mainz) Ocean nitrogen – Hamburg? BIOME-BGC, LPJ+crops (land carbon+nitrogen) MagPie: interactive Land use Climate, atm. CO2 N depositions NEP Climate Land-use mitigation options CO2 emissions NOx emissions REMIND (economy) Demographic scenarios

5 Analysis of metadata on litter decomposition
ENIGMA N workshop, 16 January 2007 Analysis of metadata on litter decomposition Victor Brovkin, PIK Hans Cornelissen, Free University, Amsterdam Will Cornwell, Stanford University, U.S. and Working group on litter decomposition of ARC-NZ Research Network for Vegetation Function, Macquarie University, Australia

6 Litter chemical and physical quality is strongly associated with decomposition
Natalia Harguindeguy, pers. comm.

7 Leaf litter bag experiments

8 ART-DECO dataset: Assembly of Research on Traits and Decomposability
State of 3 November 2006: number of common garden decomposition studies: 25 number of decomposition measurements (total number of harvests): 1982 number of species: 562 litter nutrient concentrations: 309 number species with litter lignin measurements: 206 A map of decomposition experiments currently in the database Cornelissen,Cornwell et al., in preparation

9 PFT-specific leaf litter decomposition rate in accordance with ART-DECO dataset
LPJ PFT N,% C, % C:N Lignin,% Turnover rate, k(N), 1/yr tropical broadleaved evergreen tree 0.83 47 66 17 0.84 tropical broadleaved raingreen tree 1.44 48 33 14 1.23 temperate needleleaved evergreen tree 0.81 50 73 22 temperate broadleaved evergreen tree 0.78 41 21 Temperate broadleaved summergreen tree 1.41 45 1.21 boreal needleleaved evergreen tree 0.71 58 80 23 0.77 boreal needleleaved summergreen tree 0.87 57 32 0.86 boreal broadleaved summergreen tree 0.92 19 0.89 C3 perennial grass 1.24 46 1.10 C4 perennial grass 0.91 44 61

10 Modified litter model in LPJ Litter: 265 GtC Kg C/m2 Original LPJ
Above-ground litter storage (leaf litter: PFT-specific, woody litter: PFT-nonspecific) Kg C/m2 Original LPJ Litter: 156 GtC Yr 2000, with crops

11 Direction to go with litter modelling
Translating the decomposition rates from litter decomposition experiments on mechanistic basis (depending on litter quality - N or lignin) Upscaling from species to the PFT level Testing litter model results against available litter storage data Improving linkage between litter and soil carbon dynamics (including N, lignin)

12 Effect of nitrogen content of organic layers?
Hakkenberg, PhD Thesis, 2006

13 Feedbacks with soil fertility
Chapin et al. 1986 Low soil nutrient availability Slow decomposition and nutrient release Low leaf [N] + [P]; Long leaf life span; High lignin Community assembly Similar nutrient translocation Recalcitrant litter

14 Transplant experiment
Transplant experiment Litter half lives in years Litter from low precipitation sites is more decomposable and releases N and P faster This is a indirect effect that makes decomposition rates more similar than expected across a range of precipitation Cornwell, PhD Thesis, 2006

15 Indirect effects with aridity
Low rainfall: - Community assembly Decomposition and nutrient release High leaf [N] + [P]; Low lignin + Highly decomposable litter Cornwell, PhD Thesis, 2006


Download ppt "Demographic scenarios"

Similar presentations


Ads by Google