1. Regional Migration Andrew Butt MAV Rural and Regional Conference
Inverloch, June 2017

2. Regional Migration: Typologies and Visibility
How can we understand ‘counter-urbanisation’
‘Typologies’ of migration; push and pull, cohorts and drivers
What the census tells us, and doesn’t
Looking for evidence of the regionalisation of multiculturalism
Issues with the census and its alternatives
La Trobe University

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4. How are we experiencing counter-urbanisation in Victoria?
Long term trends:
tree-change,
affordability,
‘extreme’ commuting,
retirement migration
Recent observations:
direct international migration,
(im)permanence, seasonality
La Trobe University

6. Counter-urbanisation and its characteristics
Who is moving; income, age, economic linkages, rural-urban characteristics
migration data (October 2017 for next data)
Twenty variables for over 100 locations
Dimension reduction and cluster analysis (if you are interested!)
La Trobe University

7. Counter-urbanisation and its characteristics
Clustering locations - age, income, presumed drivers, links to metropolitan economies. Five clusters:
high incomes, higher growth and the inward movement of professionals (rural gentrification?)
ageing and the inward movement of older (and pre) retirees
inward movement of unemployed and lower incomes (forced relocation?)
low growth and limited socio-economic change (rurality)
urbanisation growth characteristics (exurbia)
La Trobe University

8. Butt, A. (2014) Developing a typology of changing multi-functional regions, Australasian Journal of Regional Studies, 20(2) pp

9. Inverloch-Wonthaggi (age structure 2006-2016)

10. Lorne-Anglesea (age structure 2006-2016)

11. Maryborough (age structure 2006-2016)

12. Leongatha (age structure 2006-2016)

13. Bacchus Marsh-Melton (age structure 2006-2016)

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15. Rural Retirement Migration
Winterton & Butt (forthcoming) Local government perspectives on rural retirement migration and social sustainability
Services, the nature (and notion) of participation, expectations of services, diversity of needs
Based on interviews (LG staff and others) in 3 types of local government areas: amenity, peri-urban, agricultural
La Trobe University

16. Diffusion of CALD – what it means in regional Victoria
Long-standing ‘barrier’ on the metro fringe
Significant ‘suburbanisation’ of migration in recent decades
Is there (yet) evidence of regionalisation beyond some clear pockets – what may prevent us knowing?
La Trobe University

17. Sou
Source: The Age 28 June 2017

18. Source: The Guardian (Australia) 27 June 2017

19. The challenges for understanding regional migration
Who is it and…
how do we count it?
Small numbers, and is the census sufficient?
Seasonality, chain migration, permanence and impermanence
Ex-urbanisation, regional skilled migration, seasonal labour force, humanitarian settlement
La Trobe University

21. Robinvale – Place of Birth 2006

22. Robinvale – Place of Birth 2016

23. What it means for housing, services, emerging community life
Who is it and…
how do we count it?
Small numbers, and is the census sufficient?
Seasonality, chain migration, permanence and impermanence
Ex-urbanisation, regional skilled migration, seasonal labour force, humanitarian settlement
Legal status and the census
La Trobe University